Premier League · The City Ground, Nottingham · Matchday 7 · Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:30 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Nottingham Forest v Arsenal, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
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Odds correct at 11:33 on 16 Oct. Returns include the stake.
The whole bet needs Arsenal to win to nil, 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0, and under three and a half goals at 1/3 wins with every one of those results. Two of Nottingham Forest’s last six Premier League matches had four or more goals, and that is the danger for this leg, while none of Arsenal’s last six did. Six games is a short run, so take these figures as recent form only.
This bet loses on a draw just as it does on a Nottingham Forest win, and Forest have drawn two of their last six Premier League matches. Arsenal to win at 8/13 is still our pick on this fixture, with five wins from their last six league games against one for Forest. Arsenal beat Leeds United 2-1 on 10 October, and they won two of their three away games in that run, losing the other. Forest drew one and lost two of their three home games.
Nottingham Forest failed to score in three of their last six Premier League matches, averaging 0.83 goals a game, and No on both teams to score at 87/100 needs them to stay goalless again. Every result this bet needs leaves Forest on nil, and Arsenal kept three clean sheets in their last six. The case against is plain enough: both teams scored in three of Forest’s last six and in two of Arsenal’s.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 6
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last six Premier League matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 6 Premier League matches, 2026/27, to 11 October 2026)
The record
| Nottingham Forest | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 1-2-3 | 5-0-1 |
| Nottingham Forest home / Arsenal away | 0-1-2 | 2-0-1 |
| Points per game | 0.83 | 2.50 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Nottingham Forest | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 0.83 | 1.67 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 0 (3) | 1 (3) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 0.67 (3) | 1 (3) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 |
Venue row is Nottingham Forest at home and Arsenal away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Nottingham Forest | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 50% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 0% (3) | 33% (3) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 33% | 0% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Recent form at a glance (both sides combined)
Each dial combines both sides’ recent rates. The dials show recent form only.
Both teams to score
| Nottingham Forest | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 0% (3) | 0% (3) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 |
Last 5 meetings (Nottingham Forest’s view)
Record in those meetings
| Meetings | 5 |
| Nottingham Forest wins / draws / Arsenal wins | 0-2-3 |
| Goals (Nottingham Forest / Arsenal) | 1 / 8 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 1.8 |
| Both teams scored | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
Final scores, extra time included.
2026/27 table
| Nottingham Forest | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 15 | 2 |
| Points | 5 | 15 |
| Played | 6 | 6 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-2-3 | 5-0-1 |
| Goals for-against | 5-8 | 10-5 |
| Goal difference | -3 | +5 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Arsenal to win: recent results against the odds
The odds put Arsenal’s chance of winning at 60%, and on recent results it comes out at about 67%. Recent results are one guide among several, and Arsenal are our pick, as in the bet builder. The recent-results figure comes from only six matches each, so it does not tell us much on its own.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Nottingham Forest (last 6) | Arsenal (last 6) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 1-2-3 | 5-0-1 |
| Home / away split | 0-1-2 | 2-0-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.83 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| BTTS % | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 50% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 15 | 5 | 5-8 |
| Arsenal | 2 | 15 | 10-5 |
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