Today's Best Free Football Betting Tips
Adrian Dane's football selections for Monday 5 October 2026, hand-picked from the day's fixtures, with the top bookmaker odds compared for you.
Accumulator of the Day
4 selections
Italy v TurkeyMon 5 Oct, 19:45 (UK time)
Italy to win
Italy were held 1-1 by France on 2 October, but six wins in ten competitive matches is the better measure of them. Turkey have lost five of their ten and average a goal a game, so 2/5 is short for a reason.
The numbers
Italy last 10 (W-D-L)6-2-2
Turkey last 10 (W-D-L)4-1-5
Italy over 2.5 % (9 of the last 10)56%
Italy BTTS % (9 of the last 10)56%
Italy scored / conceded per game (9 of the last 10)2.33 / 1.44
Turkey over 2.5 % (last 10)40%
Turkey BTTS % (last 10)30%
Turkey scored / conceded per game (last 10)1 / 1.5
Odds2/5
Montenegro v ArmeniaMon 5 Oct, 19:45 (UK time)
Montenegro to win
Montenegro are hardly consistent, five wins and five defeats in ten competitive matches, but they beat Latvia 2-1 on 2 October and now meet an Armenia side that has lost seven of nine. At 4/9 that gap in results is the argument.
The numbers
Montenegro last 10 (W-D-L)5-0-5
Armenia last 9 (W-D-L)2-0-7
Montenegro over 2.5 % (last 10)70%
Montenegro BTTS % (last 10)50%
Montenegro scored / conceded per game (last 10)1.2 / 2
Armenia over 2.5 % (last 9)44%
Armenia BTTS % (last 9)33%
Armenia scored / conceded per game (last 9)0.78 / 2.67
Odds4/9
France v BelgiumMon 5 Oct, 19:45 (UK time)
France to win
France at 1/2 rests on seven wins in ten competitive matches, but it is far from a formality: Belgium have lost only twice in their ten and concede well under a goal a game.
The numbers
France last 10 (W-D-L)7-1-2
Belgium last 10 (W-D-L)5-3-2
France over 2.5 % (last 10)40%
France BTTS % (last 10)30%
France scored / conceded per game (last 10)2 / 1
Belgium over 2.5 % (9 of the last 10)56%
Belgium BTTS % (9 of the last 10)44%
Belgium scored / conceded per game (9 of the last 10)2.56 / 0.67
Odds1/2
Cyprus v LatviaMon 5 Oct, 17:00 (UK time)
Cyprus to win
Winless in ten competitive matches, Latvia have lost seven and scored five goals in all. Cyprus have only two wins in their own ten, but they beat Armenia 2-0 on 2 October, and 4/7 is as much about the opposition as the hosts.
The numbers
Cyprus last 10 (W-D-L)2-3-5
Latvia last 10 (W-D-L)0-3-7
Cyprus over 2.5 % (last 10)50%
Cyprus BTTS % (last 10)40%
Cyprus scored / conceded per game (last 10)1.2 / 1.3
Latvia over 2.5 % (last 10)50%
Latvia BTTS % (last 10)40%
Latvia scored / conceded per game (last 10)0.5 / 1.9
Odds4/7
4-fold combined odds 4.63
Bet £10, compare your returns
£10 on this 4-fold across our top bookmakers, best return highlighted. Row prices are the best available per selection; the 4-fold price is the best one bookmaker offers for all four legs together.
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Odds correct at 13:26 on 5 Oct (UK time). Returns include the stake.
Big-Odds Acca
4 selections
Bosnia and Herzegovina v PolandMon 5 Oct, 19:45 (UK time)
Draw
Draws are the habit here: Bosnia and Herzegovina have been level after 90 minutes in six of their last ten competitive matches, the 1-1 with Sweden on 2 October the latest, and Poland have drawn three of their ten. At 12/5 the draw rates well on that record.
The numbers
Bosnia and Herzegovina last 10 (W-D-L)2-6-2
Poland last 10 (W-D-L)5-3-2
Bosnia and Herzegovina over 2.5 % (8 of the last 10)38%
Bosnia and Herzegovina BTTS % (8 of the last 10)75%
Bosnia and Herzegovina scored / conceded per game (8 of the last 10)1.38 / 1.5
Poland over 2.5 % (last 10)60%
Poland BTTS % (last 10)70%
Poland scored / conceded per game (last 10)2.1 / 1.2
Odds12/5
Ukraine v HungaryMon 5 Oct, 19:45 (UK time)
Hungary to win
Hungary beat Georgia 1-0 on 2 October and are the tighter side on the numbers, conceding 1.22 a game across nine competitive matches while Ukraine have let in 1.7 a game across ten. Hungary also score at the better rate, 1.33 a game to Ukraine’s 1.2, which makes a Hungary win at 19/10 the angle here.
The numbers
Ukraine last 10 (W-D-L)4-2-4
Hungary last 9 (W-D-L)3-3-3
Ukraine over 2.5 % (last 10)50%
Ukraine BTTS % (last 10)40%
Ukraine scored / conceded per game (last 10)1.2 / 1.7
Hungary over 2.5 % (last 9)44%
Hungary BTTS % (last 9)44%
Hungary scored / conceded per game (last 9)1.33 / 1.22
Odds19/10
Northern Ireland v GeorgiaMon 5 Oct, 19:45 (UK time)
Northern Ireland to win
Goals are scarce where Northern Ireland are concerned: they concede 0.8 a game across ten competitive matches, and Georgia average under a goal a game themselves. That defence is the foundation for the home win at 7/5.
The numbers
Northern Ireland last 10 (W-D-L)5-1-4
Georgia last 9 (W-D-L)1-1-7
Northern Ireland over 2.5 % (last 10)30%
Northern Ireland BTTS % (last 10)20%
Northern Ireland scored / conceded per game (last 10)1.1 / 0.8
Georgia over 2.5 % (last 9)56%
Georgia BTTS % (last 9)33%
Georgia scored / conceded per game (last 9)0.78 / 1.89
Odds7/5
Romania v SwedenMon 5 Oct, 19:45 (UK time)
Sweden to win
Sweden are the visitors, and the records still favour them: two defeats in their last ten competitive matches, where Romania have lost six of theirs. The 1-1 draw with Bosnia and Herzegovina on 2 October was a point dropped more than a warning, and 8/11 is a fair reflection.
The numbers
Romania last 10 (W-D-L)3-1-6
Sweden last 10 (W-D-L)5-3-2
Romania over 2.5 % (last 10)70%
Romania BTTS % (last 10)60%
Romania scored / conceded per game (last 10)1.7 / 2.1
Sweden over 2.5 % (last 10)70%
Sweden BTTS % (last 10)90%
Sweden scored / conceded per game (last 10)2 / 1.7
Odds8/11
4-fold combined odds 40.32
Bet £10, compare your returns
£10 on this 4-fold across our top bookmakers, best return highlighted. Row prices are the best available per selection; the 4-fold price is the best one bookmaker offers for all four legs together.
Odds correct at 13:26 on 5 Oct (UK time). Returns include the stake.
Tip of the Day
1 selection
Northern Ireland v GeorgiaMon 5 Oct, 19:45 (UK time)
Northern Ireland to win
The contrast in results is stark: Georgia have won once in nine competitive matches and lost seven, while Northern Ireland have five wins in ten and beat Ukraine 3-0 on 2 October. At 7/5 the home win stands out as the day’s best single.
The numbers
Northern Ireland last 10 (W-D-L)5-1-4
Georgia last 9 (W-D-L)1-1-7
Northern Ireland over 2.5 % (last 10)30%
Northern Ireland BTTS % (last 10)20%
Northern Ireland scored / conceded per game (last 10)1.1 / 0.8
Georgia over 2.5 % (last 9)56%
Georgia BTTS % (last 9)33%
Georgia scored / conceded per game (last 9)0.78 / 1.89
Odds7/5
Selection odds 7/5
Bet £10, compare your returns
£10 on this selection across our top bookmakers, best return highlighted.
Odds correct at 13:26 on 5 Oct (UK time). Returns include the stake.
Goals Accumulator
3 selections
Romania v SwedenMon 5 Oct, 19:45 (UK time)
Over 2.5 goals
Both sides have seen seven of their last ten competitive matches go over 2.5 goals, and Romania’s 6-0 loss to Poland on 2 October was a reminder of how open they can be. That shared record is why the line is as short as 11/20. Also in: Big-Odds Acca.
The numbers
Romania over 2.5 % (last 10)70%
Romania scored / conceded per game (last 10)1.7 / 2.1
Sweden over 2.5 % (last 10)70%
Sweden scored / conceded per game (last 10)2 / 1.7
Odds11/20
Montenegro v ArmeniaMon 5 Oct, 19:45 (UK time)
Over 2.5 goals
Seven of Montenegro’s last ten competitive matches have cleared 2.5 goals, and they concede two a game. Armenia’s own figure is a cooler four of nine, but they concede 2.67 a game, which is the reason 2/3 appeals. Also in: Accumulator of the Day.
The numbers
Montenegro over 2.5 % (last 10)70%
Montenegro scored / conceded per game (last 10)1.2 / 2
Armenia over 2.5 % (last 9)44%
Armenia scored / conceded per game (last 9)0.78 / 2.67
Odds2/3
Bosnia and Herzegovina v PolandMon 5 Oct, 19:45 (UK time)
Both teams to score
Neither side keeps it quiet at either end: both teams have scored in six of the eight Bosnia and Herzegovina matches settled in 90 minutes among their last ten and in seven of Poland’s last ten. Poland score 2.1 a game and concede 1.2, the profile behind the 2/3. Also in: Big-Odds Acca.
The numbers
Bosnia and Herzegovina last 10 (W-D-L)2-6-2
Poland last 10 (W-D-L)5-3-2
Bosnia and Herzegovina over 2.5 % (8 of the last 10)38%
Bosnia and Herzegovina BTTS % (8 of the last 10)75%
Bosnia and Herzegovina scored / conceded per game (8 of the last 10)1.38 / 1.5
Poland over 2.5 % (last 10)60%
Poland BTTS % (last 10)70%
Poland scored / conceded per game (last 10)2.1 / 1.2
Odds2/3
3-fold combined odds 4.27
Bet £10, compare your returns
£10 on this 3-fold across our top bookmakers, best return highlighted. Row prices are the best available per selection; the 3-fold price is the best one bookmaker offers for all three legs together.
Odds correct at 13:26 on 5 Oct (UK time). Returns include the stake.
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