Europa League · Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth · Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October 2026, 20:00 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for AFC Bournemouth v SK Sturm Graz, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
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Odds correct at 00:17 on 15 Oct. Returns include the stake.
This bet needs both sides to score and three or four goals in all: 2-1, 1-2, 3-1, 1-3 or 2-2, with Bournemouth’s score first. Over 2.5 Goals at 4/11 needs at least three, and the way there is a goal for each side plus one more: Bournemouth failed to score only once in their last ten Premier League matches while conceding 1.5 a game, and Sturm Graz failed to score just once in their last eight in the Austrian Bundesliga. The record is the case against it, with only five of those Bournemouth matches and three of Sturm Graz’s going over 2.5, and Sturm Graz’s 0-0 at home to Rennes in the Europa League on 16 September is the sort of tight night that would sink this leg. We back it because both sides keep scoring: if both find the net, one more goal does the rest.
Only five or more goals beat this leg, and that happened once in Bournemouth’s last ten Premier League matches and not once in Sturm Graz’s last eight in the Austrian Bundesliga. Under 4.5 Goals at 19/50 still leaves room for a four-goal finish, which this bet wants as much as a three-goal one, because 2-2, 3-1 and 1-3 are all among its winning scores.
Both teams to score at 9/10 sits under every result this bet needs, since every score on its list has a goal for both sides. Both sides scored in seven of Bournemouth’s last ten Premier League matches, though Sturm Graz kept three clean sheets in their last eight in the Austrian Bundesliga and saw both sides score in only four of them. Bournemouth’s 2-1 win at Real Sociedad in the Europa League on 17 September had both sides on the scoresheet.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over up to the last ten league matches for each side. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (up to their last 10 league matches: AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League, SK Sturm Graz in the Austrian Bundesliga, to 10 October 2026)
The record
| AFC Bournemouth | SK Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 2-5-3 | 4-2-2 |
| AFC Bournemouth home / SK Sturm Graz away | 1-3-1 | 2-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.75 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| AFC Bournemouth | SK Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.3 | 1.25 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 1.4 (5) | 1.2 (5) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 1 (5) | 1.4 (5) |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
Venue row is AFC Bournemouth at home and SK Sturm Graz away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| AFC Bournemouth | SK Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 80% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 50% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 40% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 30% | 13% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Both teams to score
| AFC Bournemouth | SK Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 70% | 50% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 60% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
Europa League table so far, 1 played
| AFC Bournemouth | SK Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12 | 20 |
| Points | 3 | 1 |
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
| Goals for-against | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Goal difference | +1 | +0 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
The odds put an AFC Bournemouth win at about 80%. Recent results are not set against the odds on this page: AFC Bournemouth’s are from the Premier League and SK Sturm Graz’s from the Austrian Bundesliga, so the two records were not earned against the same opposition.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| AFC Bournemouth (last 10) | SK Sturm Graz (last 8) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 2-5-3 | 4-2-2 |
| Home / away split | 1-3-1 | 2-1-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.3 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| BTTS % | 70% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 50% | 38% |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
AFC Bournemouth
SK Sturm Graz
AFC Bournemouth
SK Sturm Graz
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Bournemouth | 12 | 3 | 2-1 |
| SK Sturm Graz | 20 | 1 | 0-0 |
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