Premier League · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Matchday 7 · Saturday 17 October 2026, 12:30 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Everton v Chelsea, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
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Odds correct at 11:33 on 16 Oct. Returns include the stake.
For this bet to come in, Everton have to win a match with at least two goals and ten or more corners, and Over 1.5 Goals at 2/9 covers the two goals. Every one of Chelsea’s last six matches had two goals or more, and they have not kept a clean sheet in any of them. Everton are tighter, with three clean sheets in six and two of those games finishing on one goal or none. An Everton win by the only goal of the game would give this bet its result and still lose it on this leg.
Both sides’ matches have averaged more corners than this line over their last six, ten a game in Everton’s and 11.2 in Chelsea’s, counting both teams, and four of Chelsea’s six went over 9.5. Over 9.5 corners at 8/11 needs ten or more, and three of Everton’s six finished on nine or fewer, which is the case against.
Everton to win at 9/4 is our pick on this fixture, and the case starts with a side unbeaten in six, two wins and four draws, who won two of their three home games and drew the other. Those draws are the danger, the 2-2 with Hull City on 11 October among them, and Chelsea bring the sharper attack at 2.5 goals a game with three wins of their own in their last six. Yet Chelsea have lost two of their three away from home and conceded 2.17 a game across their last six, which is where Everton’s goals have to come from.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 6
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last six Premier League matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 6 Premier League matches, 2026/27, to 11 October 2026)
The record
| Everton | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 2-4-0 | 3-1-2 |
| Everton home / Chelsea away | 2-1-0 | 1-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.67 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Everton | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.33 | 2.5 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 1.67 (3) | 1.33 (3) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 0.83 | 2.17 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 0.67 (3) | 2.33 (3) |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
Venue row is Everton at home and Chelsea away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Everton | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 33% (3) | 100% (3) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 33% | 67% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Recent form at a glance (both sides combined)
Each dial combines both sides’ recent rates. The dials show recent form only.
Both teams to score
| Everton | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 50% | 83% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 33% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
Last 5 meetings (Everton’s view)
Record in those meetings
| Meetings | 5 |
| Everton wins / draws / Chelsea wins | 1-1-3 |
| Goals (Everton / Chelsea) | 3 / 9 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 2.4 |
| Both teams scored | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
Final scores, extra time included.
2026/27 table
| Everton | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5 | 6 |
| Points | 10 | 10 |
| Played | 6 | 6 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 2-4-0 | 3-1-2 |
| Goals for-against | 8-5 | 15-13 |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Everton to win: recent results against the odds
The odds put Everton’s chance of winning at 30%, and on recent results it comes out at about 33%. Recent results are one guide among several, and Everton are our pick, as in the bet builder. The recent-results figure comes from only six matches each, so it does not tell us much on its own.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Everton (last 6) | Chelsea (last 6) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 2-4-0 | 3-1-2 |
| Home / away split | 2-1-0 | 1-0-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.33 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.83 | 2.17 |
| BTTS % | 50% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 33% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
Everton
Chelsea
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 5 | 10 | 8-5 |
| Chelsea | 6 | 10 | 15-13 |
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