Premier League · Old Trafford, Manchester · Matchday 6 · Saturday 10 October 2026, 17:30 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
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Odds correct at 08:46 on 8 Oct. Returns include the stake.
This bet wins if Manchester United win 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0, which means a home win, no Tottenham goal and the total kept under 3.5. At 13/20, Under 3.5 Goals carries its risk on the home side, where two of United’s last five Premier League matches went over that line, but only one of Tottenham’s five did and they have averaged 0.4 goals a game. Five matches each is a short run to judge on, so read those rates with care.
The doubt is Manchester United’s own record: one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five, including a 1-1 with Fulham back on 20 September, and they failed to score in two of those matches. They are still our pick on this fixture at 7/10, because Tottenham come into it in poorer form and with far less in attack. Tottenham have not won any of their last five, losing three, and have failed to score in four of them, averaging 0.4 goals a game to United’s 1.6. Their two draws in that run show how this pick can fall short, and with only five matches behind each side the picture can change quickly.
Both teams to score: No at 6/4 is the leg that asks United to keep Tottenham out, and Tottenham have drawn a blank in four of their last five, with both sides scoring in only one of those matches. United are the argument against: no clean sheet in their last five, 1.6 goals conceded a game and both teams scoring in three of them.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 5
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last five Premier League matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 5 Premier League matches, 2026/27, to 20 September 2026)
The record
| Manchester United | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 1-2-2 | 0-2-3 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
Goals per game
Overall
| Manchester United | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 |
Goals-line hit rate
Overall
| Manchester United | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 40% | 20% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Recent form at a glance (both sides combined)
Each dial combines both sides’ recent rates. The dials show recent form only.
Both teams to score
| Manchester United | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 |
Last 5 meetings (Manchester United’s view)
Head-to-head record
| Meetings | 5 |
| Manchester United wins / draws / Tottenham Hotspur wins | 1-1-3 |
| Goals (Manchester United / Tottenham Hotspur) | 7 / 8 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 3.0 |
| Both teams scored | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
Final scores, extra time included.
2026/27 table
| Manchester United | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12 | 20 |
| Points | 5 | 2 |
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-2-2 | 0-2-3 |
| Goals for-against | 8-8 | 2-8 |
| Goal difference | +0 | -6 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Manchester United to win: recent results against the odds
The risk. On recent results a Manchester United win comes out at about 40%, and the odds say 57%. That gap is the risk in our bet builder. The recent-results figure comes from only five matches each, so it does not tell us much on its own.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Manchester United (last 5) | Tottenham Hotspur (last 5) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 1-2-2 | 0-2-3 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| BTTS % | 60% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
Manchester United
Tottenham Hotspur
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 12 | 5 | 8-8 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 20 | 2 | 2-8 |
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