Champions League · Old Trafford, Manchester · Matchday 4 · Tuesday 3 November 2026, 20:00
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Manchester United v AS Roma, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Odds correct at 10:49 on 3 Nov. Returns include the stake.
Nine of Manchester United’s last ten Premier League matches had two goals or more, and AS Roma’s last ten in Serie A show the same nine, which is the case for Over 1.5 Goals at 1/7. The other two legs ask for a Roma win with United held scoreless, so a Roma win by a single goal would land both of them and still lose the bet. Roma’s 2.8 goals a game in Serie A is the case for a winning margin of two or more.
Paired with a Roma win, this leg comes down to United failing to score, which they did in four of their last ten Premier League matches, while Roma kept five clean sheets in their last ten in Serie A. It can still go wrong: both teams scored in half of each side’s last ten league games, and in the Champions League Roma conceded four at home in a 3-4 defeat by Real Madrid, while United scored in their 1-4 loss at Como.
AS Roma at 2/1 are our pick on this fixture, unbeaten in their last ten Serie A matches with seven wins, three draws and five clean sheets. Draws are the danger, since two of those three came in Roma’s five away games, and Manchester United drew four of their last ten in the Premier League while winning two. Those records come from two different leagues and do not measure the sides against each other, but United won only one of their four home games in those ten. The meetings between the clubs lean United’s way, but they are years old and say little about either side now.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last ten league matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 10 league matches: Manchester United in the Premier League, AS Roma in Serie A, to 31 October 2026)
The record
| Manchester United | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 2-4-4 | 7-3-0 |
| Manchester United home / AS Roma away | 1-1-2 | 3-2-0 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.40 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Manchester United | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 1.5 (4) | 2.8 (5) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.5 | 1 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 1.75 (4) | 1 (5) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 |
Venue row is Manchester United at home and AS Roma away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Manchester United | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 90% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 40% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 50% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 20% | 60% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Both teams to score
| Manchester United | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 50% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 |
Last 5 meetings (Manchester United’s view)
Record in those meetings
| Meetings | 5 |
| Manchester United wins / draws / AS Roma wins | 3-1-1 |
| Goals (Manchester United / AS Roma) | 12 / 6 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 3.6 |
| Both teams scored | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
Final scores, extra time included.
Champions League table so far, 3 played
| Manchester United | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 21 | 15 |
| Points | 3 | 4 |
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-0-2 | 1-1-1 |
| Goals for-against | 5-6 | 8-5 |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
Points and goals
The odds put an AS Roma win at about 32%. Recent results are not set against the odds on this page: Manchester United’s are from the Premier League and AS Roma’s from Serie A, so the two records were not earned against the same opposition.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Manchester United (last 10) | AS Roma (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 2-4-4 | 7-3-0 |
| Home / away split | 1-1-2 | 3-2-0 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.5 | 1 |
| BTTS % | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 |
Manchester United
AS Roma
Manchester United
AS Roma
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 21 | 3 | 5-6 |
| AS Roma | 15 | 4 | 8-5 |
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