Premier League · St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne · Matchday 9 · Monday 2 November 2026, 20:00
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Newcastle United v Everton, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Odds correct at 11:07 on 2 Nov. Returns include the stake.
Over 9.5 corners at 8/11 rests mainly on Everton’s matches, which averaged 10.9 corners across their last eight Premier League games, with five of the eight going over the line. Newcastle’s matches are the soft spot, averaging ten corners but splitting four over and four under, and three of Everton’s eight also fell short of ten.
Five of Newcastle’s last eight Premier League matches finished with three goals or more, and they conceded 1.75 goals a game over that run, so Under 2.5 Goals at 11/10 comes with an obvious risk. Everton’s matches read the other way, with six of their last eight ending on two goals or fewer. Everton averaged one goal scored and 1.13 conceded a game, the tighter defence of the two sides. The recent meetings, Everton’s cup win included, have been far more open, so this leg backs Everton’s league pattern over the head-to-head.
Both teams to score: No at 13/10 is what keeps a score draw out of this bet, and Everton’s games back it, with both sides scoring in only three of their last eight. The worry is Newcastle, whose matches saw both teams score five times in eight while they kept only two clean sheets, and both teams also scored in most of the recent meetings between these sides. This leg wins whenever either side is kept out, and Everton have kept three clean sheets and failed to score three times.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 8
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last eight Premier League matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 8 Premier League matches, 2026/27, to 25 October 2026)
The record
| Newcastle United | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 3-2-3 | 2-4-2 |
| Newcastle United home / Everton away | 1-2-1 | 0-3-1 |
| Points per game | 1.38 | 1.25 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Newcastle United | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.5 | 1 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 1.5 (4) | 0.75 (4) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 1.5 (4) | 1.25 (4) |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 |
Venue row is Newcastle United at home and Everton away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Newcastle United | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 88% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 63% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 75% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 50% | 25% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Recent form at a glance (both sides combined)
Each dial combines both sides’ recent rates. The dials show recent form only.
Both teams to score
| Newcastle United | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 63% | 38% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 75% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 |
Last 5 meetings (Newcastle United’s view)
Record in those meetings
| Meetings | 5 |
| Newcastle United wins / draws / Everton wins | 1-1-3 |
| Goals (Newcastle United / Everton) | 7 / 8 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 3.0 |
| Both teams scored | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
Final scores, extra time included.
2026/27 table
| Newcastle United | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12 | 14 |
| Points | 11 | 10 |
| Played | 8 | 8 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 3-2-3 | 2-4-2 |
| Goals for-against | 12-14 | 8-9 |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
Points and goals
Newcastle United to win: recent results against the odds
The risk. On recent results a Newcastle United win comes out at about 31%, and the odds say 44%. That gap is the risk in backing the favourite.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Newcastle United (last 8) | Everton (last 8) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 3-2-3 | 2-4-2 |
| Home / away split | 1-2-1 | 0-3-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| BTTS % | 63% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 63% | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
Newcastle United
Everton
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 11 | 12-14 |
| Everton | 14 | 10 | 8-9 |
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