Champions League · Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona · Matchday 4 · Tuesday 3 November 2026, 20:00
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Barcelona v Aston Villa, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Odds correct at 10:49 on 3 Nov. Returns include the stake.
Over 2.5 goals at 1/5 starts with Barcelona’s La Liga scoring: 4.1 goals a game across their last ten, with nine of those ten matches producing three goals or more. They scored in all ten as well, and none of those matches finished with fewer than two goals. The softer side is Aston Villa: six of their last ten in the Premier League had three goals or more, which leaves four that finished on two or fewer.
Aston Villa have lost only three of their last ten in the Premier League, with four wins and three draws, and that is the record standing in Barcelona’s way. Barcelona to win at 2/7 rests on La Liga form of nine wins in ten, the most recent 6-1 against Deportivo Alavés on 31 October. Five of those wins came in six home matches, and the one defeat in the run came at home too. Those records were earned in two different leagues, so each stands on its own rather than as a measure of the other in this match.
Four cards or more turned up in seven of Aston Villa’s last nine Premier League matches, which averaged 5.4 cards a game between both sides. Barcelona’s La Liga matches back it as well, with six of their last ten reaching four cards or more at 3.9 a game.
Under 9.5 corners leans on Aston Villa’s Premier League matches, which averaged 8.6 corners with six of their last nine finishing on nine or fewer. Barcelona’s La Liga games are the risk, averaging 10.2 corners with five of their last ten reaching ten or more.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last ten league matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 10 league matches: Barcelona in La Liga, Aston Villa in the Premier League, to 31 October 2026)
The record
| Barcelona | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 9-0-1 | 4-3-3 |
| Barcelona home / Aston Villa away | 5-0-1 | 3-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.70 | 1.50 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Barcelona | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 4.1 | 1.2 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 4 (6) | 1.2 (5) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 1.17 (6) | 1.4 (5) |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 |
Venue row is Barcelona at home and Aston Villa away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Barcelona | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 100% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 90% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 83% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 70% | 30% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Both teams to score
| Barcelona | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 70% | 60% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 67% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 |
Champions League table so far, 3 played
| Barcelona | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8 | 2 |
| Points | 6 | 9 |
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 2-0-1 | 3-0-0 |
| Goals for-against | 11-6 | 12-3 |
| Goal difference | +5 | +9 |
Points and goals
The odds put a Barcelona win at about 75%. Recent results are not set against the odds on this page: Barcelona’s are from La Liga and Aston Villa’s from the Premier League, so the two records were not earned against the same opposition.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Barcelona (last 10) | Aston Villa (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 9-0-1 | 4-3-3 |
| Home / away split | 5-0-1 | 3-1-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 4.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| BTTS % | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 90% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
Barcelona
Aston Villa
Barcelona
Aston Villa
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 8 | 6 | 11-6 |
| Aston Villa | 2 | 9 | 12-3 |
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