Premier League · Anfield, Liverpool · Matchday 8 · Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
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Odds correct at 10:14 on 23 Oct. Returns include the stake.
This bet needs Brighton to win a game that has two goals or more and eleven corners or more, and Over 1.5 Goals at 1/6 is the leg their recent matches back most firmly. Every one of Brighton’s last seven Premier League matches had at least two goals, and they scored in all seven. The danger is a narrow Brighton win to nil, since they kept five clean sheets in those seven and Liverpool failed to score in two of their last seven league games.
Over 10.5 corners at 21/20 needs this game to run like Brighton’s recent matches rather than Liverpool’s. Brighton’s last seven Premier League matches averaged 10.7 corners between both teams, with five of the seven reaching eleven or more. Liverpool’s league matches are the brake: they averaged 9.8 corners, and only three of the six with official corner figures got to eleven. With two of Brighton’s seven also stopping short, eleven corners is far from a given.
The case against is Liverpool’s resilience, with only one defeat in their last seven Premier League matches (three wins, three draws) and three clean sheets in that run. Even so, Brighton to win at 9/4 is our pick on this fixture, built on five wins from their last seven league matches, 3.29 goals a game to Liverpool’s 1.29, and a 5-0 win over Crystal Palace on 18 October. Liverpool have not won any of their three league games at home, drawing two and losing one, while Brighton won two of their three league games away.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 7
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last seven Premier League matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 7 Premier League matches, 2026/27, to 18 October 2026)
The record
| Liverpool | Brighton and Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 3-3-1 | 5-1-1 |
| Liverpool home / Brighton and Hove Albion away | 0-2-1 | 2-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.71 | 2.29 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Liverpool | Brighton and Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.29 | 3.29 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 0.67 (3) | 3.33 (3) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 1.67 (3) | 1.33 (3) |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 |
Venue row is Liverpool at home and Brighton and Hove Albion away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Liverpool | Brighton and Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 71% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 57% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 29% | 57% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Recent form at a glance (both sides combined)
Each dial combines both sides’ recent rates. The dials show recent form only.
Both teams to score
| Liverpool | Brighton and Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 43% | 29% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 33% (3) | 33% (3) |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 |
Last 5 meetings (Liverpool’s view)
Record in those meetings
| Meetings | 5 |
| Liverpool wins / draws / Brighton and Hove Albion wins | 3-0-2 |
| Goals (Liverpool / Brighton and Hove Albion) | 10 / 6 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 3.2 |
| Both teams scored | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
Final scores, extra time included.
2026/27 table
| Liverpool | Brighton and Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5 | 3 |
| Points | 12 | 16 |
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 3-3-1 | 5-1-1 |
| Goals for-against | 9-8 | 23-5 |
| Goal difference | +1 | +18 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Brighton and Hove Albion to win: recent results against the odds
The odds put Brighton and Hove Albion’s chance of winning at 30%, and on recent results it comes out at about 43%. Recent results are one guide among several, and Brighton and Hove Albion are our pick, as in the bet builder. The recent-results figure comes from only seven matches each, so it does not tell us much on its own.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Liverpool (last 7) | Brighton and Hove Albion (last 7) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 3-3-1 | 5-1-1 |
| Home / away split | 0-2-1 | 2-0-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.29 | 3.29 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| BTTS % | 43% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 57% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 |
Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 5 | 12 | 9-8 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 16 | 23-5 |
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