Premier League · Stamford Bridge, London · Matchday 8 · Saturday 24 October 2026, 17:30 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
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Odds correct at 10:14 on 23 Oct. Returns include the stake.
This bet needs three goals or more, a Chelsea win and at least eleven corners, and Over 2.5 Goals at 8/15 is the first part of it. Six of Chelsea’s last seven Premier League matches went over 2.5 and all seven had at least two goals, with Chelsea scoring 2.43 a game and conceding 1.86. Tottenham Hotspur pull the other way, going over in only three of their last seven and failing to score in four. A 1-0 or 2-0 Chelsea win would still lose this bet, so the result alone is not enough.
The draw is what can stop Chelsea: Tottenham Hotspur drew three of their last seven Premier League matches, two of them in their three away games, and Chelsea kept only one clean sheet in that run. Chelsea are 4-1-2 over those seven, with two wins and a draw from their three home games. Tottenham have won once in seven, and Chelsea to win at 7/10 is the result this bet needs.
Over 10.5 corners at 5/6 needs eleven or more in the match, both teams together. Chelsea’s last seven Premier League matches averaged 11.3 corners and Tottenham Hotspur’s averaged 11, so both clubs’ games have been finishing just above the line rather than clear of it. Four of each side’s seven went over 10.5. The case against is just as plain: the other three on each side went under.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 7
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last seven Premier League matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 7 Premier League matches, 2026/27, to 19 October 2026)
The record
| Chelsea | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 4-1-2 | 1-3-3 |
| Chelsea home / Tottenham Hotspur away | 2-1-0 | 0-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 0.86 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Chelsea | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 2.43 | 0.86 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 3.67 (3) | 0.33 (3) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.86 | 1.43 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 2 (3) | 1.33 (3) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 |
Venue row is Chelsea at home and Tottenham Hotspur away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Chelsea | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 100% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 86% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 100% (3) | 33% (3) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 57% | 29% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Recent form at a glance (both sides combined)
Each dial combines both sides’ recent rates. The dials show recent form only.
Both teams to score
| Chelsea | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 71% | 43% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 100% (3) | 33% (3) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 |
Last 5 meetings (Chelsea’s view)
Record in those meetings
| Meetings | 5 |
| Chelsea wins / draws / Tottenham Hotspur wins | 5-0-0 |
| Goals (Chelsea / Tottenham Hotspur) | 10 / 4 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 2.8 |
| Both teams scored | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
Final scores, extra time included.
2026/27 table
| Chelsea | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4 | 16 |
| Points | 13 | 6 |
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 4-1-2 | 1-3-3 |
| Goals for-against | 17-13 | 6-10 |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Chelsea to win: recent results against the odds
The risk. On recent results a Chelsea win comes out at about 50%, and the odds say 56%. That gap is the risk in our bet builder. The recent-results figure comes from only seven matches each, so it does not tell us much on its own.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Chelsea (last 7) | Tottenham Hotspur (last 7) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 4-1-2 | 1-3-3 |
| Home / away split | 2-1-0 | 0-2-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.43 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.86 | 1.43 |
| BTTS % | 71% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 86% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 4 | 13 | 17-13 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 16 | 6 | 6-10 |
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