UEFA Europa League · Enea stadion, Poznań · Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October 2026, 17:45
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Lech Poznan v Sunderland, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Odds correct at 11:12 on 22 Oct. Returns include the stake.
Three goals or more, a goal for each side and nine corners at most is the result this bet needs, and the case for Over 2.5 Goals at 4/5 starts with Lech Poznan. Eight of their last ten Ekstraklasa matches had three goals or more, with Lech scoring 2.7 a game and conceding 0.9. Sunderland are the worry: six of their last ten Premier League matches ended with two goals or fewer, and their 1-0 home win over AZ Alkmaar in the Europa League on 16 September was exactly the sort of tight game that beats this leg. They have also let in 1.6 a game in the Premier League, and since this bet already needs a Sunderland goal, Lech would need only two of their own.
Sunderland’s scoring is the doubt here, with four blanks in their last ten Premier League matches on 1.1 goals a game, and Lech Poznan failed to score when losing 0-4 at home to Leverkusen on 15 October and 0-4 at Crystal Palace on 17 September. We still have both teams to score at 4/5 because Lech scored in nine of their last ten Ekstraklasa matches and kept only three clean sheets, with seven of those ten seeing a goal at each end. Sunderland found the net in six of their last ten Premier League matches and won 2-1 at Torreense in their latest Europa League game, and one goal is all this leg asks of them.
The last part of this bet is nine corners or fewer, and Sunderland’s Premier League matches make the case for Under 9.5 corners at 87/100, with their last seven averaging 8.4 corners between the two teams and five of them finishing on nine or fewer. The counter-argument is in Lech Poznan’s Ekstraklasa matches: their last nine averaged 10.8 corners, and five of those reached ten or more.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last ten league matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 10 league matches: Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa, Sunderland in the Premier League, to 18 October 2026)
The record
| Lech Poznan | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 8-1-1 | 3-2-5 |
| Lech Poznan home / Sunderland away | 5-1-0 | 1-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 1.10 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Lech Poznan | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 2.83 (6) | 1.6 (5) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 0.5 (6) | 2.2 (5) |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 |
Venue row is Lech Poznan at home and Sunderland away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Lech Poznan | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 67% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 40% | 20% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Both teams to score
| Lech Poznan | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 70% | 50% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 50% (6) | 80% (5) |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 |
Europa League table so far, 2 played
| Lech Poznan | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 36 | 9 |
| Points | 0 | 6 |
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 0-0-2 | 2-0-0 |
| Goals for-against | 0-8 | 3-1 |
| Goal difference | -8 | +2 |
Points and goals
The odds put a Sunderland win at about 55%. Recent results are not set against the odds on this page: Lech Poznan’s are from the Ekstraklasa and Sunderland’s from the Premier League, so the two records were not earned against the same opposition.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Lech Poznan (last 10) | Sunderland (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 8-1-1 | 3-2-5 |
| Home / away split | 5-1-0 | 1-1-3 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| BTTS % | 70% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
Lech Poznan
Sunderland
Lech Poznan
Sunderland
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznan | 36 | 0 | 0-8 |
| Sunderland | 9 | 6 | 3-1 |
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