Champions League · Emirates Stadium, London · Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October 2026, 20:00 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Arsenal v Lille OSC, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
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Odds correct at 13:46 on 13 Oct. Returns include the stake.
Arsenal to win, at 2/9, is our pick on this fixture, and the full bet asks for more than that: an Arsenal win by 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0, with Lille kept off the scoresheet. The case is their Premier League record, nine wins from their last ten matches, a 2-1 win over Leeds United on 10 October among them. Lille are the argument against, with four wins, one draw and one defeat from their six Ligue 1 matches, though those results come from a different league and cannot be set against Arsenal’s like for like. At home, Arsenal have won all five of their matches among those ten.
This leg is the ceiling on the bet: Under 3.5 Goals, at 8/13, stops the winning scores at 3-0, so a fourth Arsenal goal loses it. None of Arsenal’s last ten Premier League matches had four goals or more, although six of them had exactly three, and one of Lille’s six Ligue 1 matches had four or more. The case against comes from this competition: Lille’s opening Champions League match, a 2-3 home defeat by Real Betis on 8 September, had five goals in it.
Start with the risk: Lille have scored in every one of their six Ligue 1 matches, and they scored twice against Real Betis in the Champions League as well. In this bet, Both teams to score: No, at 7/10, comes down to an Arsenal clean sheet. Arsenal have kept six in their last ten Premier League matches, and both teams scored in three of the ten. Their own Champions League opener, away to Napoli on 9 September, finished 1-0 to Arsenal.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over up to the last ten league matches for each side. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (up to their last 10 league matches: Arsenal in the Premier League, Lille OSC in Ligue 1, to 10 October 2026)
The record
| Arsenal | Lille OSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 9-0-1 | 4-1-1 |
| Arsenal home / Lille OSC away | 5-0-0 | 2-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.70 | 2.17 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Arsenal | Lille OSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 2.2 (5) | 1.33 (3) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 0.6 | 0.67 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 0.4 (5) | 0.67 (3) |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
Venue row is Arsenal at home and Lille OSC away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Arsenal | Lille OSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 70% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 80% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 0% | 17% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Both teams to score
| Arsenal | Lille OSC | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 30% | 33% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 40% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
Champions League table so far, 1 played
| Arsenal | Lille OSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 15 | 24 |
| Points | 3 | 0 |
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-0-0 | 0-0-1 |
| Goals for-against | 1-0 | 2-3 |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
The odds put an Arsenal win at about 80%. Recent results are not set against the odds on this page: Arsenal’s are from the Premier League and Lille OSC’s from Ligue 1, so the two records were not earned against the same opposition.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Arsenal (last 10) | Lille OSC (last 6) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 9-0-1 | 4-1-1 |
| Home / away split | 5-0-0 | 2-0-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.6 | 0.67 |
| BTTS % | 30% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 60% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 |
Arsenal
Lille OSC
Arsenal
Lille OSC
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 15 | 3 | 1-0 |
| Lille OSC | 24 | 0 | 2-3 |
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