Champions League · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como · Matchday 3 · Wednesday 21 October 2026, 17:45
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Como 1907 v Manchester United, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Odds correct at 10:04 on 21 Oct. Returns include the stake.
Under 4.5 goals at 1/4 does less work here than it looks. With no on both teams to score in the same bet, one side has to keep a clean sheet anyway, so this leg only rules out a one-sided game of five goals or more. Only one of Como’s last seven Serie A matches and two of Manchester United’s last ten in the Premier League reached five goals at all. Both of Como’s Champions League games this season reached five goals, the 4-1 win over RB Leipzig and the 2-3 defeat at Feyenoord, but both teams scored in each, which the other leg already rules out.
Manchester United’s last seven Premier League matches averaged 4.6 cards between the two sides, and five of those seven reached four or more. Over 3.5 cards at 21/20 has a weaker case at the other end, because Como’s last seven in Serie A averaged 3.4 cards and four of them stayed under this line. The bet leans on the United half of that record, with every card in the match, from either side, going towards the total.
No on both teams to score at 7/4 is the hardest leg in this bet: both sides scored in five of Como’s last seven Serie A matches and in six of Manchester United’s last ten in the Premier League. The case for it is the other four of United’s ten, which ended with one side not scoring, and United also drew a blank in the 2-0 defeat at Atlético de Madrid in the Champions League on 13 October. Como have failed to score twice in seven, so a repeat at either end is what this leg needs.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over up to the last ten league matches for each side. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (up to their last 10 league matches: Como 1907 in Serie A, Manchester United in the Premier League, to 18 October 2026)
The record
| Como 1907 | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 4-2-1 | 3-5-2 |
| Como 1907 home / Manchester United away | – | 1-4-1 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Como 1907 | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.71 | 1.6 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | – | 1.17 (6) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1 | 1.2 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | – | 1 (6) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 |
Venue row is Como 1907 at home and Manchester United away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Como 1907 | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 86% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 57% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | – | 33% (6) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 29% | 30% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Both teams to score
| Como 1907 | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 71% | 60% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | – | 50% (6) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 |
Champions League table so far, 2 played
| Como 1907 | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 17 | 18 |
| Points | 3 | 3 |
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-0-1 | 1-0-1 |
| Goals for-against | 6-4 | 4-2 |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
Points and goals
The odds put a Como 1907 win at about 41%. Recent results are not set against the odds on this page: Como 1907’s are from Serie A and Manchester United’s from the Premier League, so the two records were not earned against the same opposition.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Como 1907 (last 7) | Manchester United (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 4-2-1 | 3-5-2 |
| Home / away split | – | 1-4-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.71 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1 | 1.2 |
| BTTS % | 71% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 57% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
Como 1907
Manchester United
Como 1907
Manchester United
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 | 17 | 3 | 6-4 |
| Manchester United | 18 | 3 | 4-2 |
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