Champions League · Villa Park, Birmingham · Matchday 3 · Wednesday 21 October 2026, 20:00
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Aston Villa v Viking FK, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Odds correct at 10:04 on 21 Oct. Returns include the stake.
Both teams to score at 7/10 has the two league records behind it: both sides scored in six of Aston Villa’s last ten Premier League matches and in seven of Viking FK’s last ten in the Eliteserien, where Viking have scored in every game. Most of Villa’s both-scored games ran to four goals or more, though, and this bet needs one that stops at three. Clean sheets are the risk at both ends, two for Villa in that run and three for Viking, and one here would end the bet.
The worry for Over 3.5 cards at 9/10 is on Viking FK’s side, where three of their last seven Eliteserien matches finished with three cards or fewer. Those seven averaged four cards a match between both teams, and four of them produced the four or more cards this leg needs. Aston Villa’s last seven in the Premier League averaged just over five cards a match, both teams together, and only two stayed at three or fewer.
Under 3.5 goals, at 11/10, fits Viking FK’s Eliteserien form, where all of their last ten produced at least two goals and eight stopped at three or fewer. The pressure on this leg comes from Aston Villa, five of whose last ten in the Premier League reached four goals or more. The Champions League cuts against it too: every one of the two sides’ European results this season had four goals or more, from Villa’s 6-0 win over Fenerbahçe to Viking’s 3-3 draw in their last. What this bet wants is goals at both ends without a rout, and a 2-1 either way is the score it is built around.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last ten league matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 10 league matches: Aston Villa in the Premier League, Viking FK in the Eliteserien, to 17 October 2026)
The record
| Aston Villa | Viking FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 4-3-3 | 7-2-1 |
| Aston Villa home / Viking FK away | 1-1-2 | 2-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 2.30 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Aston Villa | Viking FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 1.75 (4) | 1.6 (5) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 1.75 (4) | 0.8 (5) |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 |
Venue row is Aston Villa at home and Viking FK away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Aston Villa | Viking FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 70% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 75% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 50% | 20% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. Both sides went over 2.5 goals in more than 60% of these matches.
Both teams to score
| Aston Villa | Viking FK | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 60% | 70% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 75% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 |
Champions League table so far, 2 played
| Aston Villa | Viking FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4 | 29 |
| Points | 6 | 1 |
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 2-0-0 | 0-1-1 |
| Goals for-against | 9-2 | 4-6 |
| Goal difference | +7 | -2 |
Points and goals
The odds put an Aston Villa win at about 78%. Recent results are not set against the odds on this page: Aston Villa’s are from the Premier League and Viking FK’s from the Eliteserien, so the two records were not earned against the same opposition.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Aston Villa (last 10) | Viking FK (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 4-3-3 | 7-2-1 |
| Home / away split | 1-1-2 | 2-2-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| BTTS % | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
Aston Villa
Viking FK
Aston Villa
Viking FK
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 4 | 6 | 9-2 |
| Viking FK | 29 | 1 | 4-6 |
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