Champions League · Allianz Arena, Munich · Matchday 3 · Wednesday 21 October 2026, 20:00
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Bayern Munich v Arsenal, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Odds correct at 10:04 on 21 Oct. Returns include the stake.
Under 3.5 at 8/13 only rules out a big Arsenal win, since the rest of this bet already needs Arsenal to win with Bayern Munich kept out, so a 4-0 or wider is the one result it would lose. None of Arsenal’s last ten Premier League matches had four or more goals, and they scored 1.5 a game in them.
The worry here is Bayern Munich’s scoring, because they failed to score only once in their last six Bundesliga matches, both teams scored in four of those six, and they drew 3-3 away to Viking in the Champions League on 13 October. No on both teams to score at 17/10 is the leg that narrows this bet to an Arsenal win to nil, since a Bayern goal would lose it. Arsenal’s defending carries the case, with six clean sheets in their last ten Premier League matches, both teams scoring in only three of them and 0.6 goals conceded a game.
Arsenal to win at 23/10 is our pick on this fixture, built on nine wins from their last ten Premier League matches, including five from six away from home. Bayern Munich stand in the way, unbeaten in six in the Bundesliga with four wins and two draws, and three wins from three at home. Arsenal’s one Premier League defeat in that run came on the road, which is the doubt here, and Bayern won three of the last five meetings between the clubs, though Arsenal won the most recent, 3-1 at home. Arsenal’s 1-0 win over Nottingham Forest on 18 October and their 1-0 win away to Napoli in the Champions League on 9 September are the kind of result this bet needs.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over up to the last ten league matches for each side. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (up to their last 10 league matches: Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga, Arsenal in the Premier League, to 18 October 2026)
The record
| Bayern Munich | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 4-2-0 | 9-0-1 |
| Bayern Munich home / Arsenal away | 3-0-0 | 5-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.33 | 2.70 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Bayern Munich | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 3.67 | 1.5 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 6 (3) | 1.17 (6) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 0.83 | 0.6 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 0.67 (3) | 0.67 (6) |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
Venue row is Bayern Munich at home and Arsenal away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Bayern Munich | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 83% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 83% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 100% (3) | 33% (6) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 67% | 0% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Both teams to score
| Bayern Munich | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 67% | 30% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 67% (3) | 17% (6) |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
Last 5 meetings (Bayern Munich’s view)
Record in those meetings
| Meetings | 5 |
| Bayern Munich wins / draws / Arsenal wins | 3-1-1 |
| Goals (Bayern Munich / Arsenal) | 14 / 7 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 4.2 |
| Both teams scored | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
Final scores, extra time included.
Champions League table so far, 2 played
| Bayern Munich | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12 | 8 |
| Points | 4 | 6 |
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-1-0 | 2-0-0 |
| Goals for-against | 8-3 | 4-0 |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
Points and goals
The odds put an Arsenal win at about 29%. Recent results are not set against the odds on this page: Bayern Munich’s are from the Bundesliga and Arsenal’s from the Premier League, so the two records were not earned against the same opposition.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Bayern Munich (last 6) | Arsenal (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 4-2-0 | 9-0-1 |
| Home / away split | 3-0-0 | 5-0-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 3.67 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.83 | 0.6 |
| BTTS % | 67% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 83% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 6 |
Bayern Munich
Arsenal
Bayern Munich
Arsenal
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 12 | 4 | 8-3 |
| Arsenal | 8 | 6 | 4-0 |
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