Champions League · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig · Matchday 4 · Wednesday 4 November 2026, 20:00
Adrian Dane's bet builder for RB Leipzig v Manchester City, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Odds correct at 11:07 on 4 Nov. Returns include the stake.
RB Leipzig have scored 2.5 goals a game across their last ten Bundesliga matches, and that scoring is why Over 2.5 goals at 1/3 leads this bet. Every one of those ten had at least two goals and eight had three or more, while seven of Manchester City’s last ten in the Premier League also reached three. The case against is the three City matches that ended with two goals or fewer, along with Leipzig’s 1-0 home win over PSV in the Champions League on 13 October, a reminder that their games do not always open up.
Over 2.5 cards at 8/13 has its weak point on Leipzig’s side, where five of their last eight Bundesliga matches finished with two cards or fewer and those eight averaged 2.4 a game. Manchester City’s Premier League matches point the other way, with eight of their last nine reaching three cards or more and 3.8 a game across those nine. Those are whole-match totals, both sides’ cards together, earned in two different leagues, and the leg depends on City’s side of it.
Ten corners or more at 5/6 is backed by RB Leipzig’s last eight Bundesliga matches, which averaged 11.8 corners between the two teams and reached ten in six of them. Manchester City’s last nine in the Premier League also reached ten in six, but the other three fell short and their average of 9.9 only just clears the line, so City’s side gives this leg little room.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last ten league matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 10 league matches: RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga, Manchester City in the Premier League, to 31 October 2026)
The record
| RB Leipzig | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 6-0-4 | 7-0-3 |
| RB Leipzig home / Manchester City away | 5-0-0 | 3-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.10 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| RB Leipzig | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 4 (5) | 2.25 (4) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 0.2 (5) | 0.75 (4) |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
Venue row is RB Leipzig at home and Manchester City away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| RB Leipzig | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 100% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 100% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 60% | 30% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. More than 60% of each side’s matches went over 2.5 goals.
Both teams to score
| RB Leipzig | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 20% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
Last 5 meetings (RB Leipzig’s view)
Record in those meetings
| Meetings | 5 |
| RB Leipzig wins / draws / Manchester City wins | 1-1-3 |
| Goals (RB Leipzig / Manchester City) | 6 / 15 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 4.2 |
| Both teams scored | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
Final scores, extra time included.
Champions League table so far, 3 played
| RB Leipzig | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 28 | 12 |
| Points | 3 | 6 |
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-0-2 | 2-0-1 |
| Goals for-against | 3-8 | 9-5 |
| Goal difference | -5 | +4 |
Points and goals
The odds put a Manchester City win at about 63%. Recent results are not set against the odds on this page: RB Leipzig’s are from the Bundesliga and Manchester City’s from the Premier League, so the two records were not earned against the same opposition.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| RB Leipzig (last 10) | Manchester City (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 6-0-4 | 7-0-3 |
| Home / away split | 5-0-0 | 3-0-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| BTTS % | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 80% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 |
RB Leipzig
Manchester City
RB Leipzig
Manchester City
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 28 | 3 | 3-8 |
| Manchester City | 12 | 6 | 9-5 |
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