Over 1.5 Goals 1/5
This bet needs Lyon to win 2-0, 3-0 or 4-0, so they must score at least twice and keep Crystal Palace out. With Palace kept out, Over 1.5 Goals at 1/5 needs both of those goals to be Lyon’s, and the case for that is Lyon scoring 1.83 a game in Ligue 1 against a Palace side letting in 2.1 a game in the Premier League. It loses only if the game ends with one goal or none, which happened in one of Lyon’s six and one of Palace’s ten, and Lyon failed to score once in that run.
The numbers behind this pick
Olympique Lyon over 1.5 % (last 6)83%
Olympique Lyon scored / conceded per game (last 6)1.83 / 0.67
Crystal Palace over 1.5 % (last 10)90%
Crystal Palace scored / conceded per game (last 10)1.4 / 2.1
Form covers up to the last ten league matches for each side (Olympique Lyon in Ligue 1, Crystal Palace in the Premier League). Europa League matches are not included. Some of the league matches are from last season. Source: official match results, compiled by BestBettingSites.co.uk.
Under 4.5 Goals 1/5
Under 4.5 Goals at 1/5 loses only on five goals or more, which none of Lyon’s last six Ligue 1 matches reached, and even a 4-0, the biggest score this bet allows, still wins it. The worry is Crystal Palace, who let in 2.1 goals a game in the Premier League and saw five or more in three of their last ten.
The numbers behind this pick
Olympique Lyon over 4.5 % (last 6)0%
Olympique Lyon scored / conceded per game (last 6)1.83 / 0.67
Crystal Palace over 4.5 % (last 10)30%
Crystal Palace scored / conceded per game (last 10)1.4 / 2.1
Same matches as above.
Olympique Lyon to win 6/5
Lyon to win at 6/5 is our pick on this fixture, on a short Ligue 1 record of three wins, two draws and one defeat from their last six, unbeaten in the three of those at home. The doubt is that they lost 2-1 to Lens on 9 October, though they did win 2-1 at Anderlecht in the Europa League on 16 September. Crystal Palace have two wins, three draws and five defeats from their last ten in the Premier League. Just one of the five they played away from home ended in a win.
The numbers behind this pick
Olympique Lyon last 6 (W-D-L)3-2-1
Olympique Lyon at home2-1-0
Crystal Palace last 10 (W-D-L)2-3-5
Crystal Palace away1-2-2
Same matches as above.
Both teams to score: No 6/4
Crystal Palace are the danger for this leg: both teams scored in seven of their last ten Premier League matches, and they put four past Lech Poznań at home in the Europa League on 17 September. Lyon are the reason to back it, with three clean sheets in their last six Ligue 1 matches and 0.67 goals conceded a game, while Palace failed to score in three of their ten. At 6/4, this leg is about keeping Palace off the scoresheet, and every score this bet wins on has them on nil.
The numbers behind this pick
Olympique Lyon BTTS % (last 6)50%
Crystal Palace BTTS % (last 10)70%
Olympique Lyon clean sheets (last 6)3
Crystal Palace failed to score (last 10)3
Crystal Palace clean sheets (last 10)1
Olympique Lyon failed to score (last 6)1
Same matches as above.