Premier League · The City Ground, Nottingham · Matchday 10 · Saturday 7 November 2026, 17:30 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
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Odds correct at 10:58 on 6 Nov. Returns include the stake.
Under 3.5 goals is 1/2, and the City wins to nil this bet needs, 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0, all stay inside it. Seven of Forest’s nine Premier League matches stayed under 3.5 goals. City are the bigger worry, with three of their last nine reaching four goals or more, and a fourth goal from anyone loses this leg. Forest averaged 0.67 goals a game in that run against City’s 2.22, so that fourth goal would most likely be City’s.
Manchester City have won seven of their last nine Premier League matches, but they have lost their last two, the latest 1-0 at home to Brighton & Hove Albion on 31 October. Nottingham Forest are the side in real trouble, with five defeats in nine and 0.67 goals a game. City won three of their four away games in that run and three of the last five meetings, and at 8/11 this leg needs that longer record to hold through the recent dip.
Both teams to score: No at 6/5 asks Forest to fail to score, and they drew a blank in five of their last nine Premier League matches. The case against sits with City’s defence: both teams scored in five of City’s last nine, and City have only three clean sheets in that run.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 9
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last nine Premier League matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 9 Premier League matches, 2026/27, to 31 October 2026)
The record
| Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 1-3-5 | 7-0-2 |
| Nottingham Forest home / Manchester City away | 0-1-3 | 3-0-1 |
| Points per game | 0.67 | 2.33 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 0.67 | 2.22 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 0 (4) | 2.25 (4) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 0.75 (4) | 0.75 (4) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 1 |
Venue row is Nottingham Forest at home and Manchester City away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 56% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 0% (4) | 75% (4) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 22% | 33% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Recent form at a glance (both sides combined)
Each dial combines both sides’ recent rates. The dials show recent form only.
Both teams to score
| Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 44% | 56% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 0% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 1 |
Last 5 meetings (Nottingham Forest’s view)
Record in those meetings
| Meetings | 5 |
| Nottingham Forest wins / draws / Manchester City wins | 1-1-3 |
| Goals (Nottingham Forest / Manchester City) | 4 / 9 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 2.6 |
| Both teams scored | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
Final scores, extra time included.
2026/27 table
| Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 19 | 2 |
| Points | 6 | 21 |
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-3-5 | 7-0-2 |
| Goals for-against | 6-12 | 20-10 |
| Goal difference | -6 | +10 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Manchester City to win: recent results against the odds
The odds put Manchester City’s chance of winning at 56%, and on recent results it comes out at about 67%. Recent results are one guide among several, and Manchester City are our pick, as in the bet builder.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Nottingham Forest (last 9) | Manchester City (last 9) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 1-3-5 | 7-0-2 |
| Home / away split | 0-1-3 | 3-0-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.67 | 2.22 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| BTTS % | 44% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 33% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 19 | 6 | 6-12 |
| Manchester City | 2 | 21 | 20-10 |
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