Premier League · Old Trafford, Manchester · Matchday 10 · Sunday 8 November 2026, 16:30 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Manchester United v Aston Villa, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Advertising: we earn a commission if you open an account through these buttons. It does not change the picks.
Odds correct at 10:58 on 6 Nov. Returns include the stake.
Only one of Manchester United’s last nine Premier League matches finished with six goals or more, and none of Aston Villa’s did, so a six-goal game is the one way Under 5.5 Goals at 1/12 loses. Every Villa win to nil from 1-0 to 5-0 keeps the total at five or fewer. The weight sits on the Villa win and the clean sheet; this leg simply rules out the runaway scoreline.
Both teams to score: No at 8/5 asks Villa to keep United out, and it is the leg that turns a Villa win into the result this bet needs. The case against is that both teams scored in five of United’s last nine Premier League matches and five of Villa’s, though United drew a blank in four of their nine and Villa kept two clean sheets of their own.
Aston Villa at 23/10 have the stronger record over the last nine Premier League matches: United won one, drew four and lost four, while Villa won three, drew three and lost three. Villa took two wins from four away from home in that run, and United managed one win from four at home. The head-to-head is the hardest thing to answer, with United winning three of the last five meetings to Villa’s one, and backing Villa means trusting the recent form over that. Their last outing, a 1-1 draw with Fulham on 31 October, is the other warning, since Villa failed to win six of their nine.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 9
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last nine Premier League matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 9 Premier League matches, 2026/27, to 31 October 2026)
The record
| Manchester United | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 1-4-4 | 3-3-3 |
| Manchester United home / Aston Villa away | 1-1-2 | 2-1-1 |
| Points per game | 0.78 | 1.33 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Manchester United | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 1.5 (4) | 1 (4) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.67 | 1.44 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 1.75 (4) | 1.5 (4) |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 |
Venue row is Manchester United at home and Aston Villa away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Manchester United | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 89% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 33% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 50% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 22% | 33% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Recent form at a glance (both sides combined)
Each dial combines both sides’ recent rates. The dials show recent form only.
Both teams to score
| Manchester United | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 56% | 56% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 50% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 |
Last 5 meetings (Manchester United’s view)
Record in those meetings
| Meetings | 5 |
| Manchester United wins / draws / Aston Villa wins | 3-1-1 |
| Goals (Manchester United / Aston Villa) | 8 / 4 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 2.4 |
| Both teams scored | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
Final scores, extra time included.
2026/27 table
| Manchester United | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 17 | 10 |
| Points | 7 | 12 |
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-4-4 | 3-3-3 |
| Goals for-against | 10-15 | 10-13 |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Aston Villa to win: recent results against the odds
The odds put Aston Villa’s chance of winning at 30%, and on recent results it comes out at about 39%. Recent results are one guide among several, and Aston Villa are our pick, as in the bet builder.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Manchester United (last 9) | Aston Villa (last 9) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 1-4-4 | 3-3-3 |
| Home / away split | 1-1-2 | 2-1-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.67 | 1.44 |
| BTTS % | 56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 33% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
Manchester United
Aston Villa
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 17 | 7 | 10-15 |
| Aston Villa | 10 | 12 | 10-13 |
Today’s football tips · All football predictions · Build your own bet
18+ only. Odds correct at the time shown on each card. Odds and bookmaker offers are subject to each bookmaker’s terms; new customers, T&Cs apply. Always gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org