Premier League · Elland Road, Leeds · Matchday 10 · Saturday 7 November 2026, 12:30 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
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Odds correct at 11:27 on 6 Nov. Returns include the stake.
Under 10.5 corners at 7/10 leans on Leeds, whose last nine Premier League matches averaged 8.2 corners, with seven of the nine staying under 10.5. Tottenham’s games point the other way, averaging 11.8 corners and going over this line in five of their last nine, so the count has to run closer to Leeds’ pattern than to Tottenham’s.
Under 2.5 goals at 9/10 runs straight into the head-to-head, with the last five meetings between these clubs averaging more than four goals a game. League form tells a different story, with only two of Leeds’ last nine Premier League matches and three of Tottenham’s going past two goals. Tottenham’s last three wins finished 2-0, 2-0 and 3-1, two of them inside this line and one over it.
Spurs have scored in each of their last five league games, so this leg at 11/10 largely comes down to Leeds failing to score, as they did in three of their last nine Premier League matches. Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings, and Leeds at home are the hardest test: they average 1.5 goals a game there, with both sides scoring in three of their four home matches. The case for it rests on Tottenham’s four clean sheets in their last nine, and a Spurs win by one or two goals to nil sits squarely among the scores this bet needs.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 9
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last nine Premier League matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 9 Premier League matches, 2026/27, to 31 October 2026)
The record
| Leeds United | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 2-5-2 | 3-3-3 |
| Leeds United home / Tottenham Hotspur away | 1-3-0 | 1-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.22 | 1.33 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Leeds United | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1 | 1.11 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 1.5 (4) | 0.75 (4) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 0.75 (4) | 1 (4) |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 |
Venue row is Leeds United at home and Tottenham Hotspur away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Leeds United | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 67% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 22% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 25% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 11% | 22% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Recent form at a glance (both sides combined)
Each dial combines both sides’ recent rates. The dials show recent form only.
Both teams to score
| Leeds United | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 56% | 33% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 75% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 |
Last 5 meetings (Leeds United’s view)
Record in those meetings
| Meetings | 5 |
| Leeds United wins / draws / Tottenham Hotspur wins | 0-1-4 |
| Goals (Leeds United / Tottenham Hotspur) | 6 / 15 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 4.2 |
| Both teams scored | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
Final scores, extra time included.
2026/27 table
| Leeds United | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12 | 9 |
| Points | 11 | 12 |
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 2-5-2 | 3-3-3 |
| Goals for-against | 9-8 | 10-10 |
| Goal difference | +1 | +0 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Tottenham Hotspur to win: recent results against the odds
The risk. On recent results a Tottenham Hotspur win comes out at about 28%, and the odds say 37%. That gap is the risk in backing Tottenham Hotspur.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Leeds United (last 9) | Tottenham Hotspur (last 9) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 2-5-2 | 3-3-3 |
| Home / away split | 1-3-0 | 1-2-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1 | 1.11 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| BTTS % | 56% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 22% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
Leeds United
Tottenham Hotspur
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | 12 | 11 | 9-8 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 9 | 12 | 10-10 |
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