Champions League · Villa Park, Birmingham · Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October 2026, 20:00 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Aston Villa v Fenerbahce, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Advertising: we earn a commission if you open an account through these buttons. It does not change the picks.
Odds correct at 15:14 on 14 Oct. Returns include the stake.
For this bet to win, Fenerbahce must beat Aston Villa without conceding, so Over 1.5 Goals at 2/11 really means Fenerbahce winning by two goals or more. They won by two or more without conceding in three of their last seven Turkish Super Lig matches. A one-goal win is the danger, and their 1-0 win away at Sturm Graz in the Champions League on 11 August is the sort of result that would leave this bet short.
Aston Villa’s goals are the threat to this leg at 13/10, with both sides scoring in seven of their last ten Premier League matches. Their opening Champions League match went the same way, a 3-2 win at Club Brugge on 8 September. Because Fenerbahce have to win, the leg comes down to Villa drawing a blank, which happened in three of those ten league matches. Fenerbahce kept four clean sheets in their last seven Turkish Super Lig matches and let in six goals across them.
Our pick on this fixture is Fenerbahce to win at 41/10, against an Aston Villa side with one win from their last five home matches in the Premier League. Fenerbahce have lost two of their last seven in the Turkish Super Lig, and their latest Champions League match ended 1-1 at home to Roma on 10 September. Four wins from those seven, including 3-0 against Rizespor on 10 October, and two wins from their last four away from home are the case for the away win.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over up to the last ten league matches for each side. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (up to their last 10 league matches: Aston Villa in the Premier League, Fenerbahce in the Turkish Super Lig, to 10 October 2026)
The record
| Aston Villa | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 3-3-4 | 4-1-2 |
| Aston Villa home / Fenerbahce away | 1-1-3 | 2-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.86 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Aston Villa | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.5 | 2.71 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 1.6 (5) | 1.5 (4) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.8 | 0.86 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 1.8 (5) | 0.5 (4) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 |
Venue row is Aston Villa at home and Fenerbahce away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Aston Villa | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 80% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 80% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 80% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 50% | 29% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. Both sides went over 2.5 goals in more than 60% of these matches.
Both teams to score
| Aston Villa | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 70% | 43% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 80% (5) | 25% (4) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 |
The last meeting (Aston Villa’s view)
Record in those meetings
| Meetings | 1 |
| Aston Villa wins / draws / Fenerbahce wins | 1-0-0 |
| Goals (Aston Villa / Fenerbahce) | 1 / 0 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 1.0 |
| Both teams scored | 0 of 1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0 of 1 |
Final scores, extra time included.
Champions League table so far, 1 played
| Aston Villa | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11 | 24 |
| Points | 3 | 1 |
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
| Goals for-against | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Goal difference | +1 | +0 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
The odds put a Fenerbahce win at about 19%. Recent results are not set against the odds on this page: Aston Villa’s are from the Premier League and Fenerbahce’s from the Turkish Super Lig, so the two records were not earned against the same opposition.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Aston Villa (last 10) | Fenerbahce (last 7) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 3-3-4 | 4-1-2 |
| Home / away split | 1-1-3 | 2-1-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.5 | 2.71 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.8 | 0.86 |
| BTTS % | 70% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 80% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
Aston Villa
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
Fenerbahce
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 11 | 3 | 3-2 |
| Fenerbahce | 24 | 1 | 1-1 |
Today’s football tips · All football predictions · Build your own bet
18+ only. Odds correct at the time shown on each card. Odds and bookmaker offers are subject to each bookmaker’s terms; new customers, T&Cs apply. Always gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org