The Oddly Premier League: The Alternative League Table, According to the Bookies
by Liam Reaney
2 minutes read /
Ever wondered what the league table would look like if the favourite had always won? The bookies aren’t always right and it doesn’t always go according to the form book.
Best Betting Sites have created the Oddly Premier League using the average final result odds from 20 major bookmakers for every Premier League game, to find out which team the bookies think should have won.
The resulting league table shows which teams are favoured most by the bookies, and which teams are defying expectations.
The Oddly Premier League March
Every month, we update the Oddly Premier League table based on the games just gone.
How the Table Differs
If every result had gone according to the pre-match odds, the Premier League table would be looking very different. Some sides have outperformed all expectations, while others have fallen well short of what bookmakers predicted. Here’s a breakdown of who’s overachieving, who’s underachieving, and which teams are performing exactly to form.
Over Achievers
Sunderland
It will come as no surprise to most that Sunderland are the biggest overachievers this season, with their unbelievable start to life in the top flight even catching the bookies by surprise. According to the Oddly Premier League, pre-match odds suggested that Sunderland would be in the bottom three, with 24 less points than they actually have.
Brentford
Brentford were a team that were tipped by many as relegation candidates following the departure of Thomas Frank. Pre-match odds reflected this, with them sitting 15th in the Oddly table with 15 points less than their real life total.
Burnley
While they’re almost certainly going down, the bookies expected Burnley to be doing even worse. They sit bottom of our Oddly table, with 12 points fewer than they’ve actually won.
Under Achievers
Liverpool
Title favourites Liverpool started the season on fire, but a run of defeats not predicted by the bookies has seen them drop off in the real Premier League table. The Oddly Premier League has them sitting joint top, with pre-match odds suggesting they should have 33 more points than they do.
Chelsea
The bookies also fancied Chelsea this season, as they sit joint third in the Oddly table. Pre-match odds would have them at 69 points, instead of their current 44
Manchester City
After a slow start to the season, City have started to put pressure on leaders Arsenal. Bookies had them down as one of the title favourites pre-season, with pre-match odds expecting them to have 19 points more than they have.
