Europa League · Stadion Letná, Prague · Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November 2026, 17:45
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Sparta Prague v AFC Bournemouth, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Odds correct at 11:13 on 5 Nov. Returns include the stake.
Under 3.5 Goals at 4/7 only loses on four goals or more, and just three of Sparta Prague’s last ten Czech First League matches got that far. The result that cuts against it came in the Europa League, Sparta’s 4-1 at Ararat-Armenia on 16 September, five goals in one night. In the Premier League, three of Bournemouth’s last ten also reached four goals, so seven of each side’s last ten league matches stayed at three or fewer.
Sparta Prague’s matches are the worry, with four of their last ten in the Czech First League finishing on three cards or fewer between the two teams. Over 3.5 cards is 2/3, and those ten still averaged 4.1 cards, six of them reaching four or more. Nine of Bournemouth’s last ten Premier League matches carry card figures, and those nine averaged 4.6 cards. Only two of the nine stayed below four, leaving seven on the right side of this line.
Six clean sheets in their last ten Czech First League matches put Sparta Prague’s defence at the centre of this leg, and both sides scored in only three of those ten. Both teams to score: No is 11/10 with Sparta conceding 0.7 goals a game, though that defence was breached at home in the Europa League when Lillestrøm drew 1-1 on 15 October. The case against sits with Bournemouth: both teams scored in six of their last ten Premier League matches, they kept only three clean sheets and failed to score just once.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last ten league matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 10 league matches: Sparta Prague in the Czech First League, AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League, to 1 November 2026)
The record
| Sparta Prague | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 6-2-2 | 3-4-3 |
| Sparta Prague home / AFC Bournemouth away | 4-0-1 | 1-2-2 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.30 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Sparta Prague | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 2.6 (5) | 1.6 (5) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 1 (5) | 2 (5) |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 |
Venue row is Sparta Prague at home and AFC Bournemouth away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Sparta Prague | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 80% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 60% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 30% | 30% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Both teams to score
| Sparta Prague | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 30% | 60% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 40% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 |
Europa League table so far, 3 played
| Sparta Prague | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 16 | 4 |
| Points | 4 | 9 |
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-1-1 | 3-0-0 |
| Goals for-against | 5-3 | 8-1 |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
Points and goals
The odds put an AFC Bournemouth win at about 66%. Recent results are not set against the odds on this page: Sparta Prague’s are from the Czech First League and AFC Bournemouth’s from the Premier League, so the two records were not earned against the same opposition.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Sparta Prague (last 10) | AFC Bournemouth (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 6-2-2 | 3-4-3 |
| Home / away split | 4-0-1 | 1-2-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| BTTS % | 30% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 |
Sparta Prague
AFC Bournemouth
Sparta Prague
AFC Bournemouth
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague | 16 | 4 | 5-3 |
| AFC Bournemouth | 4 | 9 | 8-1 |
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