Europa League · Selhurst Park, London · Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November 2026, 17:45
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Crystal Palace v TSG Hoffenheim, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Odds correct at 11:13 on 5 Nov. Returns include the stake.
The risk to both teams scoring at 1/2 is at Palace’s end: they failed to score in five of their last ten Premier League matches. Against that, Hoffenheim kept only two clean sheets in their last ten in the Bundesliga, and both teams scored in six of those ten. There is no call on the winner here, just goals at both ends, and Hoffenheim’s 2-0 defeat at OFI in the Europa League on 17 September is a reminder that they can draw a blank too.
Ten corners or more at 5/6 has Hoffenheim’s matches behind it. Hoffenheim’s last eight Bundesliga matches averaged 10.8 corners between the two teams, and six of those eight reached ten or more. Palace’s Premier League games are where it could come unstuck, with five of their last nine finishing under ten corners. Their matches still averaged 10.2 across those nine, so this line sits below the recent average in both clubs’ games.
Over 3.5 goals at 6/5 asks for a busy game, and half of each side’s recent league matches delivered one: five of Palace’s last ten in the Premier League and five of Hoffenheim’s last ten in the Bundesliga. Not all of those had both sides on the scoresheet, and Palace failed to score in five of their ten, so this leg leans on Hoffenheim’s defence, which has conceded 2.0 goals a game, as much as on either attack. Palace drew 2-2 away in the Europa League on 22 October, a four-goal game with both teams scoring.
Recent form comparison
Five measures of recent form for both sides. The further out a point sits, the better: more goals scored, fewer conceded. The exact numbers are in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Three points for a win and one for a draw, added up game by game over each side’s last ten league matches. Each line follows that side’s own matches, so the dates do not line up. Hover or tap a line to see each result.
Recent form (last 10 league matches: Crystal Palace in the Premier League, TSG Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga, to 31 October 2026)
The record
| Crystal Palace | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 2-1-7 | 4-0-6 |
| Crystal Palace home / TSG Hoffenheim away | 1-0-4 | 1-0-4 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.20 |
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Crystal Palace | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1 | 1.5 |
| Scored / game (venue, games) | 1.4 (5) | 1 (5) |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 2.3 | 2 |
| Conceded / game (venue, games) | 2.4 (5) | 2.6 (5) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 |
Venue row is Crystal Palace at home and TSG Hoffenheim away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Crystal Palace | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 90% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 (venue, games) | 80% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 50% | 50% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line.
Both teams to score
| Crystal Palace | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS % (venue, games) | 80% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 |
Europa League table so far, 3 played
| Crystal Palace | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 15 | 23 |
| Points | 4 | 3 |
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-1-1 | 1-0-2 |
| Goals for-against | 8-5 | 5-5 |
| Goal difference | +3 | +0 |
Points and goals
The odds put a Crystal Palace win at about 52%. Recent results are not set against the odds on this page: Crystal Palace’s are from the Premier League and TSG Hoffenheim’s from the Bundesliga, so the two records were not earned against the same opposition.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Crystal Palace (last 10) | TSG Hoffenheim (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 2-1-7 | 4-0-6 |
| Home / away split | 1-0-4 | 1-0-4 |
| Goals scored per game | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.3 | 2 |
| BTTS % | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 15 | 4 | 8-5 |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 23 | 3 | 5-5 |
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