West Ham vs Sunderland Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 24 January 2026 at 12:30 PM
West Ham
Top tip Sunderland to Win
Sunderland
FIND THE BEST ODDS HERE
  • Points pressure at both ends: West Ham are trying to halt a worrying slide down the table, while Sunderland arrive looking to consolidate their position and keep their European football dreams alive.
  • Contrasting home and away trends: West Ham’s home form has been fragile, especially defensively, while Sunderland have been far more resilient overall but less productive on their travels.
  • Opportunity fixture: For West Ham, this feels like a must-win home game to reset momentum; for Sunderland, it’s a chance to exploit a vulnerable opponent and pick up valuable away points.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between West Ham and Sunderland

To provide the most robust betting analysis, we have consulted three of the leading AI models in the industry: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each AI has provided its top prediction for the West Ham United vs Sunderland match, which is clearly displayed below with the corresponding logo. For those who wish to understand the logic behind these selections, you can expand each tip to reveal the detailed reasoning and data points that informed the AI’s conclusion.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 4/54/54/5
BTTS offers value given both sides’ attacking potential and recent scoring records. West Ham, despite injuries, have goal threats at home, while Sunderland boast a potent strike force; the London Stadium is expected to produce an open contest with chances at both ends.
Prediction of AI claude modelSunderland to Win
Odds for This Bet 19/1015/815/8
Claude prioritises markets that favour the higher-placed away side. Sunderland’s superior league position (9th vs 18th) and West Ham’s injury crisis, particularly the absence of Paqueta and Wilson, underpin the away win pick. The Black Cats’ European ambitions and West Ham’s relegation worries create a clear quality gap that justifies backing Sunderland.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 11/1021/201/1
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market, finding value in a high-scoring encounter. West Ham’s defensive frailties, combined with their need for points at home, are likely to create an open game. Sunderland, despite their own injury concerns, possess strong attacking talents and are pushing for Europe, suggesting they will contribute significantly to the goal tally.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: January 20, 2026
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Sunderland look a solid value win pick because the underlying numbers point to a big gap between these sides right now. In the league table snapshot, the Black Cats sit well clear on 33 points compared to West Ham’s 17, and the Hammers’ home record is a major red flag: just 2 wins from 11 at the London Stadium with a miserable 0.64 points per game, while shipping 25 goals at home (2.27 conceded per home match). That defensive fragility has been a theme all season too, with West Ham failing to keep a clean sheet in 21 of 22 league games, so even a Sunderland side that hasn’t been free-scoring away from home can still fancy their chances. When you consider Sunderland beat them 3-0 in the reverse fixture, a repeat wouldn’t surprise me.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bet selections are the product of a sophisticated algorithm that analyses a vast array of football data. It goes beyond simple win-loss records to assess factors like expected goals (xG), head-to-head performance, and specific home and away form. By weighing these metrics against market odds, the algorithm identifies bets that offer genuine value, providing a data-driven edge for your selections in this Premier League fixture.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Away Win
  • Probability: 48%
  • Best Odds: 19/10 (2.9) at Coral
  • Sunderland’s superior league position and West Ham’s mounting injury problems point towards an away victory for the visitors pushing for European football.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 4/5 (1.8) at bet365
  • Despite West Ham’s struggles, they possess threats like Jarrod Bowen at home, while Sunderland’s confident attack should ensure they also find the net.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 58%
  • Best Odds: 11/10 (2.1) at bet365
  • Both teams have clear attacking quality and defensive vulnerabilities, with West Ham’s need for points likely to force an open contest at the London Stadium.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Sunderland or Draw
  • Probability: 72%
  • Best Odds: 8/15 (1.533) at Ladbrokes
  • Sunderland’s superior form and squad depth make them highly unlikely to lose against a West Ham side ravaged by injuries and languishing in the relegation zone.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between West Ham and Sunderland:

  • Valentín Castellanos is worth considering in the anytime goalscorer market because the early signs suggest he’s already becoming West Ham’s focal point in attack. He started immediately after arriving and registered three shots and two chances created on his debut, which is a strong involvement level for a player so new to the side. As a natural centre-forward, he offers a profile West Ham have lacked this season, and if he continues to lead the line and see that volume of attempts, it feels more a case of when rather than if he opens his account for the club. (West Ham)
  • Brian Brobbey is worth considering in the anytime goalscorer market because he remains Sunderland’s clear focal point in attack. He has scored 4 Premier League goals in just 788 minutes, which works out at roughly a goal every two games, and his role keeps him positioned centrally where Sunderland’s best chances tend to fall. Even with a modest shot volume, his physical presence and penalty-box positioning mean that if Sunderland create clear openings, Brobbey is usually the player most likely to be on the end of them. (Sunderland)

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West Ham Form and Stats

Last MatchesWest Ham
           
WINS 2
DRAW 1
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 44 Total goals
  • 71% BTTS
  • 19 Goals scored
  • 25 Goals conceded
  • 71% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 2West Ham United
  • 11 Jan 2026 – FA Cup West Ham United2 : 1Queens Park Rangers
  • 06 Jan 2026 – Premier League West Ham United1 : 2Nottingham Forest
  • 03 Jan 2026 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers3 : 0West Ham United
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League West Ham United2 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League West Ham United0 : 1Fulham
           
WINS 1
DRAW 1
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 18 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 7 Goals scored
  • 11 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 25% Under 2.5
  • 11 Jan 2026 – FA Cup West Ham United2 : 1Queens Park Rangers
  • 06 Jan 2026 – Premier League West Ham United1 : 2Nottingham Forest
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League West Ham United2 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League West Ham United0 : 1Fulham
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League West Ham United2 : 3Aston Villa
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League West Ham United0 : 2Liverpool
           
WINS 1
DRAW 3
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 17 Total goals
  • 67% BTTS
  • 6 Goals scored
  • 11 Goals conceded
  • 67% Over 2.5
  • 33% Under 2.5
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 2West Ham United
  • 03 Jan 2026 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers3 : 0West Ham United
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0West Ham United
  • 07 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion1 : 1West Ham United
  • 04 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United1 : 1West Ham United
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 2West Ham United

Starting XI

4-4-1-1

Possible
Lineup
23 Alphonse Areola
30 Oliver Scarles
15 Konstantinos Mavropanos
25 Jean-Clair Todibo
29 Aaron Wan-Bissaka
7 Crysencio Summerville
28 Tomás Souček
18 Mateus Fernandes
20 Jarrod Bowen
19 Pablo Felipe
11 Valentín Castellanos
Substitutes
  • 1Mads Hermansen
  • 2Kyle Walker-Peters
  • 3Maximilian Kilman
  • 5Igor Julio
  • 24Guido Rodríguez
  • 32Freddie Potts
  • 55Mohamadou Kanté
  • 63Ezra Mayers
  • 9Callum Wilson
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Lukasz Fabianski Lower Back Injury
  • 2El Hadji Malick Diouf Questionable
  • 3Lucas Paquetá Questionable

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Sunderland Form and Stats

Last MatchesSunderland
           
WINS 2
DRAW 3
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 33 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 16 Goals scored
  • 17 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 57% Under 2.5
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Everton1 : 4Sunderland
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Brentford3 : 0Sunderland
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 1Sunderland
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Sunderland0 : 0Manchester City
  • 28 Dec 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 1Leeds United
           
WINS 3
DRAW 3
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 15 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 9 Goals scored
  • 6 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Sunderland0 : 0Manchester City
  • 28 Dec 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 1Leeds United
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 0Newcastle United
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland3 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 2Arsenal
           
WINS 1
DRAW 3
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 15 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 6 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Everton1 : 4Sunderland
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Brentford3 : 0Sunderland
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 1Sunderland
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion0 : 0Sunderland
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0Sunderland
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool1 : 1Sunderland

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
22 Robin Roefs
17 Reinildo Mandava
5 Daniel Ballard
15 Omar Alderete
20 Nordi Mukiele
28 Enzo Le Fée
19 Habib Diarra
34 Granit Xhaka
27 Noah Sadiki
32 Trai Hume
9 Brian Brobbey
Substitutes
  • 1Anthony Patterson
  • 3Dennis Cirkin
  • 4Dan Neil
  • 6Lutsharel Geertruida
  • 7Chemsdine Talbi
  • 11Chris Rigg
  • 12Eliezer Mayenda
  • 13Luke O'Nien
  • 18Wilson Isidor
  • 24Simon Adingra
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Arthur Masuaku Ankle/Foot Injury
  • 2Bertrand Traoré Knee Injury
  • 3Habib Diarra Doubtful - Muscle
  • 4Chemsdine Talbi Doubtful

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

West Ham vs Sunderland Head-to-Head Record

  • 16 Aug 2025 – Premier League Sunderland 3 : 0 West Ham United
League Games at Sunderland
  • West Ham
  • Sunderland
  • Goals: Scored 0 3
  • Games: Scored 0/1 1/1
  • Clean Sheets 0/1 1/1

Current Best Betting Odds for West Ham vs Sunderland

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between West Ham and Sunderland.

West Ham vs Sunderland
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 29/20
Draw 9/4
Away 19/10
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 3/2
Draw 9/4
Away 47/25
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 33/25
Draw 2/1
Away 167/100
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 37/25
Draw 11/5
Away 46/25
Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 29/20
Draw 9/4
Away 47/25
Visit Site

West Ham vs Sunderland Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the West Ham vs Sunderland clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

West Ham vs Sunderland Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Sunderland leads HT, Draw FT14/1 (Bet365)This bet requires Sunderland to lead at half-time before the match ends in a draw. It's an intriguing long-shot that banks on a second-half comeback from the opposition. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2Sunderland (-2)14/1 (Bet365)This handicap requires Sunderland to win by more than 2 goals. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3Over 5.5 Total Goals14/1 (Coral)Over 5.5 goals requires a high-scoring affair with at least 6 goals. Both sides' attacking intent and this fixture's history of entertainment make this worth consideration. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the West Ham vs Sunderland clash:

  • West Ham to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2). At 15/2, a £10 stake would return £85 if it lands.
  • Sunderland to Score First + West Ham to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1). Priced at 11/1, a £10 stake would return £120.
  • Draw at Half-Time + West Ham to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1). At 14/1, a £10 stake would return £150, making it the biggest upside of the three.

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for West Ham vs Sunderland on 24 January 2026 at 12:30 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both Teams to Score looks a strong angle here given West Ham’s defensive record and Sunderland’s ability to stay competitive against stronger sides. With West Ham rarely keeping clean sheets and Sunderland often finding a way to contribute, goals at both ends feel more likely than a shut-out either way.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): The match is primed for over 2.5 goals. West Ham’s desperation for a win is likely to create an end-to-end encounter, and with attacking talent on both sides, a high-scoring game is the most probable outcome.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Home Advantage is difficult to fully trust here because West Ham’s recent record at the London Stadium has been poor. They’ve lost the majority of their home league games this season and have conceded heavily, including defeats by Chelsea (1–5), Tottenham (0–3) and Liverpool (0–2). Rather than being a clear boost, home form looks more like a vulnerability, which is why backing outcomes that factor in goals or an away contribution makes more sense than relying purely on venue.

Where to Watch West Ham vs Sunderland

TV channel:

In the UK, this Premier League match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 and TNT Sports Ultimate.

Online streaming:

Subscribers will be able to stream the match live via the TNT Sports app.

Free highlights:

Match highlights will be shown across Sky Sports and TNT Sports, with extended highlights also airing later on Saturday night on Match of the Day.