Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 5 March 2026 at 8:00 PM
Tottenham
Top tip Crystal Palace or Draw
Crystal Palace
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  • Relegation Anxieties: Tottenham find themselves in a desperate situation, sitting sixteenth in the Premier League table with just 29 points and hovering only four points above the drop zone.
  • Managerial Pressure: Igor Tudor is searching for his first point as Spurs boss after back to back defeats against Arsenal and Fulham. The hosts are enduring a club equalling ten match winless streak in the league.
  • Eagles Flying Higher: Crystal Palace occupy fourteenth place with 35 points. Despite a recent loss to Manchester United, they have shown strong underlying attacking numbers and secured a 2-0 victory on their last trip to this stadium.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Tottenham and Crystal Palace

To provide the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model offers a clear prediction on a key betting market, presented as a simple bullet point. You’ll also find their official logos for easy identification. For those wanting a deeper analysis, you can click to expand each prediction and read the detailed reasoning, which shows how the AI evaluated data, form, and key match statistics to reach its conclusion.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 13/208/138/13
Tottenham’s defensive record is alarming, having conceded 43 times in the league, but they still possess enough attacking quality to threaten on home soil. Palace are missing their key centre back Maxence Lacroix due to a red card, which softens their defensive line, setting the stage for an open encounter where both goalkeepers are tested.
Prediction of AI claude modelUnder 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 1/119/2019/20
Although Tottenham’s recent fixtures have been chaotic, the historical matchup between these two teams heavily favours low scoring battles. The last three meetings have resulted in 1-0 or 2-0 scorelines, suggesting this London derby will be tighter than the market anticipates.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelCrystal Palace or Draw
Odds for This Bet 3/54/74/7
Tottenham are entirely devoid of form, dragging themselves through a ten match winless run while conceding goals at an alarming rate. With Palace sitting six points ahead of them and boasting a dominant 2-0 win on their last visit to this stadium, backing the visitors to leave with at least a point is the most logical play.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: March 5, 2026
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Double Chance on Crystal Palace or Draw is the standout play for this London derby. Tottenham are enduring their joint worst Premier League run without victory – ten matches and counting – whilst their defensive frailties are alarming, shipping at least two goals in each of their last eight league outings. Palace, meanwhile, have found steel under Oliver Glasner and already boast a 2-0 win at this ground from their previous visit. With Spurs in complete freefall and the Eagles show

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bet algorithm combines insights from advanced research models with crucial football data points to identify opportunities. It goes beyond simple win-draw-lose outcomes, weighing factors like recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, and home and away performance trends against market odds. This process pinpoints bets where the probability of an outcome is higher than the odds suggest, offering a statistical edge.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Home Win
  • Probability: 55%
  • Best Odds: 69/50 (2.38) at 10bet
  • Despite their significant injury list, Tottenham’s 50% home win rate and dominance in the head-to-head record (winning four of the last five) still make them the most likely victors.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards No.
  • Probability: 53%
  • Best Odds: 6/5 (2.2) at bet365
  • With Crystal Palace missing both of their recognised strikers, Mateta and Nketiah, their ability to score is severely diminished, pointing towards a failure for both teams to find the net.
Bet 3
  • Over Under 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 55%
  • Best Odds: 5/6 (1.833) at 10bet
  • The absence of key creative midfielders for Tottenham and primary goalscorers for Crystal Palace strongly indicates a match with limited clear-cut chances and fewer goals than the market expects.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Tottenham or Draw
  • Probability: 83%
  • Best Odds: 19/50 (1.38) at 10bet
  • Even with a depleted squad, Tottenham rarely lose at home to Palace, and with the visitors’ attack weakened, a home defeat remains the least likely outcome.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Tottenham and Crystal Palace:

  • Richarlison offers an intriguing option in the anytime goalscorer market. The Brazilian forward is finding his rhythm, having recently scored a header against Fulham, making him the first player from his nation to register 20 headed goals in the Premier League. With eight league goals this season and an average of 1.7 shots per game, he remains Tottenham’s most potent focal point in attack. (Tottenham)
  • Ismaïla Sarr is another player to watch closely for the visitors. The Senegalese attacker has netted five times in the Premier League this campaign and is an integral part of Palace’s offensive unit. Operating in a side that is highly efficient at creating scoring chances, his pace and directness could easily punish a Tottenham backline that struggles immensely against wide attacks. (Crystal Palace)

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Tottenham Form and Stats

Last MatchesTottenham
           
WINS 1
DRAW 1
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 39 Total goals
  • 64% BTTS
  • 17 Goals scored
  • 22 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 01 Mar 2026 – Premier League Fulham2 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
  • 22 Feb 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 4Arsenal
  • 10 Feb 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 2Newcastle United
  • 07 Feb 2026 – Premier League Manchester United2 : 0Tottenham Hotspur
  • 01 Feb 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur2 : 2Manchester City
  • 28 Jan 2026 – Champions League Eintracht Frankfurt0 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
           
WINS 1
DRAW 1
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 20 Total goals
  • 71% BTTS
  • 8 Goals scored
  • 12 Goals conceded
  • 71% Over 2.5
  • 14% Under 2.5
  • 22 Feb 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 4Arsenal
  • 10 Feb 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 2Newcastle United
  • 01 Feb 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur2 : 2Manchester City
  • 20 Jan 2026 – Champions League Tottenham Hotspur2 : 0Borussia Dortmund
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 2West Ham United
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Tottenham Hotspur1 : 2Aston Villa
           
WINS 1
DRAW 2
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 16 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 7 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 01 Mar 2026 – Premier League Fulham2 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
  • 07 Feb 2026 – Premier League Manchester United2 : 0Tottenham Hotspur
  • 28 Jan 2026 – Champions League Eintracht Frankfurt0 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
  • 24 Jan 2026 – Premier League Burnley2 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth3 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Brentford0 : 0Tottenham Hotspur

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
1 Guglielmo Vicario
14 Archie Gray
37 Micky van de Ven
4 Kevin Danso
23 Pedro Porro
7 Xavi Simons
8 Yves Bissouma
29 Pape Matar Sarr
6 João Palhinha
9 Richarlison
19 Dominic Solanke
Substitutes
  • 40Brandon Austin
  • 31Antonín Kinský
  • 3Radu Drăgușin
  • 38Souza
  • 22Conor Gallagher
  • 39Randal Kolo Muani
  • 11Mathys Tel
  • 52Charles Olusesi
  • 76Jack Rowswell
Suspension
  • 1Cristian Romero
Injured
  • 1Wilson Odobert Knee Injury
  • 2James Maddison Knee Injury
  • 3Dejan Kulusevski Knee Injury
  • 4Rodrigo Bentancur Thigh Injury
  • 5Mohammed Kudus Thigh Injury
  • 6Ben Davies Ankle/Foot Injury
  • 7Lucas Bergvall Ankle/Foot Injury
  • 8Destiny Udogie Thigh Injury
  • 9Djed Spence Calf/Shin/Heel Injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Crystal Palace Form and Stats

Last MatchesCrystal Palace
           
WINS 3
DRAW 1
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 31 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 13 Goals scored
  • 18 Goals conceded
  • 36% Over 2.5
  • 64% Under 2.5
  • 01 Mar 2026 – Premier League Manchester United2 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 26 Feb 2026 – Conference League Final Stage Crystal Palace2 : 0Zrinjski Mostar
  • 22 Feb 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace1 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 19 Feb 2026 – Conference League Final Stage Zrinjski Mostar1 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 11 Feb 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace2 : 3Burnley
  • 08 Feb 2026 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion0 : 1Crystal Palace
           
WINS 2
DRAW 2
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 14 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 7 Goals scored
  • 7 Goals conceded
  • 29% Over 2.5
  • 57% Under 2.5
  • 26 Feb 2026 – Conference League Final Stage Crystal Palace2 : 0Zrinjski Mostar
  • 22 Feb 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace1 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 11 Feb 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace2 : 3Burnley
  • 25 Jan 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace1 : 3Chelsea
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 0Aston Villa
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace1 : 1Fulham
           
WINS 1
DRAW 2
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 14 Total goals
  • 71% BTTS
  • 6 Goals scored
  • 8 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 01 Mar 2026 – Premier League Manchester United2 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 19 Feb 2026 – Conference League Final Stage Zrinjski Mostar1 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 08 Feb 2026 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion0 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 01 Feb 2026 – Premier League Nottingham Forest1 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Macclesfield FC2 : 1Crystal Palace

Starting XI

3-4-2-1

Possible
Lineup
1 Dean Henderson
26 Chris Richards
34 Chadi Riad
23 Jaydee Canvot
3 Tyrick Mitchell
19 Will Hughes
20 Adam Wharton
2 Daniel Muñoz
7 Ismaïla Sarr
22 Jørgen Strand Larsen
10 Yéremy Pino
Substitutes
  • 44Walter Benítez
  • 17Nathaniel Clyne
  • 55Justin Devenny
  • 18Daichi Kamada
  • 24Borna Sosa
  • 12Christantus Uche
  • 29Evann Guessand
  • 11Brennan Johnson
  • 8Jefferson Lerma
Suspension
  • 1Maxence Lacroix
Injured
  • 1Cheick Doucouré Knee Injury
  • 2Edward Nketiah Thigh Injury
  • 3Jean-Philippe Mateta Knee Injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head Record

  • 28 Dec 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace 0 : 1 Tottenham Hotspur
  • 11 May 2025 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur 0 : 2 Crystal Palace
  • 27 Oct 2024 – Premier League Crystal Palace 1 : 0 Tottenham Hotspur
  • 02 Mar 2024 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur 3 : 1 Crystal Palace
  • 27 Oct 2023 – Premier League Crystal Palace 1 : 2 Tottenham Hotspur
  • 06 May 2023 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur 1 : 0 Crystal Palace
  • 04 Jan 2023 – Premier League Crystal Palace 0 : 4 Tottenham Hotspur
  • 26 Dec 2021 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur 3 : 0 Crystal Palace
  • 11 Sep 2021 – Premier League Crystal Palace 3 : 0 Tottenham Hotspur
  • 07 Mar 2021 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur 4 : 1 Crystal Palace
  • 13 Dec 2020 – Premier League Crystal Palace 1 : 1 Tottenham Hotspur
  • 26 Jul 2020 – Premier League Crystal Palace 1 : 1 Tottenham Hotspur
  • 14 Sep 2019 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur 4 : 0 Crystal Palace
  • 03 Apr 2019 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur 2 : 0 Crystal Palace
League Games at Tottenham
  • Tottenham
  • Crystal Palace
  • Goals: Scored 17 4
  • Games: Scored 6/7 3/7
  • Clean Sheets 4/7 1/7
League Games at Crystal Palace
  • Tottenham
  • Crystal Palace
  • Goals: Scored 9 7
  • Games: Scored 7/7 5/7
  • Clean Sheets 2/7 2/7

Current Best Betting Odds for Tottenham vs Crystal Palace

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Tottenham and Crystal Palace.

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 13/10
Draw 12/5
Away 2/1
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 27/20
Draw 23/10
Away 2/1
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 69/50
Draw 49/20
Away 41/20
Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 13/10
Draw 12/5
Away 2/1
Visit Site

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Tottenham vs Crystal Palace clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Crystal Palace (-2)14/1 (Bet365)This handicap requires Crystal Palace to win by more than 2 goals. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2Crystal Palace to Win to Nil5/1 (Bet365)Crystal Palace winning without conceding requires both attacking prowess and defensive solidity. A clean sheet adds difficulty but increases the reward significantly. At 5/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3Tottenham Over 3.5 Goals12/1 (Bet365)This bet backs Tottenham to score 4+ goals. Their recent attacking form and the opposition's defensive vulnerabilities make this an intriguing high-reward selection. At 12/1, the potential returns justify the risk.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Tottenham vs Crystal Palace clash:

  • Tottenham to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
  • Crystal Palace to Score First + Tottenham to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
  • Draw at Half-Time + Tottenham to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Tottenham vs Crystal Palace on 5 March 2026 at 8:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Tottenham have been incredibly vulnerable at the back, failing to keep the opposition at bay and conceding at least two goals in eight consecutive Premier League matches. However, they remain aggressive going forward and excel at finishing their chances. With Palace missing suspended central defender Maxence Lacroix, both defensive units are likely to be breached.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): While Tottenham’s recent matches have been high scoring, with seven of their last eight league games producing over 2.5 goals, the specific dynamic of this London derby often dictates otherwise. The last three head to head encounters have seen tight, low scoring affairs with fewer than three goals, contrasting heavily with Tottenham’s recent open matches.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): The momentum is heavily skewed away from the hosts, with Igor Tudor’s men rooted in a horrific ten match winless streak. Palace, sitting comfortably above them in the table, can play with less anxiety and utilise their strong chance creation to exploit a Spurs team lacking both confidence and defensive stability.

Where to Watch Tottenham vs Crystal Palace

TV channel:

The game will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 and TNT Sports Ultimate.

Online streaming:

The match will be available to stream live on discovery+.

Free highlights:

Highlights will be available on the broadcasters’ apps and websites, as well as on Match of the Day on BBC One.