Title Race Tension: League leaders Arsenal arrive at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium holding a five-point lead at the summit, but are under immense pressure to respond after squandering a two-goal lead to draw with bottom-club Wolves in their last outing.
Contrasting Momentum: While the Gunners remain in the hunt for a quadruple of trophies, Tottenham are in a genuine tailspin, having failed to win any of their last eight league matches and slipping to sixteenth in the table.
Managerial Debut under Fire: New Tottenham boss Igor Tudor faces a baptism of fire in his first game in charge, inheriting an injury-depleted squad that has conceded at least two goals in each of its last six Premier League fixtures.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Tottenham and Arsenal
To give you the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models: Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT. Each model provides a clear betting tip, complete with the latest odds and a logo to identify its source. For those who want to dig deeper, you can expand each prediction to reveal the data-driven reasoning behind it, showing how the AI analysed team form, player availability, and key statistics to reach its conclusion.
Tottenham have at least been reliable in front of their own fans, scoring in eight straight games at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Arsenal may be top of the pile, but recent slips at the back, shipping twice at Wolves and dropping points against Brentford, hint at vulnerability against a Spurs side averaging 1.38 goals per game.
The Gunners are riding a wave of season-long momentum and have a clear psychological edge, having secured five victories in their last six meetings with their local rivals. Conversely, Tottenham are in freefall, winless in eight matches and missing a staggering number of first-team regulars through injury and suspension, making an away win the most logical outcome.
This fixture has all the ingredients of a high-scoring affair, with Tottenham conceding at least two goals in each of their last six games and Arsenal scoring four times in recent matches against Leeds and Wigan. With the North London derby historically averaging 3.03 expected goals, a bet on over 3.5 goals offers significant value.
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?
My headline pick this weekend is a straight Arsenal win, with the gap in form and quality between these rivals hard to ignore. The Gunners have made this trip a profitable one, winning their last three away games at Tottenham and five of the last six meetings overall. Spurs, by contrast, are in freefall, winless in eight and conceding at least twice in six straight matches. With up to 12 players sidelined through injury and suspension, including defensive cornerstone Cristian Romero, it is difficult to see anything other than the clinical league leaders exposing a backline that has looked brittle for weeks.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bets are identified by an algorithm that processes a vast array of data points to find mispriced odds. It goes beyond simple win-loss records, factoring in metrics like expected goals (xG), team form over different periods, head-to-head performance, and the impact of injuries and suspensions. By comparing its calculated probabilities against live market odds, the model pinpoints bets that offer positive expected value, giving you a data-led edge.
Arsenal’s superb away form and near full-strength squad contrasts sharply with a Tottenham side decimated by 11 absences, making an away victory the most probable result.
Bet 2
Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
Despite their struggles, Tottenham have scored in 10 of their last 12 home games, while Arsenal have netted in 11 of their 12 away fixtures, suggesting both sides will find the net.
The combination of Tottenham’s makeshift defence and the fixture’s history of high-scoring encounters strongly points towards at least three goals being scored.
Given Tottenham have failed to win 8 of their last 12 home matches, the likelihood of an in-form Arsenal side avoiding defeat is extremely high.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Tottenham and Arsenal:
Dominic Solanke remains a focal point for the Spurs attack, having netted three goals when starting as a centre forward this season. Fresh from playing the full 90 minutes in a high-intensity clash against Manchester City, the forward provides a constant physical threat and looks the most likely candidate to breach an Arsenal defence that looked shaky when conceding late at Wolves. (Tottenham)
Viktor Gyökeres is in sensational form, boasting eight goals in 20 Premier League appearances this season while averaging 1.5 shots per game. He has been particularly clinical in big moments, and with Arsenal expected to dominate a depleted Spurs backline, the Swedish forward looks a smart bet to add to his tally here. (Arsenal)
Odds Boosts, Free Bets & Specials for Tottenham vs Arsenal
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18 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers2 : 2Arsenal
15 Feb 2026 –
FA CupArsenal4 : 0Wigan Athletic
12 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueBrentford1 : 1Arsenal
07 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueArsenal3 : 0Sunderland
03 Feb 2026 –
EFL CupArsenal1 : 0Chelsea
31 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United0 : 4Arsenal
WINS4
DRAW1
LOSSES1
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
18 Total goals
33% BTTS
13 Goals scored
5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5
15 Feb 2026 –
FA CupArsenal4 : 0Wigan Athletic
07 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueArsenal3 : 0Sunderland
03 Feb 2026 –
EFL CupArsenal1 : 0Chelsea
28 Jan 2026 –
Champions LeagueArsenal3 : 2Kairat Almaty
25 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueArsenal2 : 3Manchester United
08 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueArsenal0 : 0Liverpool
WINS3
DRAW3
LOSSES0
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
19 Total goals
50% BTTS
13 Goals scored
6 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
25% Under 2.5
18 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers2 : 2Arsenal
12 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueBrentford1 : 1Arsenal
31 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United0 : 4Arsenal
20 Jan 2026 –
Champions LeagueInter1 : 3Arsenal
17 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueNottingham Forest0 : 0Arsenal
14 Jan 2026 –
EFL CupChelsea2 : 3Arsenal
Starting XI
4-2-3-1
Possible Lineup
1David Raya
33Riccardo Calafiori
6Gabriel Magalhães
2William Saliba
12Jurriën Timber
19Leandro Trossard
36Martin Zubimendi
41Declan Rice
7Bukayo Saka
20Noni Madueke
14Viktor Gyökeres
Substitutes
13Kepa Arrizabalaga
5Piero Hincapié
4Ben White
49Myles Lewis-Skelly
16Christian Nørgaard
10Eberechi Eze
11Gabriel Martinelli
9Gabriel Jesus
8Martin Ødegaard
Suspension
None reported
Injured
1Mikel Merino Ankle/Foot Injury
2Max Dowman Ankle/Foot Injury
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Tottenham vs Arsenal Head-to-Head Record
23 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueArsenal4 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
31 Jul 2025 –
Club FriendliesArsenal0 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
15 Jan 2025 –
Premier LeagueArsenal2 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
15 Sep 2024 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur0 : 1Arsenal
28 Apr 2024 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur2 : 3Arsenal
24 Sep 2023 –
Premier LeagueArsenal2 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
15 Jan 2023 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur0 : 2Arsenal
01 Oct 2022 –
Premier LeagueArsenal3 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
12 May 2022 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur3 : 0Arsenal
26 Sep 2021 –
Premier LeagueArsenal3 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
08 Aug 2021 –
Club FriendliesTottenham Hotspur1 : 0Arsenal
14 Mar 2021 –
Premier LeagueArsenal2 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
06 Dec 2020 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur2 : 0Arsenal
12 Jul 2020 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur2 : 1Arsenal
League Games at Tottenham
Tottenham
Arsenal
Goals: Scored107
Games: Scored5/74/7
Clean Sheets3/72/7
League Games at Arsenal
Tottenham
Arsenal
Goals: Scored816
Games: Scored7/76/7
Clean Sheets1/70/7
Current Best Betting Odds for Tottenham vs Arsenal
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Tottenham and Arsenal.
For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Tottenham vs Arsenal clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.
Tottenham vs Arsenal Long-Shot Betting
Bet Type
Selection
Odds
Rationale
Long-Shot Bet 1
Over 5.5 Total Goals
17/2 (Coral)
Over 5.5 goals requires a high-scoring affair with at least 6 goals. Both sides' attacking intent and this fixture's history of entertainment make this worth consideration. At 17/2, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2
Tottenham Over 2.5 Goals
10/1 (Ladbrokes)
This bet backs Tottenham to score 3+ goals. Their recent attacking form and the opposition's defensive vulnerabilities make this an intriguing high-reward selection. At 10/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3
Arsenal leads HT, Draw FT
14/1 (10bet)
This bet requires Arsenal to lead at half-time before the match ends in a draw. It's an intriguing long-shot that banks on a second-half comeback from the opposition. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Bet Builder Suggestions
If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Tottenham vs Arsenal clash:
Tottenham to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
Arsenal to Score First + Tottenham to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
Draw at Half-Time + Tottenham to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Tottenham vs Arsenal on 22 February 2026 at 4:30 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Arsenal have been relentless in the final third, finding the net in twelve consecutive matches, while Tottenham have failed to keep a clean sheet in ten straight away fixtures. With Spurs still possessing enough attacking quality to score in eight straight home games, backing both sides to score looks a solid play.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): This fixture screams goals, with historical head-to-head meetings averaging nearly three goals per game and Spurs conceding at least twice in their last six outings. Given that five of Tottenham’s last six matches have seen over 2.5 goals, the stats strongly point towards another high-scoring encounter.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium has felt far from a fortress recently, with the home side winning just twice in the league there since the opening day of the season. Having dropped points in back-to-back home matches against Newcastle and Manchester City, Igor Tudor’s side lacks the momentum required to dominate a visiting Arsenal team that has won three straight on this ground.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 22 February 2026 at 4:30 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Tottenham vs Arsenal
TV channel:
The game will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Ultra HDR.
Online streaming:
The match will be available to stream live on Sky Go and NowTV.
Free highlights:
Highlights will be available on the broadcasters’ apps and websites, as well as on Match of the Day 2 on BBC One on Sunday night.
