Premier League · Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:30 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Tottenham Hotspur v Everton, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Tottenham Hotspur have taken 6.5 corners a game across their last 6 and Everton 5.8 across their last 6, so the two sides bring about 12.3 a match between them. Over 10.5 sits comfortably inside that combined figure, which is why it goes in as the steady leg. Tottenham Hotspur’s own count has ranged from 2 to 11 in that spell. 10/11 is the best price on offer for it.
Tottenham Hotspur come in 4-4-2 from their last 10 in all competitions, Everton 4-4-2: this pick leans on the match-up rather than the form table. The venue split is part of that case: 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in front of their own crowd. Tottenham Hotspur have won 3 of the last 5 meetings too. Tottenham Hotspur were held 0-0 by Nottingham Forest on Saturday. There is no hidden value at 21/20; it is simply the right call for how this fixture shapes up.
One clean sheet looks likelier than none here. BTTS has missed in 50 per cent of Tottenham Hotspur’s last 10 and 40 per cent of Everton’s, and the sides have drawn a blank 5 times between them in the window. The price is about right at 21/20. This pick is about the pattern of the match, not the margin.
Head-to-head profile
Five signals, both sides, scaled to the same ring. Defence is inverted, further out means fewer goals conceded. Exact numbers live in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Cumulative points, oldest match first (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). Hover or tap the lines for each result.
2026/27 is only 3 game(s) old, so this is a small sample: the last 3 shown, read alongside late-2025/26 form.
Recent form (last 3 matches (2026/27 so far), all competitions)
The record
| Tottenham Hotspur | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 4-4-2 | 4-4-2 |
| Tottenham Hotspur home / Everton away | 2-3-1 | 3-2-2 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
Top scorers, 2025/26 season
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Tottenham Hotspur | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Scored / game (venue) | 2 | 1.57 |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.1 | 1 |
| Conceded / game (venue) | 1.17 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 |
Venue row is Tottenham Hotspur at home and Everton away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Tottenham Hotspur | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 90% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 (venue) | 50% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 20% | 40% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. Both sides above 60% on Over 2.5 is the market to watch.
Form signals (both sides blended)
Dials blend both sides’ recent rates. They read the form, not a bookmaker price.
Both teams to score
| Tottenham Hotspur | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS % (venue) | 67% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 |
Last 5 meetings (Tottenham Hotspur’s view)
Head-to-head record
| Meetings | 5 |
| Tottenham Hotspur wins / draws / Everton wins | 3-1-1 |
| Goals (Tottenham Hotspur / Everton) | 12 / 5 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 3.4 |
| Both teams scored | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
2026/27 so far, 3 played
| Tottenham Hotspur | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 17 | 8 |
| Points | 1 | 5 |
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 0-1-2 | 1-2-0 |
| Goals for-against | 0-5 | 5-3 |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Everton win, our form model vs the market price
The market leans Tottenham Hotspur, but the recent form reads it differently: it makes the Everton win a 30 per cent chance, more than the best price allows for. That difference is the value, and it is why 11/4 about Everton catches the eye.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Tottenham Hotspur (last 10) | Everton (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 4-4-2 | 4-4-2 |
| Home / away split | 2-3-1 | 3-2-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.1 | 1 |
| BTTS % | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur | 17 | 1 | 0-5 |
| Everton | 8 | 5 | 5-3 |
18+ only. Odds correct at time of publication and subject to change. Always gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply to all offers shown.