Sunderland are enjoying a great campaign, however they have begun to drop off. Their strong home form at the Stadium of Light has been a key factor in their success this season.
Newcastle United find themselves in 12th position, with inconsistent form, though they have won three of their last five matches in the league.
This edition of the Tyne-Wear derby sees the two rivals in contrasting fortunes. Sunderland are flying high, while Newcastle are expecting better. This sets the stage for a raucous Premier League clash.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Sunderland and Newcastle
To give you the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models – ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model provides a clear prediction on the outcome, displayed as a simple bullet point. You’ll also see their official logos, so it’s clear which AI made the call. For those who want to dive deeper, you can click each prediction to expand and reveal the reasoning behind it – showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match stats.
ChatGPT prioritises BTTS when both sides have effective attacking options and a derby atmosphere increases goalmouth action. Sunderland’s solid home form and Newcastle’s injury-hit defense suggest both teams will find chances, making BTTS a value play.
Claude prioritises the win market given Sunderland’s superior league position and home advantage. Newcastle’s defensive injury crisis—with Trippier, Botman, and Krafth all sidelined—significantly weakens their backline. The Tyne-Wear derby atmosphere at the Stadium of Light further tilts the odds towards a home victory.
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market, finding value in a high-scoring derby. Both Sunderland and Newcastle possess strong attacking players and have demonstrated good scoring records this season. Newcastle’s defensive injuries further suggest they may concede more goals, contributing to an open game.
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?
This Tyne-Wear derby has all the ingredients for goals. While Sunderland are in better form, Newcastle still possess a potent attack with Woltemade, Gordon, and Barnes. Given the intensity of the rivalry and Newcastle’s defensive vulnerabilities, a bet on both teams finding the net looks like the most solid pick for this high-stakes Premier League clash.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bets are generated by combining insights from advanced research models with key football data points. The algorithm looks beyond simple win–draw–lose outcomes and weighs factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. For this derby, the model heavily factors in Sunderland’s home strength against Newcastle’s depleted squad.
Sunderland’s strong home form and superior league position, combined with Newcastle’s extensive injury list affecting key defenders, makes a home victory the most probable outcome.
Bet 2
Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
Both sides boast significant attacking quality, and the intense derby atmosphere often leads to goals from both teams, especially with Newcastle’s makeshift defence.
The combination of potent attackers on both sides and Newcastle’s defensive vulnerabilities strongly suggests a match that will exceed 2.5 total goals.
Given their excellent record at the Stadium of Light and Newcastle’s depleted squad, it’s highly unlikely that Sunderland will lose this derby fixture.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Sunderland and Newcastle:
Brian Brobbey leads Sunderland’s attack as the lone striker in their 5-4-1 formation and represents excellent value in the Anytime Goalscorer market, particularly with service from Xhaka and Le Fée behind him. (Sunderland)
Anthony Gordon will take any penalties, in a fiesty atmosphere a penalty can always be given, making him the standout pick for the away Anytime Goalscorer market despite the challenging fixture. (Newcastle)
Odds Boosts, Free Bets & Specials for Sunderland vs Newcastle
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10 Dec 2025 –
Champions LeagueBayer Leverkusen2 : 2Newcastle United
06 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 1Burnley
02 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
29 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueEverton1 : 4Newcastle United
25 Nov 2025 –
Champions LeagueMarseille2 : 1Newcastle United
22 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 1Manchester City
WINS5
DRAW1
LOSSES0
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
17 Total goals
50% BTTS
12 Goals scored
5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
25% Under 2.5
06 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 1Burnley
02 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
22 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 1Manchester City
05 Nov 2025 –
Champions LeagueNewcastle United2 : 0Athletic Bilbao
29 Oct 2025 –
EFL CupNewcastle United2 : 0Tottenham Hotspur
25 Oct 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 1Fulham
WINS1
DRAW1
LOSSES4
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
23 Total goals
100% BTTS
10 Goals scored
13 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5
10 Dec 2025 –
Champions LeagueBayer Leverkusen2 : 2Newcastle United
29 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueEverton1 : 4Newcastle United
25 Nov 2025 –
Champions LeagueMarseille2 : 1Newcastle United
09 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueBrentford3 : 1Newcastle United
02 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueWest Ham United3 : 1Newcastle United
18 Oct 2025 –
Premier LeagueBrighton & Hove Albion2 : 1Newcastle United
Starting XI
4-3-3
Possible Lineup
32Aaron Ramsdale
20Lewis Hall
33Dan Burn
12Malick Thiaw
21Tino Livramento
39Bruno Guimarães
8Sandro Tonali
41Jacob Ramsey
10Anthony Gordon
29Nick Woltemade
15Harvey Barnes
Substitutes
21John Ruddy
6Jamaal Lascelles
5Fabian Schär
35Alex Murphy
28Joe Willock
67Lewis Miley
23Jacob Murphy
14Yoane Wissa
20Anthony Elanga
Suspension
None reported
Injured
1Nick Pope Groin injury
2Kieran Trippier Hamstring injury
3Sven Botman Back injury
4Emil Krafth Knee injury
5Joelinton Knock
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Current Best Betting Odds for Sunderland vs Newcastle
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Sunderland and Newcastle.
If you really want to see a return during our football betting predictions, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be big.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Sunderland vs Newcastle clash:
Sunderland to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 9/1+)
Newcastle to Score First + Sunderland to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 12/1+)
Draw at Half-Time + Sunderland to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 15/1+)
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Sunderland vs Newcastle on 14 December 2025 at 2:00 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams have shown consistent scoring form this season. While Sunderland have a solid defensive record, the derby pressure often creates chances. Newcastle’s attacking trio of Gordon, Woltemade, and Barnes remains a significant threat and is capable of breaching the home defence, making a BTTS outcome highly probable.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): Expect 3-4 goals in this match. Sunderland are confident at home, while Newcastle must rely on their attack to compensate for their defensive frailties, which should lead to an open and high-scoring derby.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): The passionate atmosphere at the Stadium of Light for a Tyne-Wear derby gives Sunderland a major psychological and performance boost, particularly against a rival struggling with injuries.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 14 December 2025 at 2:00 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Sunderland vs Newcastle
TV channel:
In the UK, this Premier League match will be broadcast on Sky Sports.
Online streaming:
Subscribers can stream via Now TV Sports membership.
Free highlights:
Full match highlights will be available on Match of the Day (BBC One, 10:30 PM) and the official Premier League YouTube channel.
