Sunderland vs Liverpool Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 11 February 2026 at 8:15 PM
Sunderland
Top tip Over 2.5 Goals
Liverpool
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  • Stadium of Light Fortress: The Black Cats remain the only team in the Premier League, Championship, or League One to boast an unbeaten home record this season (W7, D5), turning their ground into a genuine stronghold.
  • Reds Seeking Redemption: Liverpool arrive on Wearside reeling from a dramatic 2-1 defeat to Manchester City, where they conceded a 93rd-minute penalty. Arne Slot’s side have now lost eight times this season and sit sixth, five points adrift of the Champions League places.
  • High-Scoring Trends: Goals are expected; Sunderland’s last five league matches have all produced over 2.5 goals, while Liverpool’s porous defence has shipped 21 goals in 12 away outings this term.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Sunderland and Liverpool

To provide the most reliable insights, we have gathered match predictions from three leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model offers a clear prediction on the outcome, presented as a simple bullet point. You will also see their official logos, making it easy to identify which AI made the call. For those who wish to delve deeper, you can click on each prediction to expand and reveal the detailed reasoning behind it, showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match statistics.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 4/510/133/4
Sunderland have been reliable in front of goal at the Stadium of Light, netting 21 times this season, and they face a Liverpool backline that is statistically one of the most porous on the road in the top half. However, the Reds still possess elite attacking talent capable of breaching a Sunderland defence that just conceded three against Arsenal, setting the stage for an open encounter where both keepers are busy.
Prediction of AI claude modelDraw
Odds for This Bet 57/2014/514/5
Sunderland are the draw specialists at home against top opposition, having held firm to remain unbeaten on their own patch all season. Liverpool are in a slump, with just one win in seven league games and a history of dropping points on the road (D3 L5 in their last ten away), making a stalemate a highly probable outcome between an unstoppable force and an immovable object.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 5/64/53/4
Sunderland’s matches have been goal-heavy recently, with their last five league fixtures delivering a glut of strikes, while Liverpool’s desperate need for points forces them into an open style that leaves them exposed. With the Reds conceding 21 away goals this term and Sunderland averaging nearly two goals per game at home, this contest is primed to explode into a high-scoring thriller.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: February 10, 2026
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

My headline selection for this midweek clash is Over 3.5 Goals, as the statistical indicators for a high-scoring affair are compelling. Liverpool’s desperation to bridge the gap to the top four will force them to play on the front foot, but their defensive travels have been calamitous, conceding at a rate of nearly two goals per game on the road. Combined with a Sunderland side that has netted 21 times at the Stadium of Light and recently saw their own matches average well above three goals, this fixture has all the ingredients of a chaotic, end-to-end shootout.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are generated by combining insights from advanced research models with key football data points. The algorithm looks beyond simple win-draw-lose outcomes and weighs factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. This data-driven approach allows us to pinpoint bets that offer genuine value, where the probability of an outcome is higher than the odds suggest.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Away Win
  • Probability: 60%
  • Best Odds: 3/4 (1.75) at Coral
  • Liverpool’s formidable away form, with five wins from their last six matches on the road, makes them the clear favourites to secure all three points.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 53%
  • Best Odds: 4/5 (1.8) at bet365
  • With Sunderland averaging two goals per game at home and Liverpool scoring freely on their travels, both teams are expected to find the net.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 65%
  • Best Odds: 5/6 (1.833) at 10bet
  • Liverpool’s away games have seen an average of 3.67 total goals, making a prediction of over 2.5 goals a statistically strong likelihood.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Liverpool or Draw
  • Probability: 82%
  • Best Odds: 2/9 (1.222) at Ladbrokes
  • Considering Liverpool’s 83% win rate in their last six away games, backing them to avoid defeat is the most secure, albeit low-value, option.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Sunderland and Liverpool:

  • Brian Brobbey should be on the radar for the anytime goalscorer market because he’s Sunderland’s #9 and a clear penalty-box focal point: 5 league goals in 1,042 minutes (roughly a goal every ~208 mins) while putting up consistent shot volume (1.0 shots per game) and offering a real aerial threat (2.1 aerials won per game). That combination of role, minutes, and direct goal involvement makes him a credible anytime scorer whenever Sunderland are expected to create chances. (Sunderland)
  • Hugo Ekitiké is worth a look in the anytime goalscorer market because he’s operating as Liverpool’s central forward and is producing like a primary finisher: 16 goals in 39 appearances overall (including 10 in the league) while averaging about 2.6 shots per game. (Liverpool)

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Sunderland Form and Stats

Last MatchesSunderland
           
WINS 3
DRAW 0
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 36 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 17 Goals scored
  • 19 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 07 Feb 2026 – Premier League Arsenal3 : 0Sunderland
  • 02 Feb 2026 – Premier League Sunderland3 : 0Burnley
  • 24 Jan 2026 – Premier League West Ham United3 : 1Sunderland
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Everton1 : 4Sunderland
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Brentford3 : 0Sunderland
           
WINS 4
DRAW 2
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 14 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 10 Goals scored
  • 4 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 50% Under 2.5
  • 02 Feb 2026 – Premier League Sunderland3 : 0Burnley
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Sunderland0 : 0Manchester City
  • 28 Dec 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 1Leeds United
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 0Newcastle United
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland3 : 2AFC Bournemouth
           
WINS 1
DRAW 2
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 17 Total goals
  • 38% BTTS
  • 6 Goals scored
  • 11 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 25% Under 2.5
  • 07 Feb 2026 – Premier League Arsenal3 : 0Sunderland
  • 24 Jan 2026 – Premier League West Ham United3 : 1Sunderland
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Everton1 : 4Sunderland
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Brentford3 : 0Sunderland
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 1Sunderland
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion0 : 0Sunderland

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
22 Robin Roefs
20 Nordi Mukiele
5 Daniel Ballard
15 Omar Alderete
17 Reinildo
19 Habib Diarra
27 Noah Sadiki
28 Enzo Le Fee
32 Trai Hume
9 Brian Brobbey
7 Chemsdine Talbi
Substitutes
  • 1Anthony Patterson
  • 3Dennis Cirkin
  • 4Daniel Neil
  • 11Chris Rigg
  • 14Romaine Mundle
  • 18Wilson Isidor
  • 12Eliezer Mayenda
  • 21Simon Moore
  • 16Blondy Nna Noukeu
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Granit Xhaka Ankle injury
  • 2Bertrand Traoré Knee injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Liverpool Form and Stats

Last MatchesLiverpool
           
WINS 3
DRAW 1
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 42 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 30 Goals scored
  • 12 Goals conceded
  • 64% Over 2.5
  • 36% Under 2.5
  • 08 Feb 2026 – Premier League Liverpool1 : 2Manchester City
  • 31 Jan 2026 – Premier League Liverpool4 : 1Newcastle United
  • 28 Jan 2026 – Champions League Liverpool6 : 0Qarabag FK
  • 24 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth3 : 2Liverpool
  • 21 Jan 2026 – Champions League Marseille0 : 3Liverpool
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Liverpool1 : 1Burnley
           
WINS 3
DRAW 2
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 21 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 16 Goals scored
  • 5 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 25% Under 2.5
  • 08 Feb 2026 – Premier League Liverpool1 : 2Manchester City
  • 31 Jan 2026 – Premier League Liverpool4 : 1Newcastle United
  • 28 Jan 2026 – Champions League Liverpool6 : 0Qarabag FK
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Liverpool1 : 1Burnley
  • 12 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Liverpool4 : 1Barnsley
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Liverpool0 : 0Leeds United
           
WINS 3
DRAW 2
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 16 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 10 Goals scored
  • 6 Goals conceded
  • 67% Over 2.5
  • 33% Under 2.5
  • 24 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth3 : 2Liverpool
  • 21 Jan 2026 – Champions League Marseille0 : 3Liverpool
  • 08 Jan 2026 – Premier League Arsenal0 : 0Liverpool
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Fulham2 : 2Liverpool
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 2Liverpool
  • 09 Dec 2025 – Champions League Inter0 : 1Liverpool

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
1 Alisson Becker
17 Curtis Jones
5 Ibrahima Konate
4 Virgil van Dijk
6 Milos Kerkez
38 Ryan Gravenberch
10 Alexis Mac Allister
11 Mohamed Salah
7 Florian Wirtz
18 Cody Gakpo
22 Hugo Ekitike
Substitutes
  • 26Andrew Robertson
  • 3Wataru Endo
  • 14Federico Chiesa
  • 73Rio Ngumoha
  • 42Trey Nyoni
  • 28Freddie Woodman
  • 25Giorgi Mamardashvili
  • 41Armin Pecsi
  • 2Joseph Gomez
Suspension
  • 1Dominik Szoboszlai Red card ban
Injured
  • 1Alexander Isak Broken leg
  • 2Jeremie Frimpong Thigh injury
  • 3Conor Bradley Knee injury
  • 4Giovanni Leoni Knee injury
  • 5Stefan Bajcetic Hamstring injury
  • 6Joe Gomez Hip injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Sunderland vs Liverpool Head-to-Head Record

  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool 1 : 1 Sunderland
  • 02 Jan 2017 – Premier League Sunderland 2 : 2 Liverpool
League Games at Sunderland
  • Sunderland
  • Liverpool
  • Goals: Scored 2 2
  • Games: Scored 1/1 1/1
  • Clean Sheets 0/1 0/1
League Games at Liverpool
  • Sunderland
  • Liverpool
  • Goals: Scored 1 1
  • Games: Scored 1/1 1/1
  • Clean Sheets 0/1 0/1

Current Best Betting Odds for Sunderland vs Liverpool

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Sunderland and Liverpool.

Sunderland vs Liverpool
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 17/5
Draw 11/4
Away 3/4
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 7/2
Draw 27/10
Away 17/25
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 19/5
Draw 57/20
Away 37/50
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 7/2
Draw 29/10
Away 3/4
Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 17/5
Draw 11/4
Away 3/4
Visit Site

Sunderland vs Liverpool Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Sunderland vs Liverpool clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Sunderland vs Liverpool Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Liverpool leads HT, Draw FT14/1 (10bet)This bet requires Liverpool to lead at half-time before the match ends in a draw. It's an intriguing long-shot that banks on a second-half comeback from the opposition. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2Sunderland to Win to Nil7/1 (Bet365)Sunderland winning without conceding requires both attacking prowess and defensive solidity. A clean sheet adds difficulty but increases the reward significantly. At 7/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3Liverpool (-3)12/1 (Bet365)This handicap requires Liverpool to win by more than 3 goals. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 12/1, the potential returns justify the risk.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Sunderland vs Liverpool clash:

  • Sunderland to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
  • Liverpool to Score First + Sunderland to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
  • Draw at Half-Time + Sunderland to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Sunderland vs Liverpool on 11 February 2026 at 8:15 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Liverpool’s away form has been defined by defensive openness, having conceded 21 goals in 12 road matches this season—more than bottom-club Wolves. Sunderland, meanwhile, have scored 21 times at home and rarely draw a blank at the Stadium of Light. With both defences looking vulnerable and attacks capable, backing both sides to score looks a solid play.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): This fixture screams goals, with Sunderland’s recent matches being particularly frenetic; their last five outings have all seen at least three strikes. Liverpool have also been involved in high-scoring drama, including a 6-0 thrashing of Qarabag and a 3-2 loss to Bournemouth recently. The stats strongly point towards another high-scoring encounter.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): The Stadium of Light is fast becoming a fortress, with the Black Cats unbeaten in their last 12 home Premier League matches (W7 D5). Having turned their ground into the toughest place to visit in the Premier League, and facing a Liverpool side with only two wins in their last ten away league games, the momentum is arguably with the hosts.

Where to Watch Sunderland vs Liverpool

TV channel:

In the UK, this Premier League match will be broadcast on TNT Sport 1 and TNT Ultimate.

Online streaming:

Subscribers can stream via the TNT Sport app.

Free highlights:

Full match highlights will be available on Match of the Day (BBC One) later in the week and the official Premier League YouTube channel.