Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 17 January 2026 at 3:00 PM
Sunderland
Top tip Over 2.5 Goals
Crystal Palace
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  • Relegation context: Sunderland are hovering just above the drop zone, so home points are vital, while Crystal Palace need results to avoid being dragged into the same battle.
  • Momentum swing: This fixture offers both sides a chance to shift the narrative, either by building breathing space in the table or by pulling a direct rival back into danger.
  • Psychological edge: A win here would be a major confidence boost for the remainder of the season, while defeat would increase pressure heading into a demanding run of fixtures.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Sunderland and Crystal Palace

To provide you with the most reliable insights, we have collated match predictions from three leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model offers a distinct betting prediction on the match outcome, clearly presented as a bullet point. You’ll also see their official logos, so it is clear which AI made the call. For those who wish to delve deeper, you can click on each prediction to expand and reveal the detailed reasoning behind it, showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match statistics.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 10/119/1017/20
BTTS offers value given Sunderland’s attacking intent at home and Crystal Palace’s exposed defence through injuries. Both sides have been scoring regularly, and recent head-to-heads show open, end-to-end exchanges.
Prediction of AI claude modelSunderland to Win
Odds for This Bet 44/257/417/10
Claude prioritises markets that favour a narrow home win. Sunderland’s superior home form and pressing intensity against Crystal Palace’s weakened midfield and defensive injuries underpin the home win pick. Both sides have conceded regularly in recent fixtures, making both teams to score a logical secondary angle.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 6/56/523/20
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market given the attacking potential of Sunderland at home and Crystal Palace’s significant defensive injuries. Both teams have shown a propensity to score and concede regularly, making a high-scoring encounter likely in this Premier League tie.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: January 14, 2026
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Over 2.5 goals is my main pick because the numbers suggest this game naturally leans towards chances at both ends. Sunderland average 1.6 goals per home match, while Crystal Palace score around 1.2 away, putting the expected total close to three goals. Sunderland have found the net in 90% of home games, Palace concede regularly on the road, and their away matches tend to open up late, with a high proportion of goals conceded after the 75th minute. All of that points to a game that is far more likely to stretch beyond two goals than stay tight.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are generated by an algorithm that combines insights from advanced research models with crucial football data points. The system looks beyond simple win-draw-lose outcomes, weighing factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. This process identifies bets that may offer superior value based on a comprehensive statistical analysis.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Home Win
  • Probability: 48%
  • Best Odds: 44/25 (2.76) at 10bet
  • Sunderland’s strong home form and Palace’s mounting injury crisis suggest the Black Cats will edge this FA Cup third-round encounter.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 10/11 (1.909) at bet365
  • Both sides have conceded regularly and possess attacking threats capable of finding the net.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 60%
  • Best Odds: 6/5 (2.2) at bet365
  • Sunderland’s attacking intent at home combined with Palace’s injury-hit defence points towards an open, high-scoring cup tie.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Sunderland or Draw
  • Probability: 72%
  • Best Odds: 10/21 (1.476) at Ladbrokes
  • Sunderland’s home advantage and Palace’s depleted squad make a home defeat highly unlikely.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Sunderland and Crystal Palace:

  • Brian Brobbey is worth considering in the anytime goalscorer market because he remains Sunderland’s main focal point in attack and is usually the player occupying the highest-value central areas. Despite limited minutes, he has scored 3 Premier League goals and tends to be involved whenever Sunderland create clear chances. His physical presence, aerial ability and tendency to stay close to goal mean that if Sunderland get on the scoresheet, Brobbey is often the most likely source. (Sunderland)
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta is well worth considering in the anytime goalscorer market because he is Crystal Palace’s main reference point in the final third. He has scored 8 Premier League goals this season, averages around 2.4 shots per game, and is heavily involved whenever Palace sustain attacking pressure. His physical presence and aerial strength make him a constant threat from crosses and set pieces, and with Palace often funnelling chances into central areas, Mateta is usually their most likely route to a goal. (Crystal Palace)

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Sunderland Form and Stats

Last MatchesSunderland
           
WINS 1
DRAW 4
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 33 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 16 Goals scored
  • 17 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 57% Under 2.5
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Everton1 : 4Sunderland
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Brentford3 : 0Sunderland
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 1Sunderland
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Sunderland0 : 0Manchester City
  • 28 Dec 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 1Leeds United
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion0 : 0Sunderland
           
WINS 2
DRAW 4
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 14 Total goals
  • 67% BTTS
  • 8 Goals scored
  • 6 Goals conceded
  • 33% Over 2.5
  • 67% Under 2.5
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Sunderland0 : 0Manchester City
  • 28 Dec 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 1Leeds United
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 0Newcastle United
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland3 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 2Arsenal
  • 03 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 1Everton
           
WINS 1
DRAW 3
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 15 Total goals
  • 38% BTTS
  • 6 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 38% Over 2.5
  • 38% Under 2.5
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Everton1 : 4Sunderland
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Brentford3 : 0Sunderland
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 1Sunderland
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion0 : 0Sunderland
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0Sunderland
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool1 : 1Sunderland

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
22 Robin Roefs
32 Trai Hume
5 Daniel Ballard
15 Omar Alderete
20 Nordi Mukiele
34 Granit Xhaka
27 Noah Sadiki
28 Enzo Le Fee
14 Romaine Mundle
9 Brian Brobbey
24 Simon Adingra
Substitutes
  • 1Anthony Patterson
  • 3Dennis Cirkin
  • 4Dan Neil
  • 6Lutsharel Geertruida
  • 11Chris Rigg
  • 12Eliezer Mayenda
  • 13Luke O'Nien
  • 18Wilson Isidor
  • 33Leo Hjelde
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Mouhamadou Habib Diarra African Cup of Nations
  • 2Chemsdine Talbi African Cup of Nations
  • 3Reinildo Isnard Mandava Other
  • 4Bertrand Isidore Traore Other
  • 5Arthur Masuaku Ankle/Foot Injury
  • 6Ajibola Afolarin Alese Shoulder Injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Crystal Palace Form and Stats

Last MatchesCrystal Palace
           
WINS 0
DRAW 2
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 50 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 21 Goals scored
  • 29 Goals conceded
  • 64% Over 2.5
  • 36% Under 2.5
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Macclesfield FC2 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 0Aston Villa
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 0Crystal Palace
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace1 : 1Fulham
  • 28 Dec 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
  • 23 Dec 2025 – EFL Cup Arsenal9 : 8Crystal Palace
           
WINS 0
DRAW 3
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 13 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 4 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 50% Under 2.5
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 0Aston Villa
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace1 : 1Fulham
  • 28 Dec 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
  • 18 Dec 2025 – Conference League Crystal Palace2 : 2KuPS
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 3Manchester City
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace1 : 2Manchester United
           
WINS 2
DRAW 0
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 33 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 15 Goals scored
  • 18 Goals conceded
  • 63% Over 2.5
  • 13% Under 2.5
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Macclesfield FC2 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 0Crystal Palace
  • 23 Dec 2025 – EFL Cup Arsenal9 : 8Crystal Palace
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Leeds United4 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 11 Dec 2025 – Conference League Shelbourne0 : 3Crystal Palace
  • 07 Dec 2025 – Premier League Fulham1 : 2Crystal Palace

Starting XI

3-4-2-1

Possible
Lineup
1 Dean Henderson
26 Chris Richards
5 Maxence Lacroix
6 Marc Guéhi
3 Tyrick Mitchell
20 Adam Wharton
19 Will Hughes
55 Justin Devenny
11 Brennan Johnson
10 Yeremy Pino
14 Jean-Philippe Mateta
Substitutes
  • 44Walter Benítez
  • 24Borna Sosa
  • 23Jaydee Canvot
  • 42Kaden Rodney
  • 72Dean Benamar
  • 73Ben Casey
  • 63Zach Marsh
  • 60George King
  • 12Christantus Uche
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Daichi Kamada Thigh Injury
  • 2Cheick Doucouré Knee Injury
  • 3Rio Cardines Muscle Injury
  • 4Nathaniel Clyne Groin/Hip/Pelvic Injury
  • 5Daniel Munoz Knee Injury
  • 6Jefferson Lerma Head/Face Injury
  • 7Chadi Riad Knee Injury
  • 8Edward Nketiah Thigh Injury
  • 9Caleb Kporha Lower Back Injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head Record

  • 13 Sep 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace 0 : 0 Sunderland
League Games at Crystal Palace
  • Sunderland
  • Crystal Palace
  • Goals: Scored 0 0
  • Games: Scored 0/1 0/1
  • Clean Sheets 1/1 1/1

Current Best Betting Odds for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Sunderland and Crystal Palace.

Sunderland vs Crystal Palace
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 137/100
Draw 9/4
Away 2/1
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 27/20
Draw 11/5
Away 11/5
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 13/10
Draw 43/20
Away 21/10
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 7/5
Draw 11/5
Away 9/4
Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 69/50
Draw 11/5
Away 2/1
Visit Site

Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Sunderland vs Crystal Palace clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Crystal Palace to Score First21/20 (Bet365)Backing Crystal Palace to open the scoring offers value if they start the match on the front foot. Early goals can shift momentum and this selection rewards those anticipating an aggressive start. At 21/20, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2Sunderland to Win to Nil10/3 (Bet365)Sunderland winning without conceding requires both attacking prowess and defensive solidity. A clean sheet adds difficulty but increases the reward significantly. At 10/3, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3Sunderland (-2)12/1 (Bet365)This handicap requires Sunderland to win by more than 2 goals. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 12/1, the potential returns justify the risk.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Sunderland vs Crystal Palace clash:

  • Sunderland to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
  • Crystal Palace to Score First + Sunderland to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
  • Draw at Half-Time + Sunderland to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Sunderland vs Crystal Palace on 17 January 2026 at 3:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams are likely to find the net given Sunderland’s attacking quality at home and Crystal Palace’s creative threats through Eze and Mateta despite defensive vulnerabilities.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): Over 2.5 goals expected as Sunderland’s high-tempo pressing style meets Crystal Palace’s weakened defensive structure in an open FA Cup contest.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Sunderland hold a significant home advantage with a passionate Stadium of Light crowd and superior recent form at this venue.

Where to Watch Sunderland vs Crystal Palace

TV channel:

Due to the 3pm blackout, this game will not be televised live in the UK.

Online streaming:

The game is not available to stream live in the UK.

Free highlights:

Match highlights will be shown across Sky Sports and TNT Sports, with extended highlights also airing later on Saturday night on Match of the Day.