Premier League · Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:00 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Sunderland v Arsenal, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Arsenal arrive with the stronger recent record: 7 wins from their last 10 in all competitions, while Sunderland have lost 3 of 10. The venue split backs it up: 4 wins, no draws and no defeats on the road. Arsenal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings too. The freshest evidence favours Arsenal: Napoli beaten 1-0 on Wednesday. 1/2 is a fair price rather than a gift, but the match sets up for it and the leg earns its place.
Sunderland have taken 5.3 corners a game across their last 7 and Arsenal 6.1 across their last 7, so the two sides bring about 11.4 a match between them. Over 9.5 sits comfortably inside that combined figure, which is why it goes in as the steady leg. Arsenal’s own count has ranged from 2 to 10 in that spell. The compare block below shows who pays most for it at 1/1.
Both attacks are ticking and neither defence is watertight. BTTS has landed in 50 per cent of Sunderland’s recent matches and 60 per cent of Arsenal’s, with just 8 clean sheets between the sides in that time. 5/4 reads a shade generous against the recent record, which is exactly what we want from a builder leg.
Head-to-head profile
Five signals, both sides, scaled to the same ring. Defence is inverted, further out means fewer goals conceded. Exact numbers live in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Cumulative points, oldest match first (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). Hover or tap the lines for each result.
2026/27 is only 3 game(s) old, so this is a small sample: the last 3 shown, read alongside late-2025/26 form.
Recent form (last 3 matches (2026/27 so far), all competitions)
The record
| Sunderland | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 6-1-3 | 7-1-2 |
| Sunderland home / Arsenal away | 4-0-1 | 4-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 2.20 |
Top scorers, 2025/26 season
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Sunderland | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.6 | 2 |
| Scored / game (venue) | 1 | 2 |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1 | 1 |
| Conceded / game (venue) | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
Venue row is Sunderland at home and Arsenal away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Sunderland | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 40% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 (venue) | 20% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 20% | 30% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. Both sides above 60% on Over 2.5 is the market to watch.
Form signals (both sides blended)
Dials blend both sides’ recent rates. They read the form, not a bookmaker price.
Both teams to score
| Sunderland | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS % (venue) | 20% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
Last 5 meetings (Sunderland’s view)
Head-to-head record
| Meetings | 5 |
| Sunderland wins / draws / Arsenal wins | 0-1-4 |
| Goals (Sunderland / Arsenal) | 4 / 16 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 4.0 |
| Both teams scored | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
2026/27 so far, 3 played
| Sunderland | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12 | 2 |
| Points | 4 | 9 |
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-1-1 | 3-0-0 |
| Goals for-against | 3-3 | 6-1 |
| Goal difference | +0 | +5 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Sunderland win, our form model vs the market price
The market leans Arsenal, but the recent form reads it differently: it makes the Sunderland win a 40 per cent chance, more than the best price allows for. That difference is the value, and it is why 7/1 about Sunderland catches the eye.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Sunderland (last 10) | Arsenal (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 6-1-3 | 7-1-2 |
| Home / away split | 4-0-1 | 4-0-0 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.6 | 2 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1 | 1 |
| BTTS % | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 |
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 12 | 4 | 3-3 |
| Arsenal | 2 | 9 | 6-1 |
18+ only. Odds correct at time of publication and subject to change. Always gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply to all offers shown.