Saturday 5 September 2026, 15:00 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Nottingham Forest v Tottenham Hotspur, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
The 4.5-goals line, taken on the day’s prices. A judgement call on the day rather than a stats one, and 1/5 is the pick of the prices.
Goals follow both of these sides around. 50 per cent of Nottingham Forest’s last 10 went over 2.5 and 50 per cent of Tottenham Hotspur’s did the same, with the pair averaging 2.9 goals a match between them. There is no hidden value at 1/1; it is simply the right call for how this fixture shapes up.
Tottenham Hotspur arrive with the stronger recent record: 5 wins from their last 10 in all competitions, while Nottingham Forest have lost 5 of 10. The venue split backs it up: 2 wins, no draws and 1 defeat on the road. Tottenham Hotspur did lose 2-0 to Newcastle United on Saturday, which is what keeps this price honest. 7/4 reads a shade generous against the recent record, which is exactly what we want from a builder leg.
Head-to-head profile
Five signals, both sides, scaled to the same ring. Defence is inverted, further out means fewer goals conceded. Exact numbers live in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Cumulative points, oldest match first (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). Hover or tap the lines for each result.
2026/27 is only 2 game(s) old, so this is a small sample: the last 2 shown, read alongside late-2025/26 form.
Recent form (last 2 matches (2026/27 so far), all competitions)
The record
| Nottingham Forest | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 3-2-5 | 5-3-2 |
| Nottingham Forest home / Tottenham Hotspur away | 2-0-2 | 2-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.80 |
Top scorers, 2025/26 season
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Nottingham Forest | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Scored / game (venue) | 1 | 1.33 |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Conceded / game (venue) | 1 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 |
Venue row is Nottingham Forest at home and Tottenham Hotspur away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Nottingham Forest | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 80% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 (venue) | 25% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 30% | 20% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. Both sides above 60% on Over 2.5 is the market to watch.
Form signals (both sides blended)
Dials blend both sides’ recent rates. They read the form, not a bookmaker price.
Both teams to score
| Nottingham Forest | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS % (venue) | 25% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 |
Last 5 meetings (Nottingham Forest’s view)
Head-to-head record
| Meetings | 5 |
| Nottingham Forest wins / draws / Tottenham Hotspur wins | 4-0-1 |
| Goals (Nottingham Forest / Tottenham Hotspur) | 10 / 4 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 2.8 |
| Both teams scored | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
2026/27 so far, 2 played
| Nottingham Forest | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 15 | 20 |
| Points | 1 | 0 |
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 0-1-1 | 0-0-2 |
| Goals for-against | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Tottenham Hotspur win, our form model vs the market price
The market leans Nottingham Forest, but the recent form reads it differently: it makes the Tottenham Hotspur win a 50 per cent chance, more than the best price allows for. That difference is the value, and it is why 7/4 on the away win leads the bet builder higher up the page.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Nottingham Forest (last 10) | Tottenham Hotspur (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 3-2-5 | 5-3-2 |
| Home / away split | 2-0-2 | 2-0-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| BTTS % | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 15 | 1 | 2-3 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 20 | 0 | 0-5 |
18+ only. Odds correct at time of publication and subject to change. Always gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply to all offers shown.