Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 27 December 2025 at 12:30 PM
Nottingham Forest
Top tip Over 3.5 Goals
Manchester City
FIND THE BEST ODDS HERE
  • Nottingham Forest enter this challenging fixture with their attacking options severely limited. The absence of Chris Wood places immense pressure on the rest of the squad, who still managed three goals unanswered versus Spurs last time out at home, to find a way past City's defence.
  • Over 3.5 goals has landed in 38% of Forest's home games this season. Partly down to their poor defensive record (-2 home GD) and high xG (1.72), this paired with Man City's 3.25 average match goals away from home points towards a high scoring affair.
  • This encounter is shaped by the extensive injury lists of both clubs. While Forest's resolve at home is well-known, Manchester City's superior squad depth is expected to be the decisive factor.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City

To provide you with the most reliable betting insights, we have collated predictions from three leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model offers a distinct prediction on a key match market, presented as a straightforward bullet point. Their official logos are displayed for clarity, so you can easily see which AI made each call. For those wanting a deeper analysis, you can click to expand each prediction and read the detailed reasoning behind it, revealing how the AI processed data on form, stats, and team news.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 7/107/102/3
BTTS offers value given both sides’ attacking threat. Forest have shown they can score at home, while City’s forward line remains prolific, making a yes on BTTS a prudent angle.
Prediction of AI claude modelManchester City to Win
Odds for This Bet 13/208/133/5
Claude prioritises the match result market given City’s superior quality and Forest’s mounting injury crisis. Despite City’s own absences, their attacking firepower—led by Haaland and Foden—should prove decisive against a depleted home side missing key forward Wood. Forest’s festive fixture congestion and weakened squad depth make the away win the logical pick.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 3.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 13/88/53/2
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market, identifying potential value in a high-scoring encounter. Manchester City’s formidable attack, spearheaded by Erling Haaland, is expected to exploit Nottingham Forest’s defence. Despite Forest’s own attacking absences, City’s key defensive midfielders and defenders are missing, which could leave them vulnerable at the back and allow the hosts to contribute to the goal tally.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: December 22, 2025
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

While Manchester City are favourites to win, the best value, in my opinion, is in the goals market. Both teams have significant defensive vulnerabilities due to injuries, and City’s attack is as potent as ever. This sets the stage for a high-scoring match, making Over 3.5 Goals an attractive wager.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are identified by an advanced algorithm that goes beyond surface-level analysis. It meticulously weighs a multitude of factors, including recent team performance, head-to-head results, underlying stats like expected goals (xG), and crucial team news regarding injuries and suspensions. By comparing these data-driven probabilities against current market odds, the algorithm pinpoints bets that offer genuine value for this Premier League clash.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Away Win
  • Probability: 68%
  • Best Odds: 13/20 (1.65) at Coral
  • Manchester City’s superior squad quality and attacking strength should be enough to overcome an injury-ravaged Nottingham Forest side.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 7/10 (1.7) at bet365
  • Forest have the ability to score at home, and with City missing key defensive players like Rodri and John Stones, the hosts are likely to find the net.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 70%
  • Best Odds: 2/3 (1.667) at bet365
  • The combination of City’s formidable attack and the defensive frailties of both teams points towards a high-scoring encounter with several goals.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Manchester City or Draw
  • Probability: 85%
  • Best Odds: 2/11 (1.182) at Ladbrokes
  • Given their overall strength and depth, it is highly improbable that Manchester City will leave the City Ground with a defeat.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City:

  • Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest)
  • Erling Haaland (Manchester City)

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Nottingham Forest Form and Stats

Last MatchesNottingham Forest
           
WINS 4
DRAW 0
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 35 Total goals
  • 21% BTTS
  • 19 Goals scored
  • 16 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest3 : 0Tottenham Hotspur
  • 11 Dec 2025 – Europa League FC Utrecht1 : 2Nottingham Forest
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Everton3 : 0Nottingham Forest
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers0 : 1Nottingham Forest
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest0 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 27 Nov 2025 – Europa League Nottingham Forest3 : 0Malmoe FF
           
WINS 4
DRAW 1
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 18 Total goals
  • 29% BTTS
  • 13 Goals scored
  • 5 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest3 : 0Tottenham Hotspur
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest0 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 27 Nov 2025 – Europa League Nottingham Forest3 : 0Malmoe FF
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest3 : 1Leeds United
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest2 : 2Manchester United
  • 23 Oct 2025 – Europa League Nottingham Forest2 : 0FC Porto
           
WINS 3
DRAW 1
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 12 Total goals
  • 14% BTTS
  • 6 Goals scored
  • 6 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 11 Dec 2025 – Europa League FC Utrecht1 : 2Nottingham Forest
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Everton3 : 0Nottingham Forest
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers0 : 1Nottingham Forest
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Liverpool0 : 3Nottingham Forest
  • 06 Nov 2025 – Europa League Sturm Graz0 : 0Nottingham Forest
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 0Nottingham Forest

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
13 John Victor
3 Neco Williams
31 Nikola Milenković
5 Murillo
37 Savona
12 Douglas Luiz
8 Elliot Anderson
7 Callum Hudson-Odoi
10 Morgan Gibbs-White
21 Hutchinson
19 Igor Jesus
Substitutes
  • 26Mat Sels
  • 16Nicolas Dominguez
  • 4Morato
  • 35Oleksandr Zinchenko
  • 24James McAtee
  • 9Taiwo Awoniyi
  • 44Zach Abbott
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Ola Aina Hamstring injury
  • 2Ryan Yates Hamstring injury
  • 3Chris Wood Knee injury
  • 4Ibrahim Sangaré Hamstring injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Manchester City Form and Stats

Last MatchesManchester City
           
WINS 6
DRAW 0
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 50 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 35 Goals scored
  • 15 Goals conceded
  • 79% Over 2.5
  • 21% Under 2.5
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0West Ham United
  • 17 Dec 2025 – EFL Cup Manchester City2 : 0Brentford
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 3Manchester City
  • 10 Dec 2025 – Champions League Real Madrid1 : 2Manchester City
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0Sunderland
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League Fulham4 : 5Manchester City
           
WINS 5
DRAW 0
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 18 Total goals
  • 13% BTTS
  • 14 Goals scored
  • 4 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 25% Under 2.5
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0West Ham United
  • 17 Dec 2025 – EFL Cup Manchester City2 : 0Brentford
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0Sunderland
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 2Leeds United
  • 25 Nov 2025 – Champions League Manchester City0 : 2Bayer Leverkusen
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0Liverpool
           
WINS 4
DRAW 0
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 23 Total goals
  • 67% BTTS
  • 14 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 83% Over 2.5
  • 17% Under 2.5
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 3Manchester City
  • 10 Dec 2025 – Champions League Real Madrid1 : 2Manchester City
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League Fulham4 : 5Manchester City
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 1Manchester City
  • 29 Oct 2025 – EFL Cup Swansea City1 : 3Manchester City
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa1 : 0Manchester City

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
25 Donnarumma
33 O'Reilly
24 Gvardiol
3 Rúben Dias
27 Nunes
14 Nico
4 Reijnders
10 Cherki
20 Bernardo Silva
47 Phil Foden
9 Erling Haaland
Substitutes
  • 1Trafford
  • 82Rico Lewis
  • 6Nathan Aké
  • 26Savinho
  • 45Khusanov
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Rodri Knee injury
  • 2Oscar Bobb Leg injury
  • 3Mateo Kovačić Ankle injury
  • 4John Stones Muscle injury
  • 5Jérémy Doku Leg injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Head-to-Head Record

  • 27 Apr 2025 – FA Cup Nottingham Forest 0 : 2 Manchester City
  • 08 Mar 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest 1 : 0 Manchester City
  • 04 Dec 2024 – Premier League Manchester City 3 : 0 Nottingham Forest
  • 28 Apr 2024 – Premier League Nottingham Forest 0 : 2 Manchester City
  • 23 Sep 2023 – Premier League Manchester City 2 : 0 Nottingham Forest
  • 18 Feb 2023 – Premier League Nottingham Forest 1 : 1 Manchester City
  • 31 Aug 2022 – Premier League Manchester City 6 : 0 Nottingham Forest
League Games at Nottingham Forest
  • Nottingham Forest
  • Manchester City
  • Goals: Scored 2 5
  • Games: Scored 2/4 3/4
  • Clean Sheets 1/4 2/4
League Games at Manchester City
  • Nottingham Forest
  • Manchester City
  • Goals: Scored 0 11
  • Games: Scored 2/3 3/3
  • Clean Sheets 0/3 3/3

Current Best Betting Odds for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City.

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 19/5
Draw 333/100
Away 3/5
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 4/1
Draw 333/100
Away 4/7
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 4/1
Draw 333/100
Away 3/5
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 22/5
Draw 17/5
Away 59/100
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 4/1
Draw 33/10
Away 51/100
Visit Site

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Bet Builder Suggestions

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bet builders for the Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City clash. These are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City clash:

  • Nottingham Forest to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2+)
  • Manchester City to Score First + Nottingham Forest to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1+)
  • Draw at Half-Time + Nottingham Forest to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1+)

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City on 27 December 2025 at 12:30 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams are expected to score in this fixture. Nottingham Forest will look to exploit a Manchester City defence weakened by the absence of Rodri and John Stones. Forest score an average of 1.38 goals a game while City currently score 2 goals per game on their travels, only keeping a clean sheet in 38% of those matches.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): A high-scoring affair with over 3.5 goals is anticipated. Both these teams matches average 3.13 goals, compared to a league average of 2.83.
  3. Betting Angle (Away Advantage): Nottingham Forest’s home advantage is significantly undermined by their extensive injury list, particularly in attack, which will reduce their ability to effectively pressure Manchester City’s defence.

Where to Watch Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City

TV channel:

Coverage is available on TNT Sports.

Online streaming:

Live streaming is available on the TNT Sports app.

Free highlights:

Highlights will be available via TNT Sports after the match and condensed highlights available on Match of the Day on BBC.