Battle at Opposite Ends: Nottingham Forest enter this fixture sitting precariously in 17th place and fighting for Premier League survival, while 6th placed Liverpool are desperate for points to maintain their pursuit of European qualification.
Managerial Momentum: New Forest manager Vitor Pereira makes his home debut at the City Ground following a historic 3/0 away victory against Fenerbahçe in the Europa League on Thursday, injecting fresh hope into the squad.
Encouraging Goal Metrics: Statistical trends point toward an attacking encounter, as Liverpool’s matches have seen both teams score in 62% of league outings this season, while Forest boast a high home expected goals figure of 1.72.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Nottingham Forest and Liverpool
To give you the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models – ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model provides a clear prediction on the outcome, displayed as a simple bullet point. You’ll also see their official logos, so it’s clear which AI made the call. For those who want to dive deeper, you can click each prediction to expand and reveal the reasoning behind it – showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match stats.
Liverpool’s attacking quality is beyond question, but their away record at the back, conceding 1.62 goals per game, will give Forest real belief. The hosts have shown they can step up in the big moments and with Gibbs-White in top form they have the craft to unlock a Liverpool side that has managed clean sheets in just 31 per cent of their away fixtures.
Forest may be improving at home, but Liverpool still hold the edge for technical quality and points per game. Back to back clean sheets against Sunderland and Brighton suggest Arne Slot’s men have rediscovered their defensive solidity at just the right time in the season.
With Hugo Ekitiké leading a Liverpool attack that has scored 41 league goals and Forest’s tendency to concede more than their metrics suggest at home, this match has all the ingredients for a high scoring encounter. The statistical probability of over 2.5 goals sits at 62%, further justifying the 4/6 price on offer for this market.
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?
My top tip here is both teams to score, backed up by the numbers on both sides. Forest may lack consistency but their home expected goals of 1.72 shows they carry real threat at the City Ground, regardless of league position. Liverpool have seen both teams score in 62 per cent of their matches this season, underlining their firepower but also their defensive vulnerability. With Vitor Pereira giving the hosts fresh impetus and Liverpool pushing hard for European qualification, this has all the makings of an open, attacking contest.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bets are identified by an algorithm that analyses a wide range of football data to find market inefficiencies. It goes beyond simple win-loss records, assessing factors like expected goals (xG), home and away performance metrics, head-to-head history, and recent scoring trends. By comparing its calculated probabilities against live market odds, the algorithm highlights bets that offer positive expected value, giving you a data-driven edge.
Our algorithm identifies the away win as a strong value play at 4/5, noting that Liverpool possesses a superior points per game average of 1.38 on their travels compared to Forest’s 1.00 at home. Despite Forest’s recent European success, Liverpool’s greater overall efficiency and 38% away win rate make them the statistical favourites to take all three points.
Bet 2
Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
Our model highlights significant value in this market because Liverpool have only kept a clean sheet in 31% of their away fixtures this season. Given that Forest have scored in 46% of their home matches and are coming off a clinical three goal performance in Europe, the probability of goals at both ends is higher than the current price suggests.
The algorithm targets the over 2.5 goals market at 4/6, as the combined expected goals benchmark for these two sides sits at 3.25. With Liverpool averaging 1.58 goals scored per game and Forest’s home matches often proving to be open affairs, the data indicates a clear likelihood of at least three goals.
For those seeking a more secure option, backing Liverpool to avoid defeat at 1/4 covers both a victory for the visitors and a potential stalemate. Liverpool have lost only six times in 26 league matches this season, making them a statistically reliable choice to avoid a loss against a side in the bottom four.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Nottingham Forest and Liverpool:
Morgan Gibbs-White arrives at this fixture in high spirits, having been instrumental in the midweek victory over Fenerbahçe with a goal and an assist. The England midfielder is the creative heartbeat of the Forest side, and with six league goals already this campaign and a propensity for key passes, he is the most likely candidate to exploit any defensive lapses in the Liverpool backline. (Nottingham Forest)
Hugo Ekitiké is in sensational form for the Reds this season, netting 10 goals in the Premier League and averaging a dangerous 2.5 shots per match. His physical presence and clinical finishing ability, which earned him a 7.21 rating as a central forward, will be a constant threat to a Forest defence that has conceded 38 goals in 26 games. (Liverpool)
Odds Boosts, Free Bets & Specials for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool
At BestBettingSites.co.uk, we’re always on the lookout for ways that punters can squeeze a little extra value out of their football bets. Find the latest offers below.
14 Feb 2026 –
FA CupLiverpool3 : 0Brighton & Hove Albion
11 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueSunderland0 : 1Liverpool
08 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueLiverpool1 : 2Manchester City
31 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueLiverpool4 : 1Newcastle United
28 Jan 2026 –
Champions LeagueLiverpool6 : 0Qarabag FK
24 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueAFC Bournemouth3 : 2Liverpool
WINS4
DRAW1
LOSSES1
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
24 Total goals
50% BTTS
19 Goals scored
5 Goals conceded
63% Over 2.5
13% Under 2.5
14 Feb 2026 –
FA CupLiverpool3 : 0Brighton & Hove Albion
08 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueLiverpool1 : 2Manchester City
31 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueLiverpool4 : 1Newcastle United
28 Jan 2026 –
Champions LeagueLiverpool6 : 0Qarabag FK
17 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueLiverpool1 : 1Burnley
12 Jan 2026 –
FA CupLiverpool4 : 1Barnsley
WINS3
DRAW2
LOSSES1
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
16 Total goals
50% BTTS
10 Goals scored
6 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5
11 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueSunderland0 : 1Liverpool
24 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueAFC Bournemouth3 : 2Liverpool
21 Jan 2026 –
Champions LeagueMarseille0 : 3Liverpool
08 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueArsenal0 : 0Liverpool
04 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueFulham2 : 2Liverpool
20 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur1 : 2Liverpool
Starting XI
4-2-3-1
Possible Lineup
1Alisson Becker
6Milos Kerkez
4Virgil van Dijk
5Ibrahima Konaté
8Dominik Szoboszlai
38Ryan Gravenberch
10Alexis Mac Allister
7Florian Wirtz
18Cody Gakpo
11Mohamed Salah
22Hugo Ekitiké
Substitutes
25Giorgi Mamardashvili
26Andrew Robertson
2Joe Gomez
47Calvin Ramsay
17Curtis Jones
42Trey Nyoni
68Kieran Morrison
73Rio Ngumoha
14Federico Chiesa
Suspension
None reported
Injured
1Stefan Bajcetic Out
2Conor Bradley Knee Injury
3Wataru Endo Ankle/Foot Injury
4Jeremie Frimpong Thigh Injury
5Alexander Isak Calf/Shin/Heel Injury
6Giovanni Leoni Knee Injury
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool Head-to-Head Record
22 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueLiverpool0 : 3Nottingham Forest
14 Jan 2025 –
Premier LeagueNottingham Forest1 : 1Liverpool
14 Sep 2024 –
Premier LeagueLiverpool0 : 1Nottingham Forest
02 Mar 2024 –
Premier LeagueNottingham Forest0 : 1Liverpool
29 Oct 2023 –
Premier LeagueLiverpool3 : 0Nottingham Forest
22 Apr 2023 –
Premier LeagueLiverpool3 : 2Nottingham Forest
22 Oct 2022 –
Premier LeagueNottingham Forest1 : 0Liverpool
20 Mar 2022 –
FA CupNottingham Forest0 : 1Liverpool
League Games at Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Goals: Scored23
Games: Scored2/43/4
Clean Sheets1/42/4
League Games at Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Goals: Scored66
Games: Scored4/42/4
Clean Sheets2/41/4
Current Best Betting Odds for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Nottingham Forest and Liverpool.
For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.
Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool Long-Shot Betting
Bet Type
Selection
Odds
Rationale
Long-Shot Bet 1
Over 5.5 Total Goals
8/1 (Coral)
Over 5.5 goals requires a high-scoring affair with at least 6 goals. Both sides' attacking intent and this fixture's history of entertainment make this worth consideration. At 8/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2
Nottingham Forest Over 2.5 Goals
8/1 (Bet365)
This bet backs Nottingham Forest to score 3+ goals. Their recent attacking form and the opposition's defensive vulnerabilities make this an intriguing high-reward selection. At 8/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3
Liverpool (-3)
12/1 (Bet365)
This handicap requires Liverpool to win by more than 3 goals. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 12/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Bet Builder Suggestions
If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool clash:
Nottingham Forest to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
Liverpool to Score First + Nottingham Forest to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
Draw at Half-Time + Nottingham Forest to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool on 22 February 2026 at 2:00 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Nottingham Forest have looked far more adventurous since the arrival of Vitor Pereira, and their midweek European masterclass proved they have the quality to trouble top tier opposition. Liverpool’s record of seeing both teams score in 62% of their matches suggests they rarely keep things tight at both ends, making this a logical play for Sunday’s clash.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): This fixture historically leans toward goals, and the current season trends reinforce that expectation with an average of 3.25 total expected goals between the sides. Liverpool have been involved in several high scoring affairs recently, including a six goal thriller against Qarabag and a five goal match against Bournemouth, suggesting the over 2.5 goals line at 4/6 is well supported.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Nottingham Forest are currently unbeaten in their last three home league games and will be buoyed by a sell-out crowd at the City Ground following their European exploits. While Liverpool are favourites, the managerial bounce under Pereira and Forest’s improved resilience on home soil could make this a much tighter contest than the league table suggests.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 22 February 2026 at 2:00 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool
TV channel:
The game will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Ultra HDR.
Online streaming:
The match will be available to stream live on Sky Go and NowTV.
Free highlights:
Highlights will be available on the broadcasters’ apps and websites, as well as on Match of the Day 2 on BBC One on Sunday night.
