Contrasting Fortunes: Newcastle United return to Premier League action looking to translate their dominant cup form into domestic points, having secured just one top-flight victory since early January despite progressing in both the FA Cup and Champions League.
Travel Troubles: Everton arrive at St James' Park seeking a reprieve from their dismal home form, where they are winless in seven matches, though the Toffees have proven far more resilient on the road with three wins in their last four away trips.
European Hangover: The Magpies must navigate a congested schedule following a midweek Champions League play-off victory against Qarabag, while Everton look to bounce back from a narrow 1-0 defeat to Manchester United on Monday night.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Newcastle and Everton
To provide the most reliable betting insights, we have collated predictions from three leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model offers a distinct prediction on a key match market, presented clearly below with their official logos. For those seeking a deeper understanding, you can expand each prediction to see the detailed reasoning, data points, and statistical analysis that informed the AI’s final conclusion.
Newcastle continue to play an expansive 4-3-3 style that leaves gaps at the back. Everton’s Thierno Barry and Iliman Ndiaye have five goals apiece this season, providing enough firepower to suggest they can exploit a Newcastle defence that conceded twice to a ten-man Manchester City.
claude
Prediction of AI claude modelNewcastle United to Win
The Magpies have superior individual quality, evidenced by Bruno Guimarães’ 7.20 rating compared to Everton’s top performer James Garner at 7.17. With Newcastle looking to build on their 3-2 European win and Everton suffering from a lack of “elite level depth,” the home side is the justified favourite.
The combination of Newcastle’s attacking philosophy and Everton’s “Weak” rating in avoiding individual errors suggests goals are inevitable. Newcastle’s recent matches have consistently surpassed this total, and with the Magpies averaging 1.32 goals per game, this market offers the best statistical value.
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?
My headline selection for this weekend is a straight Newcastle United win, as Eddie Howe’s side should have enough quality to overcome their recent league struggles. While Premier League wins have been elusive lately, the Magpies remain a formidable force at St James’ Park and will be buoyed by a sensational 9-3 aggregate victory over Qarabag in Europe. Everton’s confidence is brittle after failing to win any of their last seven home games, and although they are more dangerous on their travels, they face a Newcastle side that has already beaten the likes of Tottenham and Aston Villa in February. With key players like Joelinton returning to fitness, I expect the hosts to edge a competitive contest.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bets are identified by a sophisticated algorithm that analyses a vast range of data points. This process goes beyond simple win-loss predictions, factoring in metrics like recent team form, head-to-head history, expected goals (xG), player availability, and subtle shifts in betting market odds. By comparing statistical probabilities to bookmaker odds, the algorithm pinpoints bets where the potential return outweighs the calculated risk, offering you a strategic edge.
Considering Newcastle have avoided defeat in 9 of their 13 home league matches this season, this market offers a high degree of security.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Newcastle and Everton:
Nick Woltemade is a strong option in the anytime goalscorer market based on his Premier League form. He has scored 7 goals in 18 appearances, showing he can deliver consistently at the top level, and he averages 1.3 shots per game which underlines his regular involvement in attacking positions. At 198cm he also provides a real aerial threat in the box, giving him multiple routes to goal. (Newcastle)
Thierno Barry is a primary attacking threat for the visitors, leading their scoring charts alongside Iliman Ndiaye with five goals this campaign. Standing at 195cm, Barry is a massive aerial presence and is statistically “Strong” in aerial duels and finishing. Having started 21 games this season and averaging 1.1 shots per game, he remains the Toffees’ best hope for an away goal, especially given Newcastle’s recent defensive frailties. (Everton)
Odds Boosts, Free Bets & Specials for Newcastle vs Everton
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23 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueEverton0 : 1Manchester United
10 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueEverton1 : 2AFC Bournemouth
07 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueFulham1 : 2Everton
31 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueBrighton & Hove Albion1 : 1Everton
26 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueEverton1 : 1Leeds United
18 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueAston Villa0 : 1Everton
WINS0
DRAW2
LOSSES4
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
19 Total goals
63% BTTS
6 Goals scored
13 Goals conceded
38% Over 2.5
38% Under 2.5
23 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueEverton0 : 1Manchester United
10 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueEverton1 : 2AFC Bournemouth
26 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueEverton1 : 1Leeds United
10 Jan 2026 –
FA CupEverton1 : 4Sunderland
07 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueEverton1 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
04 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueEverton2 : 4Brentford
WINS3
DRAW2
LOSSES1
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
10 Total goals
33% BTTS
6 Goals scored
4 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5
07 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueFulham1 : 2Everton
31 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueBrighton & Hove Albion1 : 1Everton
18 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueAston Villa0 : 1Everton
30 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueNottingham Forest0 : 2Everton
27 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 0Everton
13 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueChelsea2 : 0Everton
Starting XI
4-2-3-1
Possible Lineup
1Jordan Pickford
16Vitalii Mykolenko
32Jarrad Branthwaite
6James Tarkowski
15Jake O'Brien
27Idrissa Gueye
37James Garner
45Harrison Armstrong
22Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
10Iliman Ndiaye
11Thierno Barry
Substitutes
2Nathan Patterson
5Michael Keane
7Dwight McNeil
9Beto
19Tyrique George
20Tyler Dibling
23Séamus Coleman
31Tom King
34Merlin Röhl
Suspension
None reported
Injured
1Carlos Alcaraz Questionable
2Jack Grealish Ankle/Foot Injury
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Newcastle vs Everton Head-to-Head Record
29 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueEverton1 : 4Newcastle United
25 May 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United0 : 1Everton
05 Oct 2024 –
Premier LeagueEverton0 : 0Newcastle United
02 Apr 2024 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United1 : 1Everton
07 Dec 2023 –
Premier LeagueEverton3 : 0Newcastle United
27 Apr 2023 –
Premier LeagueEverton1 : 4Newcastle United
19 Oct 2022 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United1 : 0Everton
17 Mar 2022 –
Premier LeagueEverton1 : 0Newcastle United
08 Feb 2022 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United3 : 1Everton
30 Jan 2021 –
Premier LeagueEverton0 : 2Newcastle United
01 Nov 2020 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 1Everton
21 Jan 2020 –
Premier LeagueEverton2 : 2Newcastle United
28 Dec 2019 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United1 : 2Everton
09 Mar 2019 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United3 : 2Everton
League Games at Newcastle
Newcastle
Everton
Goals: Scored118
Games: Scored6/76/7
Clean Sheets1/71/7
League Games at Everton
Newcastle
Everton
Goals: Scored128
Games: Scored7/75/7
Clean Sheets2/73/7
Current Best Betting Odds for Newcastle vs Everton
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Newcastle and Everton.
For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Newcastle vs Everton clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.
Newcastle vs Everton Long-Shot Betting
Bet Type
Selection
Odds
Rationale
Long-Shot Bet 1
Everton to Win to Nil
8/1 (Bet365)
Everton winning without conceding requires both attacking prowess and defensive solidity. A clean sheet adds difficulty but increases the reward significantly. At 8/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2
Everton (-1)
10/1 (Bet365)
This handicap requires Everton to win by more than 1 goal. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 10/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3
Newcastle leads HT, Draw FT
12/1 (Ladbrokes)
This bet requires Newcastle to lead at half-time before the match ends in a draw. It's an intriguing long-shot that banks on a second-half comeback from the opposition. At 12/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Bet Builder Suggestions
If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Newcastle vs Everton clash:
Newcastle to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
Everton to Score First + Newcastle to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
Draw at Half-Time + Newcastle to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Newcastle vs Everton on 28 February 2026 at 3:00 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): The data points towards a busy afternoon for both goalkeepers, as Newcastle have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five league outings. Everton have shown they can be clinical on the break during their travels, scoring twice against both Fulham and Bournemouth recently, suggesting that “Yes” in the BTTS market is a logical inclusion for any accumulator.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): Expect plenty of goalmouth action given Newcastle’s recent “over” trend and Everton’s tendency to be involved in high-scoring away fixtures. With the Magpies’ last four matches all clearing the 2.5 goal line and Everton having conceded twice in two of their last three league games, the statistical probability of a high-scoring encounter is elevated.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): While Everton have picked up more points on the road lately, St James’ Park remains one of the toughest venues in the country. Newcastle will look to exploit Everton’s weakness in defending counter-attacks, a trait the algorithm identifies as “Very Weak” for the visitors, which could be the deciding factor in maintaining Newcastle’s strong historical home record against the Merseysiders.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 28 February 2026 at 3:00 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Newcastle vs Everton
TV channel:
Due to the 3pm blackout, this game will not be televised live in the UK.
Online streaming:
The game is not available to stream live in the UK.
Free highlights:
Match highlights will be shown across Sky Sports and TNT Sports, with extended highlights also airing later on Saturday night on Match of the Day.
