Newcastle United enter this match with a depleted defence missing several first-choice players. They have not kept a clean sheet in their last nine Premier League games.
Chelsea have the second best away form in the league, with 15 away goals in eight matches.
This match will likely be a decent scoring one. Newcastle are good at home, Chelsea are good away - but both have some defensive liabilities.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Newcastle and Chelsea
To provide you with the most reliable betting insights, we have collated predictions from three leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model offers a distinct prediction on a key match market, presented as a straightforward bullet point. Their official logos are displayed for clarity. For those who wish to delve deeper, clicking on each prediction reveals the detailed reasoning and data analysis that led the AI to its conclusion.
BTTS presents strong value given Newcastle’s defensive injury crisis and Chelsea’s potent attacking threat. Both sides have repeatedly found the net in recent fixtures, and the makeshift Newcastle backline is vulnerable, supporting a scoring synergy from open play.
Claude prioritises markets that favour an away win given Chelsea’s superior form and quality. Newcastle’s defensive crisis—missing five first-choice defenders—leaves them vulnerable against Chelsea’s attacking firepower. With Cole Palmer back and Moises Caicedo returning from suspension to solidify midfield, the visitors possess the quality to exploit Newcastle’s makeshift backline at St. James’ Park.
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market, finding value in Over 2.5 Goals. Newcastle’s severe defensive injury crisis significantly weakens their backline against a potent Chelsea attack. With both teams possessing strong attacking players and Newcastle playing at home, a high-scoring encounter is highly probable.
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?
With Newcastle’s defence severely depleted by injuries, this match is set up for goals. Chelsea are an excellent away side, but Newcastle are always a threat at home. All signs point to an open game, making Over 2.5 Goals our top prediction for this Premier League match.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bets are identified by an algorithm that analyses a wide range of data points beyond simple win-loss records. It integrates factors such as recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals (xG), team news and injury updates, and underlying performance metrics for home and away fixtures. By weighing these elements against live market odds, the system pinpoints bets that offer genuine statistical value.
Given Chelsea’s current form and Newcastle’s severe injury woes, it is unlikely the home side will emerge victorious, making a Chelsea win or draw a strong possibility.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Newcastle and Chelsea:
Nick Woltemade remains Newcastle’s most dangerous attacking threat and is a strong candidate for the Anytime Goalscorer market. Even so, he has only bagged once in eight games now (not including his own goal against Sunderland!), so he is ripe for netting in this one. (Newcastle)
Cole Palmer could finally get back on the score sheet in this one. It’s hard to know which striker will start, but Palmer looks like he is heading back to full fitness and has a chance to score here. (Chelsea)
Odds Boosts, Free Bets & Specials for Newcastle vs Chelsea
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09 Dec 2025 –
Champions LeagueAtalanta2 : 1Chelsea
06 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueAFC Bournemouth0 : 0Chelsea
03 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United3 : 1Chelsea
30 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueChelsea1 : 1Arsenal
WINS4
DRAW1
LOSSES1
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
19 Total goals
50% BTTS
15 Goals scored
4 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5
13 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueChelsea2 : 0Everton
30 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueChelsea1 : 1Arsenal
25 Nov 2025 –
Champions LeagueChelsea3 : 0Barcelona
08 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueChelsea3 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
25 Oct 2025 –
Premier LeagueChelsea1 : 2Sunderland
22 Oct 2025 –
Champions LeagueChelsea5 : 1Ajax
WINS2
DRAW2
LOSSES2
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
17 Total goals
50% BTTS
9 Goals scored
8 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
25% Under 2.5
16 Dec 2025 –
EFL CupCardiff City1 : 3Chelsea
09 Dec 2025 –
Champions LeagueAtalanta2 : 1Chelsea
06 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueAFC Bournemouth0 : 0Chelsea
03 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United3 : 1Chelsea
22 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 2Chelsea
05 Nov 2025 –
Champions LeagueQarabag FK2 : 2Chelsea
Starting XI
4-2-3-1
Possible Lineup
1Robert Sanchez
3Marc Cucurella
29Wesley Fofana
14Trevoh Chalobah
27Malo Gusto
25Moises Caicedo
8Enzo Fernandez
11Jamie Gittens
20Cole Palmer
7Pedro Neto
20João Pedro
Substitutes
12Filip Jorgensen
24Reece James
4Tosin Adarabioyo
34Josh Acheampong
41Estêvãoa
38Marc Guiu
21Jorrel Hato
17Andrey Santos
5JBenoit Badiashile
Suspension
1Mykhaylo Mudryk Suspended
Injured
1Levi Colwill ACL Knee injury
2Romeo Lavia Thigh injury
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Newcastle vs Chelsea Head-to-Head Record
11 May 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 0Chelsea
30 Oct 2024 –
EFL CupNewcastle United2 : 0Chelsea
27 Oct 2024 –
Premier LeagueChelsea2 : 1Newcastle United
11 Mar 2024 –
Premier LeagueChelsea3 : 2Newcastle United
19 Dec 2023 –
EFL CupChelsea5 : 3Newcastle United
League Games at Newcastle
Newcastle
Chelsea
Goals: Scored40
Games: Scored2/20/2
Clean Sheets2/20/2
League Games at Chelsea
Newcastle
Chelsea
Goals: Scored610
Games: Scored3/33/3
Clean Sheets0/30/3
Current Best Betting Odds for Newcastle vs Chelsea
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Newcastle and Chelsea.
If you really want to see a return from our football betting predictions, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Newcastle vs Chelsea clash:
Newcastle to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2+)
Chelsea to Score First + Newcastle to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1+)
Draw at Half-Time + Newcastle to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1+)
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Newcastle vs Chelsea on 20 December 2025 at 12:30 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): With Newcastle’s makeshift backline, they are likely to concede, but their own forwards, particularly at St. James’ Park, have the ability to find the net. Chelsea’s attacking form further strengthens the case for both teams scoring.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): Over 2.5 goals is a likely outcome. Chelsea have one of the best away attacks, and Newcastle have not kept a clean sheat for nine PL games.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Newcastle’s home advantage that they have cultivated this season will be severely tested by their extensive injury list.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 20 December 2025 at 12:30 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Newcastle vs Chelsea
TV channel:
This match is scheduled to be broadcast live on TNT Sports.
Online streaming:
Subscribers can stream the match live via the TNT Sports app and website.
Free highlights:
Highlights will be available on the Sky Sports Football YouTube channel, Match of the Day, and official club websites post-match.
