Newcastle vs Burnley Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 6 December 2025 at 3:00 PM
Newcastle
Top tip Over 3.5 Goals
Burnley
FIND THE BEST ODDS HERE
  • Newcastle United enter this match in shaky form, however home has been a refuge for them - so they will look to get back on track here.
  • Burnley are in a difficult spell, currently on a six-match losing streak in the Premier League and have struggled defensively throughout the season.
  • Recent history favours Newcastle, as they have won the last three head-to-head encounters, scoring eight goals in the process.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Newcastle and Burnley

To give you the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models – ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model provides a clear prediction on the outcome, displayed as a simple bullet point. You’ll also see their official logos, so it’s clear which AI made the call. For those who want to dive deeper, you can click each prediction to expand and reveal the reasoning behind it – showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match stats.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelNewcastle to Win
Odds for This Bet 26/251/11/1
Newcastle hold strong home form and superior scoring record, while Burnley travel with injuries and suspensions; head-to-head trends also favor Newcastle, underpinning value in a home win.
Prediction of AI claude modelNewcastle to Win
Odds for This Bet 26/251/11/1
Claude identifies Newcastle as clear home favorites with superior form, a proven head-to-head record against Burnley, and significantly better goal-scoring metrics. Burnley’s poor league position (10 defeats in 14 games) and injuries to key midfield players make them vulnerable, particularly without Josh Cullen’s presence.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 3.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 3/23/2137/100
Gemini identifies significant goal-scoring potential. Newcastle average 2.2 goals per game, while Burnley concede 2 goals per game and have seen over 3.5 goals in two of their last three head-to-head matches, indicating a high-scoring encounter.
Lead Author’s Summary and Final Predictions
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: December 4, 2025
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Newcastle’s attack is potent, averaging 2.2 goals per game, and they face a Burnley side that has conceded an average of 2 goals per game this season. Recent head-to-head encounters have also been high-scoring affairs. All signs point to a match with plenty of goals, making Over 3.5 Goals an attractive value bet.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are generated by combining insights from advanced research models with key football data points. The algorithm looks beyond simple win–draw–lose outcomes and weighs factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. By comparing the probability of an outcome with the odds offered by bookmakers, we highlight matches where the potential return has value.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Home Win
  • Probability: 72%
  • Best Odds: 3/10 (1.3) at Ladbrokes
  • Newcastle’s dominant home record, superior form, and Burnley’s defensive fragility strongly favour a Newcastle victory.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 26/25 (2.04) at netbet
  • Both teams have conceded regularly this season and Newcastle’s attacking prowess should be matched by Burnley’s ability to score from open play.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 64%
  • Best Odds: 3/5 (1.6) at 10bet
  • Newcastle average 2.2 goals per game at home whilst Burnley have conceded in 85% of matches, making a high-scoring affair likely.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Newcastle or Draw
  • Probability: 89%
  • Best Odds: 6/95 (1.063) at bet365

  • Newcastle’s strong home form and Burnley’s poor away record make a Newcastle win or draw highly probable.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this Soccer match between Newcastle and Burnley:

  • Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)
  • Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

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Newcastle Form and Stats

Last MatchesNewcastle
           
WINS 2
DRAW 0
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 45 Total goals
  • 64% BTTS
  • 28 Goals scored
  • 17 Goals conceded
  • 79% Over 2.5
  • 21% Under 2.5
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Everton1 : 4Newcastle United
  • 25 Nov 2025 – Champions League Marseille2 : 1Newcastle United
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 1Manchester City
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Brentford3 : 1Newcastle United
  • 05 Nov 2025 – Champions League Newcastle United2 : 0Athletic Bilbao
           
WINS 5
DRAW 1
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 17 Total goals
  • 38% BTTS
  • 13 Goals scored
  • 4 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 25% Under 2.5
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 1Manchester City
  • 05 Nov 2025 – Champions League Newcastle United2 : 0Athletic Bilbao
  • 29 Oct 2025 – EFL Cup Newcastle United2 : 0Tottenham Hotspur
  • 25 Oct 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 1Fulham
  • 21 Oct 2025 – Champions League Newcastle United3 : 0Benfica
           
WINS 2
DRAW 0
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 23 Total goals
  • 83% BTTS
  • 12 Goals scored
  • 11 Goals conceded
  • 100% Over 2.5
  • 0% Under 2.5
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Everton1 : 4Newcastle United
  • 25 Nov 2025 – Champions League Marseille2 : 1Newcastle United
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Brentford3 : 1Newcastle United
  • 02 Nov 2025 – Premier League West Ham United3 : 1Newcastle United
  • 18 Oct 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion2 : 1Newcastle United
  • 01 Oct 2025 – Champions League Union St.Gilloise0 : 4Newcastle United

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
1 Nick Pope
2 Kieran Trippier
5 Fabian Schaer
4 Sven Botman
3 Lewis Hall
39 Bruno Guimaraes
7 Joelinton
67 Lewis Miley
10 Anthony Gordon
18 William Osula
11 Harvey Barnes
Substitutes
  • 32Aaron Ramsdale
  • 33Daniel Burn
  • 6Jamaal Lascelles
  • 12Malick Thiaw
  • 20Anthony Elanga
  • 27Nick Woltemade
  • 41Jacob Ramsey
Suspension
  • 1Sandro Tonali Betting infraction
  • 2Jacob Murphy Accumulated yellow cards
Injured
  • 1Joseph Willock Muscle injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Burnley Form and Stats

Last MatchesBurnley
           
WINS 1
DRAW 1
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 44 Total goals
  • 64% BTTS
  • 16 Goals scored
  • 28 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Brentford3 : 1Burnley
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 2Chelsea
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League West Ham United3 : 2Burnley
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 2Arsenal
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers2 : 3Burnley
           
WINS 1
DRAW 1
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 12 Total goals
  • 25% BTTS
  • 4 Goals scored
  • 8 Goals conceded
  • 13% Over 2.5
  • 63% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 2Chelsea
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 2Arsenal
  • 18 Oct 2025 – Premier League Burnley2 : 0Leeds United
  • 23 Sep 2025 – EFL Cup Burnley1 : 2Cardiff City
  • 20 Sep 2025 – Premier League Burnley1 : 1Nottingham Forest
           
WINS 1
DRAW 0
LOSSES 5
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 28 Total goals
  • 100% BTTS
  • 10 Goals scored
  • 18 Goals conceded
  • 100% Over 2.5
  • 0% Under 2.5
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Brentford3 : 1Burnley
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League West Ham United3 : 2Burnley
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers2 : 3Burnley
  • 05 Oct 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa2 : 1Burnley
  • 27 Sep 2025 – Premier League Manchester City5 : 1Burnley
  • 30 Aug 2025 – Premier League Manchester United3 : 2Burnley

Starting XI

4-4-2

Possible
Lineup
1 Martin Dubravka
2 Kyle Walker
4 Joe Worrall
5 Maxime Esteve
3 Quilindschy Hartman
8 Lesley Ugochukwu
16 Florentino
29 Josh Laurent
10 Marcus Edwards
25 Zeki Amdouni
11 Jaidon Anthony
Substitutes
  • 32Vaclav Hladky
  • 14Connor Roberts
  • 6Axel Tuanzebe
  • 22Oliver Sonne
  • 28Hannibal Mejbri
  • 17Loum Tchaouna
  • 35Ashley Barnes
Suspension
  • 1Josh Cullen Accumulated yellow cards
Injured
  • 1Lyle Foster Knee injury
  • 2Hjalmar Ekdal Hamstring strain

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Current Best Betting Odds for Newcastle vs Burnley

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Newcastle and Burnley.

Newcastle vs Burnley
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 7/25
Draw 19/4
Away 17/2
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 7/25
Draw 19/4
Away 17/2
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 2/7
Draw 5/1
Away 17/2
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 7/25
Draw 43/10
Away 10/1
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 27/100
Draw 49/10
Away 44/5
Visit Site

Newcastle vs Burnley Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Newcastle vs Burnley clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Newcastle vs Burnley Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Newcastle 3-111/1Newcastle's strong attack against a leaky Burnley defence suggests multiple goals for the home side, but Burnley might grab a consolation goal, making 3-1 a plausible high-odds outcome.
Long-Shot Bet 2Newcastle / Newcastle83/100Given Newcastle's dominance, especially at home, they are likely to take an early lead and maintain it throughout the match.
Long-Shot Bet 3Anthony Gordon333/100As a key part of Newcastle's attack and in good form, Anthony Gordon is a strong candidate to open the scoring against a vulnerable Burnley defence.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Newcastle vs Burnley clash:

  • Newcastle to Win, Over 3.5 Goals & Anthony Gordon to Score Anytime.
  • Newcastle to Win Both Halves & Over 1.5 Goals in First Half.
  • Burnley +2 Handicap, Both Teams to Score & Over 9.5 Corners.

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Newcastle vs Burnley on 6 December 2025 at 3:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams are likely to score given Newcastle’s attacking strength and Burnley’s defensive vulnerabilities this season.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): Expect Over 2.5 goals with Newcastle’s prolific home form and Burnley’s tendency to concede multiple goals per match.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Newcastle enjoy a significant home advantage with their 66% win rate at St James’ Park compared to Burnley’s struggling away record.

Where to Watch Newcastle vs Burnley

TV channel:

This match is not scheduled for live broadcast on UK television. Check local listings for international broadcast options.

Online streaming:

Audio commentary may be available on the respective club websites. Some international broadcasters may provide streaming services.

Free highlights:

Highlights will be available on the official Premier League and Sky Sports Football YouTube channels shortly after the full-time whistle.