Newcastle vs Bournemouth Betting Tips & Predictions

FA Cup 10 January 2026 at 3:00 PM
Newcastle
Top tip Both Teams to Score
Bournemouth
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  • Newcastle United Riding High at St. James' Park

    Newcastle United enter this FA Cup tie looking to leverage their formidable home advantage. A strong performance at St. James' Park will be crucial for their ambitions of a deep run in the tournament.

  • Bournemouth Aiming for a Cup Upset

    AFC Bournemouth travel to the North East with the aim of causing a cup upset. They will need to be at their resilient best to overcome a strong Newcastle side in front of their passionate home supporters.

  • Premier League Familiarity Adds Spice

    As fellow Premier League competitors, these teams are familiar with each other's style. This FA Cup encounter adds an extra layer of intrigue, where knockout football can often defy league form and produce unexpected results.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Newcastle and Bournemouth

To give you the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models – ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model provides a clear prediction on the outcome, displayed as a simple bullet point. You’ll also see their official logos, so it’s clear which AI made the call. For those who want to dive deeper, you can click each prediction to expand and reveal the reasoning behind it – showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match stats.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 8/138/133/5
BTTS offers value given both sides’ attacking threat and defensive frailties; Newcastle’s forward line and Bournemouth’s attacking intent increase the likelihood of goals at both ends.
Prediction of AI claude modelNewcastle United to Win
Odds for This Bet 3/48/1171/100
Claude prioritises markets that favour a commanding home victory. Newcastle United’s superior squad depth, home fortress credentials, and Bournemouth’s fragile away form underpin the home win pick. The Magpies’ attacking prowess against the Cherries’ porous defence makes over 2.5 goals a logical secondary angle.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 8/138/138/13
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market given the strong attacking nature of Newcastle United at home and AFC Bournemouth’s tendency to concede. Both teams are expected to field strong attacking lineups, suggesting a high-scoring encounter.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: January 9, 2026
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Top Tip: Both Teams to Score

Goals look to be on the agenda in this FA Cup tie. Both Newcastle and Bournemouth possess the firepower to trouble each other’s backlines, and recent performances suggest defensive solidity isn’t a priority for either side. The data points towards Both Teams to Score as a strong value bet for this encounter at St. James’ Park.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

How We Source Our Value Bets

Our value bets are generated by combining insights from advanced research models with key football data points. The algorithm looks beyond simple win–draw–lose outcomes and weighs factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. By analysing hundreds of data points, it identifies bets that may offer superior value compared to the bookmakers’ odds, giving you a statistical edge.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Home Win
  • Probability: 68%
  • Best Odds: 3/4 (1.75) at 10bet
  • Newcastle United’s formidable home record makes them clear favourites to progress in the FA Cup tie.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 8/13 (1.615) at bet365
  • Both teams have been finding the net regularly, with Bournemouth posing an attacking threat despite their defensive vulnerabilities.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 65%
  • Best Odds: 8/13 (1.615) at bet365
  • The Cup clash is likely to be an open affair with both sides capable of scoring, which should lead to multiple goals.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Newcastle United or Draw
  • Probability: 88%
  • Best Odds: 2/9 (1.222) at bet365
  • Newcastle’s dominant home form and Bournemouth’s struggles on the road significantly reduce the chance of an away victory.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Newcastle and Bournemouth:

  • Yoane Wissa leads Newcastle’s goalscoring charge and represents outstanding value in the Anytime Goalscorer market, with the forward’s clinical finishing and intelligent movement causing Bournemouth’s backline persistent problems. (Newcastle)
  • Evanilson spearheads Bournemouth’s attack and offers the Cherries’ best chance of troubling Newcastle’s defence, with the Brazilian striker’s pace and directness capable of exploiting any defensive lapses. (Bournemouth)

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Newcastle Form and Stats

Last MatchesNewcastle
           
WINS 4
DRAW 1
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 48 Total goals
  • 79% BTTS
  • 27 Goals scored
  • 21 Goals conceded
  • 79% Over 2.5
  • 21% Under 2.5
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United4 : 3Leeds United
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 0Crystal Palace
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley1 : 3Newcastle United
  • 26 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United1 : 0Newcastle United
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 2Chelsea
  • 17 Dec 2025 – EFL Cup Newcastle United2 : 1Fulham
           
WINS 4
DRAW 2
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 23 Total goals
  • 71% BTTS
  • 14 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 71% Over 2.5
  • 14% Under 2.5
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United4 : 3Leeds United
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 0Crystal Palace
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 2Chelsea
  • 17 Dec 2025 – EFL Cup Newcastle United2 : 1Fulham
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 1Burnley
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
           
WINS 2
DRAW 1
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 18 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 10 Goals scored
  • 8 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley1 : 3Newcastle United
  • 26 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United1 : 0Newcastle United
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 0Newcastle United
  • 10 Dec 2025 – Champions League Bayer Leverkusen2 : 2Newcastle United
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Everton1 : 4Newcastle United
  • 25 Nov 2025 – Champions League Marseille2 : 1Newcastle United

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
32 Aaron Ramsdale
21 Tino Livramento
4 Sven Botman
12 Malick Thiaw
3 Lewis Hall
39 Bruno Guimarães
8 Sandro Tonali
7 Joelinton
10 Anthony Gordon
9 Yoane Wissa
11 Harvey Barnes
Substitutes
  • 1Nick Pope
  • 2Kieran Trippier
  • 23Jacob Murphy
  • 28Joe Willock
  • 41Jacob Ramsey
  • 67Lewis Miley
  • 18William Osula
  • 27Nick Woltemade
  • 26John Ruddy
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Jamaal Lascelles Muscle injury
  • 2Dan Burn Rib injury
  • 3Emil Krafth Knee injury
  • 4Anthony Elanga Knock

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Bournemouth Form and Stats

Last MatchesBournemouth
           
WINS 1
DRAW 3
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 55 Total goals
  • 71% BTTS
  • 23 Goals scored
  • 32 Goals conceded
  • 71% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth3 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
  • 03 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 3Arsenal
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Chelsea2 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brentford4 : 1AFC Bournemouth
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth1 : 1Burnley
  • 15 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United4 : 4AFC Bournemouth
           
WINS 1
DRAW 3
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 17 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 8 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth3 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
  • 03 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 3Arsenal
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth1 : 1Burnley
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth0 : 0Chelsea
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth0 : 1Everton
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 2West Ham United
           
WINS 0
DRAW 2
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 30 Total goals
  • 71% BTTS
  • 10 Goals scored
  • 20 Goals conceded
  • 86% Over 2.5
  • 0% Under 2.5
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Chelsea2 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brentford4 : 1AFC Bournemouth
  • 15 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United4 : 4AFC Bournemouth
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland3 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa4 : 0AFC Bournemouth
  • 02 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 1AFC Bournemouth

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
1 Djordje Petrovic
20 Alex Jimenez
5 Marcos Senesi
18 Bafodé Diakité
3 Adrien Truffert
4 Lewis Cook
8 Alex Scott
24 Antoine Semenyo
22 Junior Kroupi
16 Marcus Tavernier
9 Evanilson
Substitutes
  • 6Julio Soler
  • 23James Hill
  • 12Tyler Adams
  • 10Ryan Christie
  • 7David Brooks
  • 21Amine Adli
  • 11Ben Gannon-Doak
  • 19Justin Kluivert
  • 40Will Dennis
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Enes Unal Knee injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head Record

  • 21 Sep 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth 0 : 0 Newcastle United
  • 18 Jan 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United 1 : 4 AFC Bournemouth
  • 25 Aug 2024 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth 1 : 1 Newcastle United
  • 17 Feb 2024 – Premier League Newcastle United 2 : 2 AFC Bournemouth
  • 11 Nov 2023 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth 2 : 0 Newcastle United
  • 11 Feb 2023 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth 1 : 1 Newcastle United
  • 20 Dec 2022 – EFL Cup Newcastle United 1 : 0 AFC Bournemouth
  • 17 Sep 2022 – Premier League Newcastle United 1 : 1 AFC Bournemouth
League Games at Newcastle
  • Newcastle
  • Bournemouth
  • Goals: Scored 5 7
  • Games: Scored 4/4 3/4
  • Clean Sheets 1/4 0/4
League Games at Bournemouth
  • Newcastle
  • Bournemouth
  • Goals: Scored 2 4
  • Games: Scored 4/4 3/4
  • Clean Sheets 1/4 2/4

Current Best Betting Odds for Newcastle vs Bournemouth

When it comes to betting on this FA Cup fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Newcastle and Bournemouth.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 13/10
Draw 12/5
Away 21/10
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 17/25
Draw 59/20
Away 59/20
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 79/100
Draw 3/1
Away 29/10
Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 4/5
Draw 29/10
Away 29/10
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 81/100
Draw 29/10
Away 67/20
Visit Site

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Newcastle vs Bournemouth clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Correct Score: 2-333/1 (Bet365)This 2-3 scoreline predicting a Bournemouth victory offers excellent long-shot value. With 5 total goals, it reflects an open, attacking contest. The odds provide substantial returns if both teams' recent scoring form translates into this specific outcome. At 33/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2Bournemouth (-2)16/1 (10bet)This handicap requires Bournemouth to win by more than 2 goals. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 16/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3Over 6.5 Total Goals18/1 (Bet365)Over 6.5 goals requires a high-scoring affair with at least 7 goals. Both sides' attacking intent and this fixture's history of entertainment make this worth consideration. At 18/1, the potential returns justify the risk.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Newcastle vs Bournemouth clash:

  • Newcastle to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2+)
  • Bournemouth to Score First + Newcastle to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1+)
  • Draw at Half-Time + Newcastle to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1+)

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Newcastle vs Bournemouth on 10 January 2026 at 3:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score):

    Both Teams to Score

    Both teams possess attacking threats capable of troubling opposition defences. Newcastle’s dynamic front three and Bournemouth’s effective counter-attacking options make it highly probable that we will see goals at both ends of the pitch during this cup tie.

  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals):

    Total Goals

    Over 2.5 goals represents excellent value given Newcastle’s home scoring average and Bournemouth’s tendency to concede whilst remaining dangerous going forward.

  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage):

    Home Advantage

    Newcastle United hold a formidable home advantage, with the St James’ Park crowd renowned for creating an intimidating atmosphere, particularly in evening cup competitions.

Where to Watch Newcastle vs Bournemouth

TV channel:

Check your local listings for England Cup 1 broadcast information. Coverage may be available on major sports networks.

Online streaming:

Streaming options typically include official league platforms and subscription sports services.

Free highlights:

Highlights are usually available on official league channels and sports news platforms shortly after full-time.