Manchester City vs Wolverhampton Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 24 January 2026 at 3:00 PM
Manchester City
Top tip Both Teams to Score
Wolverhampton
FIND THE BEST ODDS HERE
  • Manchester City’s dominance: City have been strong at home, with a 91% win rate at the Etihad and an average of 3.18 goals per home game, making them overwhelming favourites.
  • Wolves’ away struggles: Wolves have failed to win in their last 11 away games and have conceded 2.09 goals per game on the road, which makes them vulnerable against City’s potent attack.
  • High-scoring potential: With Manchester City scoring at least 2 goals in 91% of their home games and Wolves struggling defensively, this game has the potential to be a high-scoring affair.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Manchester City and Wolverhampton

To provide a comprehensive betting preview, we have analysed predictions from three leading AI models: Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT. Each model offers a distinct betting angle on the match, clearly presented with their respective logos. You can explore the detailed reasoning behind each AI’s selection by clicking on their prediction, revealing the data-driven analysis that led to their conclusions.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 10/114/54/5
BTTS is offered at value here given both sides possess attacking threat and Wolves can exploit City’s compromised defence. City’s firepower remains formidable, while Wolves have shown capability to score, creating a favourable BTTS scenario.
Prediction of AI claude modelManchester City to Win
Odds for This Bet 2/91/519/100
Claude prioritises markets that favour a dominant home win. Manchester City’s superior head-to-head record, overwhelming home form, and quality advantage across the pitch underpin the home win pick. Despite their injury crisis, City’s attacking firepower—led by Haaland and new signing Marmoush—should prove too strong for a struggling Wolves side who have lost their last four meetings at the Etihad.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 3.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 10/1117/2017/20
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market for value. Despite Manchester City’s defensive injuries, their attacking prowess, led by Haaland, is formidable. Wolverhampton Wanderers’ defensive vulnerabilities, coupled with their potential to score against a weakened City backline, points towards a high-scoring encounter exceeding 3.5 goals.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: January 20, 2026
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Both Teams to Score is my top tip for this match due to the attacking strength of Manchester City and Wolverhampton’s ability to create chances, despite their defensive struggles. City score frequently at home, averaging 3.18 goals per game, and Wolves have scored in 82% of their away games this season. While Wolves’ defense has been leaky, conceding 2.09 goals per game on the road, they often manage to get on the scoresheet, even against top teams. Given City’s tendency to concede goals in their matches, Wolves are likely to find the net, making BTTS a solid prediction in this high-tempo, goal-heavy fixture.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bet algorithm crunches the numbers to find opportunities where the odds may not fully reflect the statistical likelihood. By analysing factors like expected goals (xG), head-to-head history, recent team performance, and specific player form, we identify bets that offer strong potential returns. This data-first approach helps highlight value beyond the obvious match winner market.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Home Win
  • Probability: 77%
  • Best Odds: 2/9 (1.222) at ladbrokes
  • Manchester City’s superior quality and formidable home record make them strong favourites to secure all three points.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 58%
  • Best Odds: 10/11 (1.909) at ladbrokes
  • City’s defensive injury crisis provides a significant opportunity for Wolves to find the net, despite the hosts’ attacking dominance.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 4/11 (1.364) at bet365
  • With City’s potent attack and a vulnerable backline, a high-scoring game with at least three goals is highly probable.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Manchester City or Draw
  • Probability: 89%
  • Best Odds: 1/20 (1.05) at bet365
  • It is highly unlikely that Manchester City will lose at the Etihad, making the home win or draw a very safe bet.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Manchester City and Wolverhampton:

  • Erling Haaland is a must-consider in the anytime goalscorer market, given his exceptional form this season. He has scored 20 goals in 22 Premier League matches, averaging 0.91 goals per game, and is consistently involved in Manchester City’s attacking play. With 3.9 shots per game, his positioning and finishing ability make him a constant threat, especially against a Wolves side that struggles to contain clinical strikers. Haaland’s high involvement in goal-scoring opportunities and his role as City’s main target man make him an excellent choice for this bet. (Manchester City)
  • Hwang Hee-Chan is worth considering in the anytime goalscorer market due to his role as a versatile forward for Wolves. With 2 Premier League goals and 1 assist in 12 starts, he has been involved in key attacking moves for the team. His speed and ability to operate across the front line, combined with his 77.5% shooting accuracy, make him a constant threat when Wolves go on the attack. Although he averages just 0.8 shots per game, his positioning and ability to finish make him a solid candidate to score, especially in a match where Wolves will need to be more clinical against a high-pressing Manchester City side. (Wolverhampton)

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Manchester City Form and Stats

Last MatchesManchester City
           
WINS 2
DRAW 3
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 50 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 37 Goals scored
  • 13 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Manchester United2 : 0Manchester City
  • 13 Jan 2026 – EFL Cup Newcastle United0 : 2Manchester City
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Manchester City10 : 1Exeter City
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Manchester City1 : 1Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Manchester City1 : 1Chelsea
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Sunderland0 : 0Manchester City
           
WINS 4
DRAW 2
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 23 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 20 Goals scored
  • 3 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Manchester City10 : 1Exeter City
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Manchester City1 : 1Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Manchester City1 : 1Chelsea
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0West Ham United
  • 17 Dec 2025 – EFL Cup Manchester City2 : 0Brentford
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0Sunderland
           
WINS 4
DRAW 1
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 13 Total goals
  • 29% BTTS
  • 9 Goals scored
  • 4 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Manchester United2 : 0Manchester City
  • 13 Jan 2026 – EFL Cup Newcastle United0 : 2Manchester City
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Sunderland0 : 0Manchester City
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest1 : 2Manchester City
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 3Manchester City
  • 10 Dec 2025 – Champions League Real Madrid1 : 2Manchester City

Starting XI

4-1-4-1

Possible
Lineup
25 Gianluigi Donnarumma
33 Nico O'Reilly
45 Abdukodir Khusanov
68 Max Alleyne
82 Rico Lewis
11 Jeremy Doku
47 Phil Foden
16 Rodri
4 Tijjani Reijnders
11 Antoine Semenyo
9 Erling Haaland
Substitutes
  • 1James Trafford
  • 21Rayan Aït-Nouri
  • 13Marcus Bettinelli
  • 56Ryan McAidoo
  • 91Seyi Mfuni
  • 63Divine Mukasa
  • 10Rayan Cherki
Suspension
  • 1Bernardo Silva
Injured
  • 1Josko Gvardiol Calf/Shin/Heel Injury
  • 2Mateo Kovacic Ankle/Foot Injury
  • 3John Stones Thigh Injury
  • 4Ruben Dias Thigh Injury
  • 5Oscar Bobb Thigh Injury
  • 6Savinho Other
  • 7Matheus Nunes Out
  • 8Nicolas Gonzalez Iglesias Out
  • 9Marc Guehi Doubtful
  • 10Phil Foden Doubtful

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Wolverhampton Form and Stats

Last MatchesWolverhampton
           
WINS 2
DRAW 3
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 37 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 14 Goals scored
  • 23 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 50% Under 2.5
  • 18 Jan 2026 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers0 : 0Newcastle United
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Wolverhampton Wanderers6 : 1Shrewsbury Town
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Everton1 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 03 Jan 2026 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers3 : 0West Ham United
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United1 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool2 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
           
WINS 2
DRAW 1
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 18 Total goals
  • 29% BTTS
  • 10 Goals scored
  • 8 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 18 Jan 2026 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers0 : 0Newcastle United
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Wolverhampton Wanderers6 : 1Shrewsbury Town
  • 03 Jan 2026 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers3 : 0West Ham United
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers0 : 2Brentford
  • 08 Dec 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers1 : 4Manchester United
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers0 : 1Nottingham Forest
           
WINS 0
DRAW 2
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 14 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 4 Goals scored
  • 10 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Everton1 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United1 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool2 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa1 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea3 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers

Starting XI

3-5-2

Possible
Lineup
1 Jose Sa
4 Santiago Bueno
37 Ladislav Krejci
15 Yerson Mosquera
3 Hugo Bueno
8 Joao Gomes
7 Andre
36 Mateus Mane
38 Jackson Tchatchoua
14 Tolu Arokodare
11 Hwang Hee-Chan
Substitutes
  • 31Sam Johnstone
  • 12Emmanuel Agbadou
  • 10Jhon Arias
  • 17Pedro Lima
  • 2Matt Doherty
  • 28Fer Lopez
  • 21Rodrigo Gomes
  • 6David Moller Wolfe
  • 9Jorgen Strand Larsen
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Toti Antonio Gomes Thigh Injury
  • 2Jean-Ricner Bellegarde Thigh Injury
  • 3Leon Chiwome Out

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Manchester City vs Wolverhampton Head-to-Head Record

  • 16 Aug 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers 0 : 4 Manchester City
  • 02 May 2025 – Premier League Manchester City 1 : 0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 20 Oct 2024 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers 1 : 2 Manchester City
  • 04 May 2024 – Premier League Manchester City 5 : 1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 30 Sep 2023 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers 2 : 1 Manchester City
  • 22 Jan 2023 – Premier League Manchester City 3 : 0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 17 Sep 2022 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers 0 : 3 Manchester City
  • 11 May 2022 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers 1 : 5 Manchester City
League Games at Manchester City
  • Manchester City
  • Wolverhampton
  • Goals: Scored 9 1
  • Games: Scored 3/3 1/3
  • Clean Sheets 2/3 0/3
League Games at Wolverhampton
  • Manchester City
  • Wolverhampton
  • Goals: Scored 15 4
  • Games: Scored 5/5 3/5
  • Clean Sheets 2/5 0/5

Current Best Betting Odds for Manchester City vs Wolverhampton

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Manchester City and Wolverhampton.

Manchester City vs Wolverhampton
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 1/5
Draw 11/2
Away 11/1
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 3/25
Draw 11/2
Away 21/2
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 19/100
Draw 11/2
Away 25/2
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 11/50
Draw 6/1
Away 11/1
Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 2/9
Draw 6/1
Away 10/1
Visit Site

Manchester City vs Wolverhampton Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Manchester City vs Wolverhampton clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Manchester City vs Wolverhampton Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Manchester City Over 4.5 Goals9/2 (Bet365)This bet backs Manchester City to score 5+ goals. Their recent attacking form and the opposition's defensive vulnerabilities make this an intriguing high-reward selection. At 9/2, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2Over 6.5 Total Goals15/2 (Ladbrokes)Over 6.5 goals requires a high-scoring affair with at least 7 goals. Both sides' attacking intent and this fixture's history of entertainment make this worth consideration. At 15/2, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 35+ Total Goals14/1 (Bet365)A 5+ goal thriller would be a spectacle for neutrals. Both teams have shown they can score freely, and an open, end-to-end affair is possible in this fixture. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Manchester City vs Wolverhampton clash:

  • Manchester City to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
    A comprehensive prediction backing City’s dominance and goals from both sides — a £10 stake would return £85 if this hits.

  • Wolverhampton to Score First + Manchester City to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
    This play predicts Wolves to strike early but City to power through — a £10 stake would return £120 if successful.

  • Draw at Half-Time + Manchester City to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)
    Expect a tight first half before City take control in the second — a £10 stake would return £150 if this combination proves accurate.

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Manchester City vs Wolverhampton on 24 January 2026 at 3:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both Teams to Score is a strong angle given Manchester City’s attacking potency and Wolves’ ability to score, despite their struggles. City have scored in 92% of their home games, while Wolves have found the net in 80% of their away games, despite their defensive issues. With both teams capable of getting on the scoresheet, this game looks set up for goals at both ends.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): Total Goals leans towards Over 2.5 given the attacking strength of Manchester City and Wolves’ defensive vulnerabilities. City’s home matches average 3.18 goals per game, while Wolves’ away games have seen an average of 2.64 goals. With both teams involved in high-scoring encounters recently, this match is likely to exceed the 2.5 goal mark.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Home Advantage is significant for Manchester City in this matchup, as they have been dominant at the Etihad, winning 8 of their last 10 home matches. They’ve averaged 3.18 goals per game at home and conceded just 0.73 goals per game. Wolves, on the other hand, have struggled away, failing to win in 11 consecutive away games and conceding 2.09 goals per match on the road. With City’s offensive firepower and Wolves’ defensive vulnerabilities away from home, this game strongly favors Manchester City at home.

Where to Watch Manchester City vs Wolverhampton

TV channel:

Due to the 3pm blackout, this game will not be televised live in the UK.

Online streaming:

The game is not available to stream live in the UK.

Free highlights:

Match highlights will be shown across Sky Sports and TNT Sports, with extended highlights also airing later on Saturday night on Match of the Day.