Manchester City vs Sunderland Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 6 December 2025 at 3:00 PM
Manchester City
Top tip Over 3.5 Goals
Sunderland
FIND THE BEST ODDS HERE
  • Manchester City are in formidable form, having won 4 of their last 5 Premier League matches and scoring freely at home.
  • Sunderland's recent league form has been inconsistent, securing just 1 win alongside 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 outings.
  • This Premier League clash pits a high-flying Manchester City against a Sunderland side struggling to find consistent winning form.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Manchester City and Sunderland

To give you the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models – ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model provides a clear prediction on the outcome, displayed as a simple bullet point. You’ll also see their official logos, so it’s clear which AI made the call. For those who want to dive deeper, you can click each prediction to expand and reveal the reasoning behind it – showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match stats.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelManchester City to Win
Odds for This Bet 1/11/11/1
Manchester City enter as overwhelming favourites: home advantage at the Etihad, deeper squad and Sunderland’s mounting injuries create a clear edge for City. City’s explosive attack, led by Haaland and complemented by Foden and Doku, supports a comfortable home win projection.
Prediction of AI claude modelManchester City to Win
Odds for This Bet 1/11/11/1
Claude identifies Manchester City as overwhelming favourites given their superior squad depth, home advantage at the Etihad, and Sunderland’s defensive fragility with multiple injuries to key players including Leo Hjelde, Dennis Cirkin, and Habib Diarra. Manchester City’s attacking prowess—led by Erling Haaland and supported by Phil Foden and Jeremy Doku—combined with their proven home record makes a home victory the logical selection despite modest odds reflecting their clear superiority.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 3.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 13/105/45/4
Gemini identifies a strong likelihood for a high-scoring encounter, as Manchester City boasts an impressive home goal-scoring record, averaging over three goals in recent league fixtures, while Sunderland’s defensive frailties suggest they will concede multiple times.
Lead Author’s Summary and Final Predictions
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: December 4, 2025
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Manchester City’s attack is one of the most potent in Europe, especially at the Etihad. Considering they’ve scored 3 or more goals in 4 of their last 5 home games across all competitions, and Sunderland are dealing with several defensive injuries, a high-scoring match seems inevitable. Data suggests that backing Over 3.5 Goals provides the best value for this Premier League encounter.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are generated by combining insights from advanced research models with key football data points. The algorithm looks beyond simple win–draw–lose outcomes and weighs factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. By comparing the probability of an outcome with the odds offered by bookmakers, we highlight matches where the potential return provides value.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Home Win
  • Probability: 78%
  • Best Odds: 1/4 (1.25) at Ladbrokes
  • Manchester City’s exceptional home form, superior squad depth, and Sunderland’s defensive vulnerabilities due to multiple key injuries strongly favour a home victory.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 1/1 (2) at Ladbrokes
  • Manchester City’s prolific attacking output combined with Sunderland’s inconsistent defensive record suggests both teams are likely to register goals.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 71%
  • Best Odds: 1/2 (1.5) at 10bet
  • Manchester City’s attacking dominance and Sunderland’s defensive frailties point towards a high-scoring encounter exceeding 2.5 total goals.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Manchester City or Draw
  • Probability: 92%
  • Best Odds: 6/95 (1.063) at bet365

  • Manchester City’s quality and home advantage make a loss highly improbable, whilst a draw remains possible if Sunderland execute a defensive masterclass.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this Soccer match between Manchester City and Sunderland:

  • Erling Haaland (Manchester City)
  • Brian Brobbey (Sunderland)

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Manchester City Form and Stats

Last MatchesManchester City
           
WINS 5
DRAW 0
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 51 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 34 Goals scored
  • 17 Goals conceded
  • 64% Over 2.5
  • 36% Under 2.5
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League Fulham4 : 5Manchester City
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 2Leeds United
  • 25 Nov 2025 – Champions League Manchester City0 : 2Bayer Leverkusen
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 1Manchester City
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0Liverpool
  • 05 Nov 2025 – Champions League Manchester City4 : 1Borussia Dortmund
           
WINS 5
DRAW 0
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 21 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 15 Goals scored
  • 6 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 2Leeds United
  • 25 Nov 2025 – Champions League Manchester City0 : 2Bayer Leverkusen
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0Liverpool
  • 05 Nov 2025 – Champions League Manchester City4 : 1Borussia Dortmund
  • 02 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 1AFC Bournemouth
  • 18 Oct 2025 – Premier League Manchester City2 : 0Everton
           
WINS 4
DRAW 0
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 20 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 12 Goals scored
  • 8 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League Fulham4 : 5Manchester City
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 1Manchester City
  • 29 Oct 2025 – EFL Cup Swansea City1 : 3Manchester City
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa1 : 0Manchester City
  • 21 Oct 2025 – Champions League Villarreal0 : 2Manchester City
  • 05 Oct 2025 – Premier League Brentford0 : 1Manchester City

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
18 Stefan Ortega
82 Rico Lewis
5 John Stones
3 Ruben Dias
6 Nathan Ake
20 Bernardo Silva
4 Tijjani Reijnders
47 Phil Foden
11 Jeremy Doku
9 Erling Haaland
52 Oscar Bobb
Substitutes
  • 1James Trafford
  • 25Gianluigi Donnarumma
  • 24Josko Gvardiol
  • 45Abdukodir Khusanov
  • 14Nico Gonzalez
  • 27Matheus Nunes
  • 7Omar Marmoush
  • 10Rayan Cherki
  • 26Savinho
  • 33Nico O'Reilly
  • 13Marcus Bettinelli
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Mateo Kovacic Ankle injury
  • 2Rodri Hamstring injury
  • 3Kalvin Phillips Leg niggles

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Sunderland Form and Stats

Last MatchesSunderland
           
WINS 2
DRAW 2
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 42 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 21 Goals scored
  • 21 Goals conceded
  • 36% Over 2.5
  • 64% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool1 : 1Sunderland
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland3 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Fulham1 : 0Sunderland
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 2Arsenal
  • 03 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 1Everton
  • 25 Oct 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 2Sunderland
           
WINS 3
DRAW 3
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 18 Total goals
  • 71% BTTS
  • 11 Goals scored
  • 7 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland3 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 2Arsenal
  • 03 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 1Everton
  • 18 Oct 2025 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 21 Sep 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 1Aston Villa
  • 30 Aug 2025 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 1Brentford
           
WINS 2
DRAW 2
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 9 Total goals
  • 29% BTTS
  • 4 Goals scored
  • 5 Goals conceded
  • 14% Over 2.5
  • 71% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool1 : 1Sunderland
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Fulham1 : 0Sunderland
  • 25 Oct 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 2Sunderland
  • 04 Oct 2025 – Premier League Manchester United2 : 0Sunderland
  • 27 Sep 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest0 : 1Sunderland
  • 13 Sep 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 0Sunderland

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
1 Anthony Patterson
32 Trai Hume
5 Daniel Ballard
13 Luke O'Nien
26 Arthur Masuaku
4 Daniel Neil
34 Granit Xhaka
28 Enzo Le Fee
14 Romaine Mundle
9 Brian Brobbey
24 Simon Adingra
Substitutes
  • 21Simon Moore
  • 16Blondy Nna Noukeu
  • 22Robin Roefs
  • 17Reinildo
  • 20Nordi Mukiele
  • 6Lutsharel Geertruida
  • 45Joseph Anderson
  • 12Jay Matete
  • 13Abdoullah Ba
  • 11Chris Rigg
  • 27Noah Sadiki
  • 7Chemsdine Talbi
  • 12Eliezer Mayenda
  • 29Ahmed Abdullahi
  • 36Ian Poveda
  • 18Wilson Isidor
  • 25Bertrand Traore
  • 15Omar Alderete
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Habib Diarra Groin injury
  • 2Aji Alese Shoulder injury
  • 3Leo Hjelde Achilles tendon injury
  • 4Dennis Cirkin Wrist injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Manchester City vs Sunderland Head-to-Head Record

No Head-to-Head data is available.

Current Best Betting Odds for Manchester City vs Sunderland

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Manchester City and Sunderland.

Manchester City vs Sunderland
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 1/4
Draw 5/1
Away 9/1
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 1/4
Draw 5/1
Away 9/1
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 27/100
Draw 21/4
Away 17/2
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 13/50
Draw 24/5
Away 10/1
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 1/4
Draw 11/2
Away 10/1
Visit Site

Manchester City vs Sunderland Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Manchester City vs Sunderland clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Manchester City vs Sunderland Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Manchester City to Win 5-022/1Manchester City are known for their dominant home performances and ability to rack up high scores against weaker opposition, especially given Sunderland's current injury woes. A clean sheet is also plausible for City at home.
Long-Shot Bet 2Jeremy Doku to Score First9/1Doku is a potent attacking threat with pace and trickery, and could open the scoring, offering good value given his expected presence in the starting line-up.
Long-Shot Bet 3Draw / Manchester City3/1Sunderland may be able to frustrate City in the first half, keeping the score level, but City's superior quality and depth should allow them to secure the win in the second period.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Manchester City vs Sunderland clash:

  • Manchester City to Win, Over 4.5 Goals, and Erling Haaland to Score 2 or More Goals
  • Both Teams to Score, Manchester City to Win, and Over 10.5 Corners
  • Sunderland +3 Handicap, Under 4.5 Goals, and Over 3.5 Cards

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Manchester City vs Sunderland on 6 December 2025 at 3:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams are likely to score given Manchester City’s prolific attacking output and Sunderland’s defensive inconsistencies despite their injury challenges.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): Manchester City’s attacking prowess and Sunderland’s defensive vulnerabilities suggest a match total exceeding 2.5 goals is highly probable.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Manchester City hold a decisive home advantage at the Etihad, backed by strong goal-scoring form and solid defense.

Where to Watch Manchester City vs Sunderland

TV channel:

Not Shown on UK TV

Online streaming:

Non available due to UK blackout

Free highlights:

Highlights will be available on the Sky Sports Football YouTube channel, Match of the Day, and official club websites post-match.