Liverpool vs Newcastle Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 31 January 2026 at 8:00 PM
Liverpool
Top tip Liverpool to Win
Newcastle
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  • Liverpool sit 6th on 36 points, with Newcastle 9th on 33, so there is only three points between them in the European chase.
  • The goal numbers point to a competitive game: Liverpool (35 scored, 32 conceded) and Newcastle (32 scored, 29 conceded) both tend to be involved at both ends.
  • Form is a contrast: Liverpool are a bit inconsistent in the league but come in off a huge 6-0 midweek win in Europe, while Newcastle have been tighter domestically lately but still carry threat on their day.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Liverpool and Newcastle

To provide the most reliable insights, we have collated match predictions from three leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model offers a distinct prediction on the outcome, presented as a clear bullet point. You will also find their official logos, making it easy to see which AI made the call. For those who wish to delve deeper, you can click on each prediction to expand and reveal the detailed reasoning behind it, showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match statistics.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 8/138/134/7
BTTS offers value given both sides’ attacking threat and defensive vulnerabilities. Liverpool’s lethal attack at Anfield coupled with Newcastle’s bright forward options suggests both teams can score.
Prediction of AI claude modelLiverpool to Win
Odds for This Bet 4/54/54/5
Claude prioritises markets that favour a commanding home victory. Liverpool’s formidable home record and superior attacking options underpin the home win pick. Both sides possess genuine goal threats, making both teams to score and over 2.5 goals logical companion bets.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 8/138/133/5
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market, finding strong value in a high-scoring affair. Liverpool’s consistent goal-scoring at Anfield and Newcastle’s attacking threats suggest both sides will contribute to a match with at least three goals. The head-to-head history also points to open games between these teams.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: January 29, 2026
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Liverpool to win is my top tip because, at Anfield, they are the side more likely to control the game and generate the bigger volume of chances, averaging around 62 percent possession and 15 plus shots per league match. Newcastle arrive on the back of a mixed domestic spell that includes a 0-0 at Wolves and a 2-0 home defeat to Aston Villa, and that kind of blunt edge is risky when you are facing a Liverpool team that can overwhelm you in wide areas and has just shown its ceiling with a 6-0 midweek win in Europe. In a tight battle for the European places, the home intensity and Liverpool’s higher attacking output makes them the team I would back to take all three points.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are generated by an algorithm that combines insights from advanced research models with crucial football data points. The system looks beyond simple win-draw-lose outcomes, weighing factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movements. This data-driven approach allows us to identify bets that offer genuine value.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Home Win
  • Probability: 68%
  • Best Odds: 4/5 (1.8) at Coral
  • Liverpool’s exceptional home form and quality advantage make them strong favourites to claim all three points at Anfield.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 8/13 (1.615) at bet365
  • Newcastle possess sufficient attacking quality through Gordon and Wissa to trouble Liverpool’s defence despite the expected home victory.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 71%
  • Best Odds: 8/13 (1.615) at bet365
  • Liverpool’s prolific attack combined with Newcastle’s ability to score suggests a high-scoring encounter at Anfield.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Liverpool or Draw
  • Probability: 87%
  • Best Odds: 1/4 (1.25) at Ladbrokes
  • Liverpool’s dominance at home makes them extremely unlikely to suffer defeat against Newcastle.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Liverpool and Newcastle:

  • Hugo Ekitike is a strong anytime goalscorer option because he is Liverpool’s central reference point and his numbers back it up, with 8 Premier League goals in 1,259 minutes which is roughly a goal every 157 minutes. He also averages 2.3 shots per game and, at 190cm with solid aerial output, he carries threat from both open play and set pieces, which is ideal in a high chance environment at Anfield. (Liverpool)
  • Bruno Guimaraes is a sneaky anytime goalscorer option because he is not just a controller in midfield, he arrives in the box and contributes end product, with 8 Premier League goals in 1,841 minutes. For a midfielder, his 1.5 shots per game is healthy, and with Newcastle likely to get moments from set pieces or second balls, he is exactly the type who can pop up with a late run or a rebound. (Newcastle)

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Liverpool Form and Stats

Last MatchesLiverpool
           
WINS 3
DRAW 2
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 42 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 29 Goals scored
  • 13 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 28 Jan 2026 – Champions League Liverpool6 : 0Qarabag FK
  • 24 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth3 : 2Liverpool
  • 21 Jan 2026 – Champions League Marseille0 : 3Liverpool
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Liverpool1 : 1Burnley
  • 12 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Liverpool4 : 1Barnsley
  • 08 Jan 2026 – Premier League Arsenal0 : 0Liverpool
           
WINS 4
DRAW 2
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 18 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 15 Goals scored
  • 3 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 28 Jan 2026 – Champions League Liverpool6 : 0Qarabag FK
  • 17 Jan 2026 – Premier League Liverpool1 : 1Burnley
  • 12 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Liverpool4 : 1Barnsley
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Liverpool0 : 0Leeds United
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool2 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool2 : 0Brighton & Hove Albion
           
WINS 3
DRAW 2
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 16 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 10 Goals scored
  • 6 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 24 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth3 : 2Liverpool
  • 21 Jan 2026 – Champions League Marseille0 : 3Liverpool
  • 08 Jan 2026 – Premier League Arsenal0 : 0Liverpool
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Fulham2 : 2Liverpool
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 2Liverpool
  • 09 Dec 2025 – Champions League Inter0 : 1Liverpool

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
1 Alisson Becker
6 Milos Kerkez
38 Ryan Gravenberch
4 Virgil van Dijk
17 Curtis Jones
10 Alexis Mac Allister
3 Wataru Endo
7 Florian Wirtz
8 Dominik Szoboszlai
11 Mohamed Salah
22 Hugo Ekitike
Substitutes
  • 25Giorgi Mamardashvili
  • 26Andrew Robertson
  • 65Amara Nallo
  • 14Federico Chiesa
  • 18Cody Gakpo
  • 73Rio Ngumoha
  • 42Trey Nyoni
  • 68Kieran Morrison
  • 28Freddie Woodman
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Ibrahima Konate Ruled Out
  • 2Joe Gomez Ruled Out
  • 3Alexander Isak Ruled Out
  • 4Conor Bradley Ruled Out
  • 5Giovanni Leoni Ruled Out
  • 6Stefan Bajcetic Out

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Newcastle Form and Stats

Last MatchesNewcastle
           
WINS 3
DRAW 1
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 52 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 28 Goals scored
  • 24 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 50% Under 2.5
  • 25 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United0 : 2Aston Villa
  • 21 Jan 2026 – Champions League Newcastle United3 : 0PSV Eindhoven
  • 18 Jan 2026 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers0 : 0Newcastle United
  • 13 Jan 2026 – EFL Cup Newcastle United0 : 2Manchester City
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Newcastle United10 : 9AFC Bournemouth
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United4 : 3Leeds United
           
WINS 4
DRAW 0
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 35 Total goals
  • 25% BTTS
  • 19 Goals scored
  • 16 Goals conceded
  • 38% Over 2.5
  • 38% Under 2.5
  • 25 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United0 : 2Aston Villa
  • 21 Jan 2026 – Champions League Newcastle United3 : 0PSV Eindhoven
  • 13 Jan 2026 – EFL Cup Newcastle United0 : 2Manchester City
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Newcastle United10 : 9AFC Bournemouth
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United4 : 3Leeds United
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 0Crystal Palace
         
WINS 1
DRAW 2
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 5 Matches)
  • 10 Total goals
  • 40% BTTS
  • 5 Goals scored
  • 5 Goals conceded
  • 40% Over 2.5
  • 60% Under 2.5
  • 18 Jan 2026 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers0 : 0Newcastle United
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley1 : 3Newcastle United
  • 26 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United1 : 0Newcastle United
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 0Newcastle United
  • 10 Dec 2025 – Champions League Bayer Leverkusen2 : 2Newcastle United

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
1 Nick Pope
3 Lewis Hall
12 Malick Thiaw
4 Sven Botman
2 Kieran Trippier
8 Sandro Tonali
39 Bruno Guimarães
67 Lewis Miley
10 Anthony Gordon
9 Yoane Wissa
11 Harvey Barnes
Substitutes
  • 32Aaron Ramsdale
  • 33Dan Burn
  • 41Jacob Ramsey
  • 28Joe Willock
  • 20Anthony Elanga
  • 27Nick Woltemade
  • 18William Osula
  • 37Alex Murphy
  • 58Aidan Harris
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Fabian Schär Ankle/Foot Injury
  • 2Valentino Livramento Thigh Injury
  • 3Joelinton Groin/Hip/Pelvic Injury
  • 4Jacob Murphy Thigh Injury
  • 5Emil Krafth Knee Injury - Questionable

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Liverpool vs Newcastle Head-to-Head Record

  • 25 Aug 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United 2 : 3 Liverpool
  • 16 Mar 2025 – EFL Cup Liverpool 1 : 2 Newcastle United
  • 26 Feb 2025 – Premier League Liverpool 2 : 0 Newcastle United
  • 04 Dec 2024 – Premier League Newcastle United 3 : 3 Liverpool
  • 01 Jan 2024 – Premier League Liverpool 4 : 2 Newcastle United
  • 27 Aug 2023 – Premier League Newcastle United 1 : 2 Liverpool
  • 18 Feb 2023 – Premier League Newcastle United 0 : 2 Liverpool
  • 31 Aug 2022 – Premier League Liverpool 2 : 1 Newcastle United
  • 30 Apr 2022 – Premier League Newcastle United 0 : 1 Liverpool
League Games at Liverpool
  • Liverpool
  • Newcastle
  • Goals: Scored 9 5
  • Games: Scored 4/4 3/4
  • Clean Sheets 1/4 0/4
League Games at Newcastle
  • Liverpool
  • Newcastle
  • Goals: Scored 11 6
  • Games: Scored 5/5 3/5
  • Clean Sheets 2/5 0/5

Current Best Betting Odds for Liverpool vs Newcastle

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Liverpool and Newcastle.

Liverpool vs Newcastle
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 4/5
Draw 3/1
Away 3/1
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 3/4
Draw 57/20
Away 29/10
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 81/100
Draw 3/1
Away 16/5
Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 4/5
Draw 29/10
Away 3/1
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 3/4
Draw 3/1
Away 16/5
Visit Site

Liverpool vs Newcastle Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Liverpool vs Newcastle clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Liverpool vs Newcastle Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Newcastle leads HT, Draw FT14/1 (Bet365)This bet requires Newcastle to lead at half-time before the match ends in a draw. It's an intriguing long-shot that banks on a second-half comeback from the opposition. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2Newcastle to Win to Nil8/1 (Bet365)Newcastle winning without conceding requires both attacking prowess and defensive solidity. A clean sheet adds difficulty but increases the reward significantly. At 8/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3Correct Score: 3-114/1 (Bet365)This 3-1 scoreline predicting a Liverpool victory offers excellent long-shot value. With 4 total goals, it reflects an open, attacking contest. The odds provide substantial returns if both teams' recent scoring form translates into this specific outcome. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Liverpool vs Newcastle clash:

  • Liverpool to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
  • Newcastle to Score First + Liverpool to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
  • Draw at Half-Time + Liverpool to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Liverpool vs Newcastle on 31 January 2026 at 8:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Liverpool’s matches are rarely quiet because they score consistently but also concede regularly, which keeps opponents in the game. Newcastle have enough quality and goal threat to take advantage of any openings at Anfield, so BTTS looks a strong angle even if you fancy Liverpool to edge it.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): Both teams have the attacking quality to create chances, and neither side has been consistently watertight, which is a classic setup for goals. With Liverpool’s tempo at Anfield and Newcastle capable of striking back, Over 2.5 goals makes plenty of sense and keeps 3-1, 2-1 or 2-2 type scorelines in play.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Anfield still gives Liverpool a clear edge because they have won 7 of their last 12 home league games, including big results like wins over Arsenal, Everton and Aston Villa. Even with the odd slip, they regularly find ways to score at home and sustain pressure for long spells, which makes backing Liverpool to take control and edge the key moments a strong angle.

Where to Watch Liverpool vs Newcastle

TV channel:

In the UK, this Premier League match will be broadcast on TNT Sports 1 and TNT Sports Ultimate.

Online streaming:

Subscribers can stream via the TNT Sport app.

Free highlights:

Full match highlights will be available on Match of the Day (BBC One, 10:30 PM) and the official Premier League YouTube channel.