Liverpool’s form: Liverpool have been undefeated in their last 9 matches, making them strong favourites in this fixture.
Burnley’s struggles: Burnley have failed to win in their last 12 matches and have conceded multiple goals in 15 of their 21 matches this season, highlighting their vulnerability.
Scoring patterns: Liverpool have scored over 2.5 goals in 80% of their home games, while Burnley have scored only 7 goals in 10 away matches, making this a game likely to see dominant attacking play from Liverpool.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Liverpool and Burnley
To give you the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models – ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model provides a clear prediction on the outcome, displayed as a simple bullet point. You’ll also see their official logos, so it’s clear which AI made the call. For those who want to dive deeper, you can click each prediction to expand and reveal the reasoning behind it – showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match stats.
BTTS is offered at a value level given Liverpool’s attacking depth even with Salah absent and Burnley’s limited but present goal threat. The contrasting defences – Liverpool’s robust backline against a makeshift Burnley rear – create enough chances for both sides to score, justifying a value BTTS bet despite Burnley’s limited resources.
Claude prioritises markets that favour a dominant home victory. Liverpool’s squad depth and Anfield advantage are decisive factors against a Burnley side missing first-team players through injury. The visitors’ defensive crisis—both first-choice centre-backs suspended—leaves them exceptionally vulnerable despite Salah’s absence for the hosts.
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market where Liverpool’s attacking prowess against a severely depleted Burnley defence points to multiple goals. Even without key players, Liverpool possess enough quality to exploit the visitors’ makeshift backline and secure a high-scoring encounter.
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?
I’ve picked Liverpool to win as my top tip due to their strong home form and Burnley’s ongoing struggles on the road. Liverpool have been undefeated in their last 9 matches and have scored over 2.5 goals in 80% of their home games, averaging 2.50 goals per match at Anfield. In contrast, Burnley have failed to win in 12 consecutive away matches and have scored just 7 goals in 10 away games this season. With Burnley conceding 2+ goals in 15 of their 21 matches, and Liverpool in excellent attacking form, it’s hard to see anything other than a home win for the Reds.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bets are generated by an algorithm that combines detailed statistical analysis with crucial match-day factors. It goes beyond simple form to assess the impact of variables like Burnley’s extensive injury and suspension list, Liverpool’s attacking depth even without key players, and the historical performance data at Anfield. This data-driven approach identifies bets that offer the best probability-to-odds ratio, highlighting where the true value lies in the markets.
With a severely depleted attack and facing Liverpool’s strong defensive pairing of Van Dijk and Konaté, Burnley are unlikely to find the back of the net.
The massive disparity in squad strength, amplified by Burnley’s unprecedented availability crisis, makes a Liverpool defeat virtually inconceivable.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Liverpool and Burnley:
Hugo Ekitiké is a strong candidate for the anytime goalscorer market, as he has already scored 8 Premier League goals this season despite playing a rotational role. His ability to convert chances is evident with an average of 2.2 shots per game, and he has demonstrated his knack for being in the right place at the right time. Ekitiké’s versatility across the attack gives him multiple routes to score, and with 3 Man of the Match awards this season, his form is promising for this fixture. (Liverpool)
Armando Broja is a solid pick for the anytime goalscorer market, especially as Burnley’s lone striker. He has already netted 1 goal in the Premier League this season and is heavily involved in the attacking play, averaging 0.9 shots per game. Given his central role in the team’s offensive setup and Burnley’s reliance on him for goals, Broja is likely to be the one tasked with finding the net in a match like this. His positioning and attacking instincts make him a strong candidate to score when chances arise. (Burnley)
Odds Boosts, Free Bets & Specials for Liverpool vs Burnley
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07 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueBurnley2 : 2Manchester United
03 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueBrighton & Hove Albion2 : 0Burnley
30 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley1 : 3Newcastle United
27 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 0Everton
20 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueAFC Bournemouth1 : 1Burnley
WINS1
DRAW2
LOSSES3
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
20 Total goals
50% BTTS
10 Goals scored
10 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
25% Under 2.5
10 Jan 2026 –
FA CupBurnley5 : 1Millwall
07 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueBurnley2 : 2Manchester United
30 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley1 : 3Newcastle United
27 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 0Everton
13 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley2 : 3Fulham
03 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 1Crystal Palace
WINS1
DRAW1
LOSSES4
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
21 Total goals
83% BTTS
8 Goals scored
13 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5
03 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueBrighton & Hove Albion2 : 0Burnley
20 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueAFC Bournemouth1 : 1Burnley
06 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 1Burnley
29 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueBrentford3 : 1Burnley
08 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueWest Ham United3 : 2Burnley
26 Oct 2025 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers2 : 3Burnley
Starting XI
3-4-3
Possible Lineup
1Martin Dúbravka
5Maxime Estève
6Axel Tuanzebe
29Josh Laurent
23Lucas Pires
8Lesley Ugochukwu
16Florentino Luís
2Kyle Walker
9Lyle Foster
27Armando Broja
10Marcus Edwards
Substitutes
13Max Weiß
3Quilindschy Hartman
18Hjalmar Ekdal
22Oliver Sonne
12Bashir Humphreys
28Hannibal Mejbri
17Loum Tchaouna
11Jaidon Anthony
35Ashley Barnes
Suspension
None reported
Injured
1Josh Cullen Knee Injury
2Zeki Amdouni Knee Injury
3Connor Roberts Achilles Injury
4Joe Worrall Other
5Zian Flemming Other
6Jordan Beyer Thigh Injury
7Mike Trésor Other
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Liverpool vs Burnley Head-to-Head Record
14 Sep 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 1Liverpool
10 Feb 2024 –
Premier LeagueLiverpool3 : 1Burnley
26 Dec 2023 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 2Liverpool
13 Feb 2022 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 1Liverpool
League Games at Liverpool
Liverpool
Burnley
Goals: Scored31
Games: Scored1/11/1
Clean Sheets0/10/1
League Games at Burnley
Liverpool
Burnley
Goals: Scored40
Games: Scored3/30/3
Clean Sheets3/30/3
Current Best Betting Odds for Liverpool vs Burnley
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Liverpool and Burnley.
For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Liverpool vs Burnley clash:
Liverpool to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2+)
Burnley to Score First + Liverpool to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1+)
Draw at Half-Time + Liverpool to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1+)
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Liverpool vs Burnley on 17 January 2026 at 3:00 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Burnley are predicted to field a lone striker in a defensive 5-4-1 formation, further limiting their attacking potential. Given they are missing key creative players and face one of the league’s best defences, the likelihood of them scoring is low, making ‘BTTS: No’ a strong possibility.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): A total of 3-4 goals seems likely, with Liverpool expected to score at least three against a vulnerable Burnley backline that is missing its first-choice centre-backs.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Anfield is a fortress, and with a full-capacity crowd behind them, Liverpool’s home advantage will be a significant factor against a struggling and depleted Burnley side.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 17 January 2026 at 3:00 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Liverpool vs Burnley
TV channel:
Due to the 3pm blackout, this game will not be televised live in the UK.
Online streaming:
The game is not available to stream live in the UK.
Free highlights:
Match highlights will be shown across Sky Sports and TNT Sports, with extended highlights also airing later on Saturday night on Match of the Day.
