Leeds vs Liverpool Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 6 December 2025 at 5:30 PM
Leeds
Top tip Over 3.5 Goals
Liverpool
FIND THE BEST ODDS HERE
  • Leeds United come into this fixture on the back of a mixed run of form in the Premier League, having just getting a suprising victory against Chelsea.
  • Liverpool are looking to build consistency in the league, with their recent record showing two wins, one draw, and two losses from their last five Premier League matches.
  • Recent head-to-head encounters between these two sides have often produced a high number of goals, suggesting an attacking contest could be on the cards at Elland Road.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Leeds and Liverpool

To give you the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models – ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model provides a clear prediction on the outcome, displayed as a simple bullet point. You’ll also see their official logos, so it’s clear which AI made the call. For those who want to dive deeper, you can click each prediction to expand and reveal the reasoning behind it – showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match stats.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelLiverpool to Win
Odds for This Bet 2/331/5061/100
Liverpool are evaluated as the stronger side with superior squad depth and away-game efficiency, while Leeds face a heavy injury toll. This combination underpins a solid away win expectation.
Prediction of AI claude modelLiverpool to Win
Odds for This Bet 2/331/5061/100
Claude identifies Liverpool as clear favourites based on their superior squad depth, attacking prowess, and the significant injury crisis affecting Leeds. Liverpool’s away record and Champions League experience, combined with Leeds’ defensive vulnerabilities and multiple absentees, strongly support the away victory.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 3.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 7/433/203/2
Gemini identifies both teams’ historical high-scoring encounters and recent form for a high-total goals prediction. Leeds’ defensive frailties combined with Liverpool’s potent attack make ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ a strong value bet.
Lead Author’s Summary and Final Predictions
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: December 4, 2025
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

The history between these two clubs points towards goals, and this encounter should be no different. With Liverpool’s formidable attack facing a Leeds side that has been vulnerable defensively, the data strongly suggests a high-scoring affair. The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market offers compelling value for this Premier League clash.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are generated by combining insights from advanced research models with key football data points. The algorithm looks beyond simple win–draw–lose outcomes and weighs factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. By comparing the probability of an outcome with the odds offered by bookmakers, we highlight matches where the potential return has value.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Liverpool to Win
  • Probability: 66%
  • Best Odds: 41/50 (1.82) at 10bet
  • Liverpool’s quality and away form give them the edge to secure three points at Leeds.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 66%
  • Best Odds: 2/3 (1.667) at bet365
  • Both teams show scoring capability, with Leeds’ attack capable of troubling a Liverpool side that has consistently scored in this fixture.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 70%
  • Best Odds: 2/3 (1.667) at bet365
  • Recent head-to-head matches and both teams’ offensive capabilities suggest a fixture with at least three goals.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Liverpool or Draw
  • Probability: 85%
  • Best Odds: 1/4 (1.25) at 10bet

  • Liverpool’s superior quality makes them strong favourites to avoid defeat, making this a solid selection.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this Soccer match between Leeds and Liverpool:

  • Joel Piroe (Leeds)
  • Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)

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Leeds Form and Stats

Last MatchesLeeds
           
WINS 1
DRAW 2
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 46 Total goals
  • 64% BTTS
  • 16 Goals scored
  • 30 Goals conceded
  • 79% Over 2.5
  • 21% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Leeds United3 : 1Chelsea
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 2Leeds United
  • 23 Nov 2025 – Premier League Leeds United1 : 2Aston Villa
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest3 : 1Leeds United
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion3 : 0Leeds United
  • 24 Oct 2025 – Premier League Leeds United2 : 1West Ham United
           
WINS 2
DRAW 2
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 17 Total goals
  • 83% BTTS
  • 9 Goals scored
  • 8 Goals conceded
  • 83% Over 2.5
  • 17% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Leeds United3 : 1Chelsea
  • 23 Nov 2025 – Premier League Leeds United1 : 2Aston Villa
  • 24 Oct 2025 – Premier League Leeds United2 : 1West Ham United
  • 04 Oct 2025 – Premier League Leeds United1 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
  • 27 Sep 2025 – Premier League Leeds United2 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 30 Aug 2025 – Premier League Leeds United0 : 0Newcastle United
           
WINS 1
DRAW 0
LOSSES 5
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 19 Total goals
  • 38% BTTS
  • 6 Goals scored
  • 13 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 25% Under 2.5
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 2Leeds United
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest3 : 1Leeds United
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion3 : 0Leeds United
  • 18 Oct 2025 – Premier League Burnley2 : 0Leeds United
  • 20 Sep 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers1 : 3Leeds United
  • 13 Sep 2025 – Premier League Fulham1 : 0Leeds United

Starting XI

3-5-2

Possible
Lineup
1 Lucas Perri
6 Joe Rodon
15 Jaka Bijol
5 Pascal Struijk
2 Jayden Bogle
18 Anton Stach
44 Ilia Gruev
4 Ethan Ampadu
3 Gabriel Gudmundsson
10 Joel Piroe
19 Noah Okafor
Substitutes
  • 16Illan Meslier
  • 26Karl Darlow
  • 25Sam Byram
  • 11Brenden Aaronson
  • 20Jack Harrison
  • 29Wilfried Gnonto
  • 14Lukas Nmecha
  • 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 24James Justin
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Dominic Calvert-Lewin Calf pain
  • 2James Justin Knock
  • 3Daniel James Hamstring tendon injury
  • 4Sean Longstaff Calf injury
  • 5Lukas Nmecha Hamstring problem
  • 6Sebastiaan Bornauw Knee issues
  • 7Ao Tanaka Fitness/Doubtful

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Liverpool Form and Stats

Last MatchesLiverpool
           
WINS 1
DRAW 0
LOSSES 5
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 42 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 17 Goals scored
  • 25 Goals conceded
  • 64% Over 2.5
  • 36% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool1 : 1Sunderland
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League West Ham United0 : 2Liverpool
  • 26 Nov 2025 – Champions League Liverpool1 : 4PSV Eindhoven
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Liverpool0 : 3Nottingham Forest
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0Liverpool
  • 04 Nov 2025 – Champions League Liverpool1 : 0Real Madrid
           
WINS 2
DRAW 1
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 16 Total goals
  • 29% BTTS
  • 5 Goals scored
  • 11 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool1 : 1Sunderland
  • 26 Nov 2025 – Champions League Liverpool1 : 4PSV Eindhoven
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Liverpool0 : 3Nottingham Forest
  • 04 Nov 2025 – Champions League Liverpool1 : 0Real Madrid
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Liverpool2 : 0Aston Villa
  • 29 Oct 2025 – EFL Cup Liverpool0 : 3Crystal Palace
           
WINS 2
DRAW 0
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 20 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 10 Goals scored
  • 10 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League West Ham United0 : 2Liverpool
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0Liverpool
  • 25 Oct 2025 – Premier League Brentford3 : 2Liverpool
  • 22 Oct 2025 – Champions League Eintracht Frankfurt1 : 5Liverpool
  • 04 Oct 2025 – Premier League Chelsea2 : 1Liverpool
  • 30 Sep 2025 – Champions League Galatasaray1 : 0Liverpool

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
1 Alisson Becker
2 Joseph Gomez
5 Ibrahima Konate
4 Virgil van Dijk
26 Andrew Robertson
8 Dominik Szoboszlai
3 Wataru Endo
10 Alexis Mac Allister
11 Mohamed Salah
9 Alexander Isak
18 Cody Gakpo
Substitutes
  • 25Giorgi Mamardashvili
  • 28Freddie Woodman
  • 6Milos Kerkez
  • 46Rhys Williams
  • 17Curtis Jones
  • 38Ryan Gravenberch
  • 7Florian Wirtz
  • 14Federico Chiesa
  • 22Hugo Ekitike
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Jeremie Frimpong Hamstring issues
  • 2Conor Bradley Muscle injury
  • 3Stefan Bajcetic Hamstring injury
  • 4Giovanni Leoni ACL injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Current Best Betting Odds for Leeds vs Liverpool

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Leeds and Liverpool.

Leeds vs Liverpool
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 16/5
Draw 29/10
Away 3/4
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 16/5
Draw 29/10
Away 3/4
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 29/10
Draw 3/1
Away 5/6
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 3/1
Draw 14/5
Away 41/50
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 31/10
Draw 143/50
Away 83/100
Visit Site

Leeds vs Liverpool Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Leeds vs Liverpool clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Leeds vs Liverpool Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Liverpool to win 3-111/1Given Liverpool's attacking strength and Leeds' tendency to concede, a 3-1 away win is a plausible high-odds outcome if Leeds manage to find a consolation goal.
Long-Shot Bet 2Draw / Liverpool3/1Leeds could hold Liverpool to a draw in the first half at home, but Liverpool's superior quality and fitness may see them pull away in the second half to secure the win.
Long-Shot Bet 32-2 Draw11/1If Leeds can capitalise on their home advantage and Liverpool's defence has an off day, a high-scoring draw offers significant returns, reflecting the attacking nature of both teams.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Leeds vs Liverpool clash:

  • Liverpool to Win, Both Teams to Score, and Mohamed Salah to Score Anytime.
  • Over 3.5 Goals, Alexander Isak to have 2+ Shots on Target, and Leeds to receive Over 1.5 Cards.
  • Match ends in a Draw, Joel Piroe to Score Anytime, and Over 10.5 Corners.

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Leeds vs Liverpool on 6 December 2025 at 5:30 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams have demonstrated scoring capability, and while Leeds face significant injury issues, their attacking players can still threaten Liverpool’s defence, making both teams to score a probable outcome.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): A high-scoring match is anticipated with at least three goals, given the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities on display.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Leeds’ home advantage is reduced by their injury list, while Liverpool travel with full strength and attack potency.

Where to Watch Leeds vs Liverpool

TV channel:

This match is scheduled to be broadcast live on Sky Sports Premier League.

Online streaming:

Subscribers can stream the match live via the Now TV app and website.

Free highlights:

Highlights of the match will be available on Sky website shortly after full-time. Match of the Day will also show highlights.