Leeds vs Fulham Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 17 January 2026 at 3:00 PM
Leeds
Top tip Leeds United to Win
Fulham
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  • Relegation pressure vs momentum: Leeds are fighting to pull clear of the bottom three, so home points are crucial, while Fulham arrive with the chance to maintain momentum and stay comfortably in the top-half picture..
  • Contrasting objectives: For Leeds, this is about survival and turning competitive performances into results; for Fulham, it’s an opportunity to beat a direct rival below them and reinforce their strong league position.
  • Psychological swing: A Leeds win would provide a major confidence boost in a tense part of the season, while a Fulham victory would increase the pressure on Leeds and underline Fulham’s consistency away from home.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Leeds and Fulham

To provide a comprehensive betting preview, we have analysed predictions from three leading AI models: Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT. Each offers a distinct perspective on the likely outcome, presented as a clear bullet point with the respective AI’s logo. For a deeper understanding, you can expand each prediction to view the detailed reasoning and statistical analysis that informed the AI’s conclusion.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 17/204/54/5
BTTS is priced with solid value given Leeds’ attacking intent and Fulham’s injury-hit defence, producing an open affair with chances at both ends. With both sides featuring capable attackers and recent defensive vulnerabilities, the BTTS bet stands out as the most efficient play.
Prediction of AI claude modelLeeds United to Win
Odds for This Bet 32/255/46/5
Claude prioritises markets that favour a home victory based on Leeds United’s superior attacking form and Fulham’s depleted squad. The Whites’ home advantage and recent goal-scoring record underpin the home win pick. Leeds’ attacking prowess combined with Fulham’s injury crisis makes the home win the standout selection.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 11/1021/2021/20
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market. Leeds United’s strong attacking lineup, led by Calvert-Lewin, is expected to exploit Fulham’s injury-hit defence. Despite Fulham’s absences, they still possess attacking threats, suggesting an open match with goals at both ends.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: January 15, 2026
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

I am siding with a Leeds win because the underlying numbers point to the stronger output at this stage: they have 22 league goals compared to Fulham’s 17, and the projected Leeds side comes out on top for physical match ups too, with a slight edge in aerial duel success (50% to 48%) and height (187cm to 186cm). Add in the team news, where Fulham look set to travel without several key options, and it tilts further towards the home side, especially if Leeds can turn that extra territory and pressure into set piece and second ball chances.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bet selections are produced by an algorithm that synthesises data from advanced research models with crucial football metrics. It moves beyond simple win-loss predictions by weighing factors like recent form, head-to-head results, expected goals (xG), and home versus away performance. The system also analyses market odds and late-breaking team news to identify bets that offer genuine value.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Home Win
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 32/25 (2.28) at 10bet
  • Leeds United’s formidable home record, combined with Fulham’s significant injury and international duty absences, makes a home victory the most probable outcome.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 68%
  • Best Odds: 17/20 (1.85) at Ladbrokes
  • Despite Fulham’s squad issues, both teams possess enough attacking quality to find the back of the net in what is expected to be an open contest.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 65%
  • Best Odds: 11/10 (2.1) at bet365
  • With Leeds’ attacking strength and Fulham’s defensive vulnerabilities, a minimum of three goals is highly anticipated.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Leeds United or Draw
  • Probability: 83%
  • Best Odds: 1/3 (1.333) at 10bet
  • Given Leeds United’s strong home form and Fulham’s depleted squad, it is highly improbable that the visitors will secure a victory.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Leeds and Fulham:

  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin is a strong option in the anytime goalscorer market because he remains Leeds’ primary focal point in attack and consistently gets into high-value areas. He has scored 9 Premier League goals this season, averages just over 2 shots per game, and is heavily involved in chances created from crosses and second balls, where his aerial strength really comes into play. With Leeds often playing open, high-tempo matches and relying on him as the main penalty-box presence, Calvert-Lewin is usually the likeliest route to a home goal. (Leeds)
  • Harry Wilson is a strong contender in the anytime goalscorer market because of how involved he is in Fulham’s attacking output. He has scored 7 Premier League goals this season, averages over 2 shots per game, and regularly pops up in central areas despite often starting from a wide position. His recent form backs that up, with goals and assists coming consistently in the last few matches, and his confidence in shooting from distance or arriving late into the box makes him one of Fulham’s most reliable scoring outlets in this fixture. (Fulham)

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Leeds Form and Stats

Last MatchesLeeds
           
WINS 2
DRAW 3
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 50 Total goals
  • 86% BTTS
  • 25 Goals scored
  • 25 Goals conceded
  • 71% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 11 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Derby County1 : 3Leeds United
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United4 : 3Leeds United
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Leeds United1 : 1Manchester United
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Liverpool0 : 0Leeds United
  • 28 Dec 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 1Leeds United
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Leeds United4 : 1Crystal Palace
           
WINS 3
DRAW 2
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 23 Total goals
  • 100% BTTS
  • 14 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 83% Over 2.5
  • 17% Under 2.5
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Leeds United1 : 1Manchester United
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Leeds United4 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Leeds United3 : 3Liverpool
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Leeds United3 : 1Chelsea
  • 23 Nov 2025 – Premier League Leeds United1 : 2Aston Villa
  • 24 Oct 2025 – Premier League Leeds United2 : 1West Ham United
           
WINS 1
DRAW 3
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 20 Total goals
  • 63% BTTS
  • 10 Goals scored
  • 10 Goals conceded
  • 38% Over 2.5
  • 38% Under 2.5
  • 11 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Derby County1 : 3Leeds United
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Newcastle United4 : 3Leeds United
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Liverpool0 : 0Leeds United
  • 28 Dec 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 1Leeds United
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brentford1 : 1Leeds United
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 2Leeds United

Starting XI

5-3-2

Possible
Lineup
1 Lucas Perri
3 Gabriel Gudmundsson
5 Pascal Struijk
15 Jaka Bijol
6 Joe Rodon
24 James Justin
11 Brenden Aaronson
4 Ethan Ampadu
18 Anton Stach
19 Noah Okafor
9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Substitutes
  • 26Karl Darlow
  • 25Sam Byram
  • 14Lukas Nmecha
  • 10Joël Piroe
  • 20Jack Harrison
  • 29Wilfried Gnonto
  • 44Ilia Gruev
  • 22Ao Tanaka
  • 8Sean Longstaff
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Daniel James Thigh Injury
  • 2Sebastiaan Bornauw Groin/Hip/Pelvic Injury
  • 3Jayden Bogle Calf/Shin/Heel Injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Fulham Form and Stats

Last MatchesFulham
           
WINS 4
DRAW 2
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 44 Total goals
  • 64% BTTS
  • 25 Goals scored
  • 19 Goals conceded
  • 64% Over 2.5
  • 36% Under 2.5
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Fulham3 : 1Middlesbrough
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Fulham2 : 1Chelsea
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Fulham2 : 2Liverpool
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace1 : 1Fulham
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League West Ham United0 : 1Fulham
  • 22 Dec 2025 – Premier League Fulham1 : 0Nottingham Forest
           
WINS 3
DRAW 1
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 24 Total goals
  • 63% BTTS
  • 13 Goals scored
  • 11 Goals conceded
  • 63% Over 2.5
  • 13% Under 2.5
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Fulham3 : 1Middlesbrough
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Fulham2 : 1Chelsea
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Fulham2 : 2Liverpool
  • 22 Dec 2025 – Premier League Fulham1 : 0Nottingham Forest
  • 07 Dec 2025 – Premier League Fulham1 : 2Crystal Palace
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League Fulham4 : 5Manchester City
           
WINS 3
DRAW 1
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 16 Total goals
  • 67% BTTS
  • 8 Goals scored
  • 8 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 50% Under 2.5
  • 01 Jan 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace1 : 1Fulham
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League West Ham United0 : 1Fulham
  • 17 Dec 2025 – EFL Cup Newcastle United2 : 1Fulham
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley2 : 3Fulham
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 2Fulham
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Everton2 : 0Fulham

Starting XI

5-2-3

Possible
Lineup
1 Bernd Leno
33 Antonee Robinson
31 Issa Diop
5 Joachim Andersen
15 Jorge Cuenca
21 Timothy Castagne
10 Tom Cairney
20 Saša Lukić
8 Harry Wilson
7 Raul Jimenez
32 Emile Smith Rowe
Substitutes
  • 23Benjamin Lecomte
  • 30Ryan Sessegnon
  • 16Sander Berge
  • 6Harrison Reed
  • 22Kevin Santos Lopes de Macedo
  • 11Adama Traoré
  • 18Jonah Kusi-Asare
  • 38Seth Ridgeon
  • 35Sam Amissah
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Rodrigo Muniz Carvalho Thigh Injury
  • 2Calvin Bassey African Cup of Nations
  • 3Samuel Chukwueze African Cup of Nations
  • 4Alex Iwobi African Cup of Nations
  • 5Joshua King Knee Injury
  • 6Kenny Tete Thigh Injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Leeds vs Fulham Head-to-Head Record

  • 13 Sep 2025 – Premier League Fulham 1 : 0 Leeds United
  • 22 Apr 2023 – Premier League Fulham 2 : 1 Leeds United
  • 28 Feb 2023 – FA Cup Fulham 2 : 0 Leeds United
  • 23 Oct 2022 – Premier League Leeds United 2 : 3 Fulham
League Games at Leeds
  • Leeds
  • Fulham
  • Goals: Scored 2 3
  • Games: Scored 1/1 1/1
  • Clean Sheets 0/1 0/1
League Games at Fulham
  • Leeds
  • Fulham
  • Goals: Scored 1 5
  • Games: Scored 3/3 3/3
  • Clean Sheets 0/3 2/3

Current Best Betting Odds for Leeds vs Fulham

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Leeds and Fulham.

Leeds vs Fulham
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 11/10
Draw 23/10
Away 12/5
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 11/10
Draw 5/2
Away 5/2
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 23/20
Draw 23/10
Away 12/5
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 23/20
Draw 49/20
Away 51/20
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 11/10
Draw 23/10
Away 49/20
Visit Site

Leeds vs Fulham Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Leeds vs Fulham clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Leeds vs Fulham Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Fulham to Win to Nil9/2 (10bet)Fulham winning without conceding requires both attacking prowess and defensive solidity. A clean sheet adds difficulty but increases the reward significantly. At 9/2, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2Fulham leads HT, Draw FT12/1 (10bet)This bet requires Fulham to lead at half-time before the match ends in a draw. It's an intriguing long-shot that banks on a second-half comeback from the opposition. At 12/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3Over 5.5 Total Goals14/1 (Bet365)Over 5.5 goals requires a high-scoring affair with at least 6 goals. Both sides' attacking intent and this fixture's history of entertainment make this worth consideration. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Leeds vs Fulham clash:

  • Leeds to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
  • Fulham to Score First + Leeds to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
  • Draw at Half-Time + Leeds to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Leeds vs Fulham on 17 January 2026 at 3:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams have demonstrated an ability to score in recent matches. With key defensive absences for Fulham, goals at both ends are a strong possibility as Leeds’ potent front three will challenge a makeshift backline, while Fulham still carry a threat through the likes of Raúl Jiménez.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): Over 2.5 goals are expected as Leeds’ high-intensity attacking style meets a weakened Fulham defence, likely leading to an entertaining affair with plenty of chances created.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Elland Road will provide a significant boost for Leeds United, amplifying their attacking pressure and creating an intimidating atmosphere for a depleted Fulham side.

Where to Watch Leeds vs Fulham

TV channel:

Due to the 3pm blackout, this game will not be televised live in the UK.

Online streaming:

The game is not available to stream live in the UK.

Free highlights:

Match highlights will be shown across Sky Sports and TNT Sports, with extended highlights also airing later on Saturday night on Match of the Day.