Relegation pressure vs momentum: Leeds are fighting to pull clear of the bottom three, so home points are crucial, while Fulham arrive with the chance to maintain momentum and stay comfortably in the top-half picture..
Contrasting objectives: For Leeds, this is about survival and turning competitive performances into results; for Fulham, it’s an opportunity to beat a direct rival below them and reinforce their strong league position.
Psychological swing: A Leeds win would provide a major confidence boost in a tense part of the season, while a Fulham victory would increase the pressure on Leeds and underline Fulham’s consistency away from home.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Leeds and Fulham
To provide a comprehensive betting preview, we have analysed predictions from three leading AI models: Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT. Each offers a distinct perspective on the likely outcome, presented as a clear bullet point with the respective AI’s logo. For a deeper understanding, you can expand each prediction to view the detailed reasoning and statistical analysis that informed the AI’s conclusion.
BTTS is priced with solid value given Leeds’ attacking intent and Fulham’s injury-hit defence, producing an open affair with chances at both ends. With both sides featuring capable attackers and recent defensive vulnerabilities, the BTTS bet stands out as the most efficient play.
Claude prioritises markets that favour a home victory based on Leeds United’s superior attacking form and Fulham’s depleted squad. The Whites’ home advantage and recent goal-scoring record underpin the home win pick. Leeds’ attacking prowess combined with Fulham’s injury crisis makes the home win the standout selection.
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market. Leeds United’s strong attacking lineup, led by Calvert-Lewin, is expected to exploit Fulham’s injury-hit defence. Despite Fulham’s absences, they still possess attacking threats, suggesting an open match with goals at both ends.
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?
I am siding with a Leeds win because the underlying numbers point to the stronger output at this stage: they have 22 league goals compared to Fulham’s 17, and the projected Leeds side comes out on top for physical match ups too, with a slight edge in aerial duel success (50% to 48%) and height (187cm to 186cm). Add in the team news, where Fulham look set to travel without several key options, and it tilts further towards the home side, especially if Leeds can turn that extra territory and pressure into set piece and second ball chances.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bet selections are produced by an algorithm that synthesises data from advanced research models with crucial football metrics. It moves beyond simple win-loss predictions by weighing factors like recent form, head-to-head results, expected goals (xG), and home versus away performance. The system also analyses market odds and late-breaking team news to identify bets that offer genuine value.
Leeds United’s formidable home record, combined with Fulham’s significant injury and international duty absences, makes a home victory the most probable outcome.
Bet 2
Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
Given Leeds United’s strong home form and Fulham’s depleted squad, it is highly improbable that the visitors will secure a victory.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Leeds and Fulham:
Dominic Calvert-Lewin is a strong option in the anytime goalscorer market because he remains Leeds’ primary focal point in attack and consistently gets into high-value areas. He has scored 9 Premier League goals this season, averages just over 2 shots per game, and is heavily involved in chances created from crosses and second balls, where his aerial strength really comes into play. With Leeds often playing open, high-tempo matches and relying on him as the main penalty-box presence, Calvert-Lewin is usually the likeliest route to a home goal. (Leeds)
Harry Wilson is a strong contender in the anytime goalscorer market because of how involved he is in Fulham’s attacking output. He has scored 7 Premier League goals this season, averages over 2 shots per game, and regularly pops up in central areas despite often starting from a wide position. His recent form backs that up, with goals and assists coming consistently in the last few matches, and his confidence in shooting from distance or arriving late into the box makes him one of Fulham’s most reliable scoring outlets in this fixture. (Fulham)
Odds Boosts, Free Bets & Specials for Leeds vs Fulham
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01 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace1 : 1Fulham
27 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueWest Ham United0 : 1Fulham
22 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueFulham1 : 0Nottingham Forest
WINS3
DRAW1
LOSSES2
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
24 Total goals
63% BTTS
13 Goals scored
11 Goals conceded
63% Over 2.5
13% Under 2.5
10 Jan 2026 –
FA CupFulham3 : 1Middlesbrough
07 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueFulham2 : 1Chelsea
04 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueFulham2 : 2Liverpool
22 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueFulham1 : 0Nottingham Forest
07 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueFulham1 : 2Crystal Palace
02 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueFulham4 : 5Manchester City
WINS3
DRAW1
LOSSES2
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
16 Total goals
67% BTTS
8 Goals scored
8 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5
01 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace1 : 1Fulham
27 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueWest Ham United0 : 1Fulham
17 Dec 2025 –
EFL CupNewcastle United2 : 1Fulham
13 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley2 : 3Fulham
29 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur1 : 2Fulham
08 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueEverton2 : 0Fulham
Starting XI
5-2-3
Possible Lineup
1Bernd Leno
33Antonee Robinson
31Issa Diop
5Joachim Andersen
15Jorge Cuenca
21Timothy Castagne
10Tom Cairney
20Saša Lukić
8Harry Wilson
7Raul Jimenez
32Emile Smith Rowe
Substitutes
23Benjamin Lecomte
30Ryan Sessegnon
16Sander Berge
6Harrison Reed
22Kevin Santos Lopes de Macedo
11Adama Traoré
18Jonah Kusi-Asare
38Seth Ridgeon
35Sam Amissah
Suspension
None reported
Injured
1Rodrigo Muniz Carvalho Thigh Injury
2Calvin Bassey African Cup of Nations
3Samuel Chukwueze African Cup of Nations
4Alex Iwobi African Cup of Nations
5Joshua King Knee Injury
6Kenny Tete Thigh Injury
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Leeds vs Fulham Head-to-Head Record
13 Sep 2025 –
Premier LeagueFulham1 : 0Leeds United
22 Apr 2023 –
Premier LeagueFulham2 : 1Leeds United
28 Feb 2023 –
FA CupFulham2 : 0Leeds United
23 Oct 2022 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United2 : 3Fulham
League Games at Leeds
Leeds
Fulham
Goals: Scored23
Games: Scored1/11/1
Clean Sheets0/10/1
League Games at Fulham
Leeds
Fulham
Goals: Scored15
Games: Scored3/33/3
Clean Sheets0/32/3
Current Best Betting Odds for Leeds vs Fulham
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Leeds and Fulham.
For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Leeds vs Fulham clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.
Leeds vs Fulham Long-Shot Betting
Bet Type
Selection
Odds
Rationale
Long-Shot Bet 1
Fulham to Win to Nil
9/2 (10bet)
Fulham winning without conceding requires both attacking prowess and defensive solidity. A clean sheet adds difficulty but increases the reward significantly. At 9/2, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2
Fulham leads HT, Draw FT
12/1 (10bet)
This bet requires Fulham to lead at half-time before the match ends in a draw. It's an intriguing long-shot that banks on a second-half comeback from the opposition. At 12/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3
Over 5.5 Total Goals
14/1 (Bet365)
Over 5.5 goals requires a high-scoring affair with at least 6 goals. Both sides' attacking intent and this fixture's history of entertainment make this worth consideration. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Bet Builder Suggestions
If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Leeds vs Fulham clash:
Leeds to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
Fulham to Score First + Leeds to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
Draw at Half-Time + Leeds to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Leeds vs Fulham on 17 January 2026 at 3:00 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams have demonstrated an ability to score in recent matches. With key defensive absences for Fulham, goals at both ends are a strong possibility as Leeds’ potent front three will challenge a makeshift backline, while Fulham still carry a threat through the likes of Raúl Jiménez.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): Over 2.5 goals are expected as Leeds’ high-intensity attacking style meets a weakened Fulham defence, likely leading to an entertaining affair with plenty of chances created.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Elland Road will provide a significant boost for Leeds United, amplifying their attacking pressure and creating an intimidating atmosphere for a depleted Fulham side.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 17 January 2026 at 3:00 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Leeds vs Fulham
TV channel:
Due to the 3pm blackout, this game will not be televised live in the UK.
Online streaming:
The game is not available to stream live in the UK.
Free highlights:
Match highlights will be shown across Sky Sports and TNT Sports, with extended highlights also airing later on Saturday night on Match of the Day.