Championship Stumble vs Premier League Power: Hull City enter this tie on shaky ground, winless in their last three outings and fresh off a chaotic 3-2 home defeat to Bristol City. In contrast, Chelsea arrive with supreme confidence on the road, winning four in their last five away matches across all competitions.
One-Sided History: The historical head-to-head record paints a bleak picture for the Tigers; Chelsea have dominated this fixture, winning ten of the last twelve meetings and conceding just five goals in that entire sequence.
Defensive Gaps: Both sides have shown defensive vulnerability recently. Chelsea have failed to keep a clean sheet in five consecutive away games, while Hull’s backline was breached three times by Bristol City in their last match at the MKM Stadium.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Hull and Chelsea
To provide the most reliable insights, we have collated match predictions from three leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model offers a distinct betting prediction, presented as a straightforward bullet point. Their official logos are displayed, making it easy to see which AI made each call. For those who wish to delve deeper, you can click on any prediction to expand the reasoning behind it, revealing how the AI analysed data, form, and key match statistics to reach its conclusion.
Chelsea’s attacking philosophy ensures they almost always score, finding the net in twelve straight away games, but their inability to keep a clean sheet in five consecutive road trips offers Hull plenty of encouragement. With the Tigers scoring in the vast majority of their home games, expect an open contest where both defences are breached.
The Blues are riding a wave of momentum on the road, unbeaten in seven and facing a Hull side that has lost its way with two defeats in three games. The quality gap between the Premier League top five and the Championship playoffs is significant, and Chelsea’s overwhelming head-to-head dominance makes them clear favourites to progress.
Chelsea’s away fixtures are a haven for goals, with 92% of their matches seeing at least one goal and a high 69% going over the 2.5 line. Combined with Hull’s defensive fragility—demonstrated by conceding three to Bristol City—this tie has all the ingredients of a high-scoring encounter.
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?
My headline selection for this FA Cup clash is a straight Chelsea win, primarily because the gulf in class and current trajectory is too wide to overlook. While the Blues have had their defensive issues on the road, their attack is firing, having netted at least two goals in four of their last five away fixtures. Conversely, Hull City appear to be hitting a slump at the wrong time, with their recent 3-2 loss to Bristol City exposing frailties that a team of Chelsea’s calibre will ruthlessly exploit. Backing the visitors to get the job done in ninety minutes is the sensible play.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bets are identified by an algorithm that synthesises data from advanced research models with crucial football metrics. It goes beyond simple win-loss outcomes, weighing factors like recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), and home and away performance trends. By comparing these statistical probabilities against market odds, the algorithm pinpoints bets that offer genuine value.
Chelsea’s impressive 13-match unbeaten streak and strong away record make them clear favourites against a Hull City side languishing in the relegation zone.
With Chelsea keeping clean sheets in 58% of their away games and Hull failing to score in 40% of their home matches, a one-sided scoreline is anticipated.
The combination of Hull City’s porous home defence, which concedes an average of 2.3 goals per game, and Chelsea’s potent attack makes a high-scoring encounter highly probable.
Given Hull have only won two of their ten home matches this season, Chelsea are highly unlikely to leave empty-handed, making the double chance a secure option.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Hull and Chelsea:
Oliver McBurnie remains Hull City’s most dangerous weapon, having netted 12 times this campaign, including a calm finish in the recent defeat to Bristol City. With 3.1 aerial duels won per game, he offers a genuine physical threat on set-pieces that could trouble a Chelsea backline known for occasional lapses in concentration. (Hull)
João Pedro is the standout attacking threat for the Blues, boasting 10 goals and 4 assists this season with a solid 7.09 average rating. He has been integral to Chelsea’s forward play, averaging 1.7 shots per game, and his ability to find space in the box makes him a prime candidate to punish a Hull defence that just shipped three goals at home. (Chelsea)
Odds Boosts, Free Bets & Specials for Hull vs Chelsea
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10 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueChelsea2 : 2Leeds United
07 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers1 : 3Chelsea
03 Feb 2026 –
EFL CupArsenal1 : 0Chelsea
31 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueChelsea3 : 2West Ham United
28 Jan 2026 –
Champions LeagueSSC Napoli2 : 3Chelsea
25 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace1 : 3Chelsea
WINS3
DRAW2
LOSSES1
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
21 Total goals
57% BTTS
12 Goals scored
9 Goals conceded
57% Over 2.5
29% Under 2.5
10 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueChelsea2 : 2Leeds United
31 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueChelsea3 : 2West Ham United
21 Jan 2026 –
Champions LeagueChelsea1 : 0Pafos FC
17 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueChelsea2 : 0Brentford
14 Jan 2026 –
EFL CupChelsea2 : 3Arsenal
30 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueChelsea2 : 2AFC Bournemouth
WINS4
DRAW0
LOSSES2
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
23 Total goals
71% BTTS
15 Goals scored
8 Goals conceded
71% Over 2.5
14% Under 2.5
07 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers1 : 3Chelsea
03 Feb 2026 –
EFL CupArsenal1 : 0Chelsea
28 Jan 2026 –
Champions LeagueSSC Napoli2 : 3Chelsea
25 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace1 : 3Chelsea
10 Jan 2026 –
FA CupCharlton Athletic1 : 5Chelsea
07 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueFulham2 : 1Chelsea
Starting XI
4-2-3-1
Possible Lineup
1Robert Sanchez
21Jorrel Hato
29Wesley Fofana
5Benoit Badiashile
27Malo Gusto
8Enzo Fernandez
10Cole Palmer
25Moises Caicedo
20Joao Pedro
9Liam Delap
49Alejandro Garnacho
Substitutes
2Axel Disasi
45Romeo Lavia
44Gabriel Slonina
12Filip Joergensen
4Tosin Adarabioyo
23Trevoh Chalobah
24Reece James
Suspension
1Mykhailo Mudryk Doping ban
Injured
1Marc Cucurella Hamstring injury
2Levi Colwill Knee injury
3Jamie Gittens Hamstring injury
4Dario Essugo Muscle injury
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Hull vs Chelsea Head-to-Head Record
25 Jan 2020 –
FA CupHull City1 : 2Chelsea
16 Feb 2018 –
FA CupChelsea4 : 0Hull City
22 Jan 2017 –
Premier LeagueChelsea2 : 0Hull City
League Games at Hull
Hull
Chelsea
Goals: Scored12
Games: Scored1/11/1
Clean Sheets0/10/1
League Games at Chelsea
Hull
Chelsea
Goals: Scored06
Games: Scored1/22/2
Clean Sheets0/22/2
Current Best Betting Odds for Hull vs Chelsea
When it comes to betting on this FA Cup fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Hull and Chelsea.
For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Hull vs Chelsea clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.
Hull vs Chelsea Long-Shot Betting
Bet Type
Selection
Odds
Rationale
Long-Shot Bet 1
Hull Over 2.5 Goals
12/1 (Ladbrokes)
This bet backs Hull to score 3+ goals. Their recent attacking form and the opposition's defensive vulnerabilities make this an intriguing high-reward selection. At 12/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2
Chelsea (-4)
10/1 (10bet)
This handicap requires Chelsea to win by more than 4 goals. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 10/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3
Correct Score: 1-2
14/1 (Bet365)
This 1-2 scoreline predicting a Chelsea victory offers excellent long-shot value. With 3 total goals, it reflects an open, attacking contest. The odds provide substantial returns if both teams' recent scoring form translates into this specific outcome. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Bet Builder Suggestions
If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Hull vs Chelsea clash:
Hull to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
Chelsea to Score First + Hull to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
Draw at Half-Time + Hull to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Hull vs Chelsea on 13 February 2026 at 7:45 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score):Chelsea have been clinically efficient in attack, scoring in nine of ten away matches, yet they remain defensively porous, having conceded in their last ten road trips. Hull City rarely draw a blank at the MKM Stadium, scoring in 88% of their home fixtures, which sets the stage for an open cup tie where both goalkeepers are likely to be busy.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): This fixture promises goalmouth action, with Chelsea’s away games averaging over three goals per match and Hull coming off a chaotic 3-2 defeat. With Chelsea scoring at least twice in their last five away outings and Hull struggling to keep clean sheets, backing Over 2.5 goals feels like one of the safest plays on the board.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Hull City’s home advantage is expected to be minimal. Their poor record at the MKM Stadium, with just two wins in five attempts, is unlikely to be enough to trouble a Chelsea team that has won 67% of their away matches.
Match Information:
Competition: FA Cup
Stage: FA Cup
Kick-off: 13 February 2026 at 7:45 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Hull vs Chelsea
TV channel:
The game will be broadcast live on BBC One and TNT Sports 1.
Online streaming:
The match will be available to stream live on BBC iPlayer, the BBC Sport Website, and discovery+.
Free highlights:
Highlights will be available on the broadcasters’ apps and websites, as well as on Match of the Day on BBC One on Saturday night.
