Fulham have collected 1.8 points per match across their 18 home outings, but arrive winless in three and with only four victories since January.
Newcastle have won eight of the last 10 meetings between these clubs in all competitions, including both this season, and beat West Ham last weekend for their fifth top-flight win in 15.
Just two points and goal difference separate the sides on 49 points apiece, yet neither can realistically force a European spot from here.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Fulham and Newcastle
To provide the most comprehensive betting insights, we have leveraged the analytical power of three leading AI models: Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT. Each AI has processed the available data to offer a distinct prediction on a key market for this match. Their conclusions are presented clearly below, and you can click on any prediction to reveal the detailed reasoning behind their data-driven analysis.
Match Details:
Teams: Fulham vs Newcastle
League: Premier League
Date: 24 May 2026 at 4:00 PM
Stage: Premier League
ChatGPT
Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelDouble Chance – Newcastle or Draw
Newcastle have won eight of the last 10 meetings here in all competitions, and Fulham have managed only four wins since January despite their 1.8 points per match home record. The pricing across the market has Newcastle and Draw covering roughly 70 per cent of the outcomes, and the model rates that a fraction higher given the H2H weight. Backing the visitors or a stalemate at 4/9 looks the cleanest read on the available evidence.
claude
Prediction of AI claude modelTotal Goals –
Over 2.5
Fulham score in 83 per cent of their
home games and Newcastle in 78 per cent of their away matches, with the visitors averaging 13.5 shots per fixture. The H2H has averaged 2.7 goals per match across the last nine meetings, narrowly above the 2.5 line. Form on both sides
points to a productive afternoon, with Newcastle’s recent attacking output keeping Over 2.5 in play.
Gemini
Prediction of AI Gemini modelWin to Nil – Newcastle
The recent head-to-head has carried multiple clean Newcastle wins, including 3-0 at St James’ Park in December 2023, 1-0 at home in January 2023, and 2-0 at Craven Cottage in May 2021. Newcastle have taken six of the last nine meetings overall, with several of those by clean sheets. Backing the visitors to win without Fulham finding the net at 7/2 lines up with the long-standing pattern in this fixture.
Newcastle to win at 29/20 is the bet I want to side with on Sunday. Even with Fulham’s stronger home points-per-match number, the visitors have taken eight of the last 10 meetings between these sides in all competitions and have already done both this season. QuinnBet stands out from the market with the price, and Eddie Howe’s side arrive on the back of a 2-1 win over West Ham that broke a thin recent run. Fulham’s four wins since January is the form line that worries me most, and the H2H weight is the deciding angle. I will be backing Newcastle to make it nine wins from the last 11 in this fixture.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bets are generated by combining insights from advanced research models with key football data points. The algorithm looks beyond simple win-draw-lose outcomes and weighs factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. This data-driven approach identifies betting opportunities where the odds may undervalue the true probability of an outcome.
Bet 1
Match Result & Both Teams to Score — Newcastle and Yes
Our model rates this at 30 per cent, the 3.90 price implies 26 per cent, so we make it four percentage points of value on Newcastle to win while both teams find the net, anchored by 83 per cent home scoring at Craven Cottage and Newcastle’s strong H2H record.
Our model gives 43 per cent, the 2.63 price implies 38 per cent, so we rate this five percentage points of edge with the H2H averaging 2.7 goals per match and Newcastle posting 98 goals across 57 outings this season.
Our model rates this at 28 per cent, the 4.20 price implies 24 per cent, so we make it four percentage points of value on a single-goal Newcastle win, the precise margin in the reverse 2-1 last October and in three of the last six H2H meetings.
Our model gives 50 per cent, the 2.20 price implies 45 per cent, so we make it five percentage points of edge on Fulham finding the net twice, with Harry Wilson on 10 goals and Raul Jimenez on nine across the season.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Fulham and Newcastle:
Harry Wilson is the designated anytime scorer pick for Fulham, with 10 goals and six assists from 35 appearances at a 6.9 average match rating, the best on the home squad. The Welsh international is the central attacking outlet against a Newcastle defence missing Fabian Schar, and a goal from the right-sided creator looks the most credible Fulham route. (Fulham)
Bruno Guimaraes is the designated anytime scorer pick for Newcastle, with nine goals and five assists from 28 appearances at a 7.2 average match rating. The Brazilian midfielder arrives at a fixture Newcastle have dominated recently and faces a Fulham defence that has kept clean sheets in 56 per cent of home games, so any set-piece or arrival from deep is the angle here. (Newcastle)
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17 May 2026 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United3 : 1West Ham United
10 May 2026 –
Premier LeagueNottingham Forest1 : 1Newcastle United
02 May 2026 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United3 : 1Brighton & Hove Albion
25 Apr 2026 –
Premier LeagueArsenal1 : 0Newcastle United
18 Apr 2026 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United1 : 2AFC Bournemouth
12 Apr 2026 –
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace2 : 1Newcastle United
WINS2
DRAW1
LOSSES3
Average Stats (Last 9 Matches)
20 Total goals
67% BTTS
10 Goals scored
10 Goals conceded
56% Over 2.5
11% Under 2.5
17 May 2026 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United3 : 1West Ham United
02 May 2026 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United3 : 1Brighton & Hove Albion
18 Apr 2026 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United1 : 2AFC Bournemouth
22 Mar 2026 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United1 : 2Sunderland
10 Mar 2026 –
Champions League Final StageNewcastle United1 : 1Barcelona
07 Mar 2026 –
FA CupNewcastle United1 : 3Manchester City
WINS1
DRAW1
LOSSES3
Average Stats (Last 5 Matches)
16 Total goals
60% BTTS
5 Goals scored
11 Goals conceded
40% Over 2.5
60% Under 2.5
10 May 2026 –
Premier LeagueNottingham Forest1 : 1Newcastle United
25 Apr 2026 –
Premier LeagueArsenal1 : 0Newcastle United
12 Apr 2026 –
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace2 : 1Newcastle United
18 Mar 2026 –
Champions League Final StageBarcelona7 : 2Newcastle United
14 Mar 2026 –
Premier LeagueChelsea0 : 1Newcastle United
Newcastle
Starting XI
Starting XI
4-2-3-1
Possible Lineup
1Nick Pope
3Lewis Hall
4Sven Botman
12Malick Thiaw
2Kieran Trippier
28Joe Willock
39Bruno Guimaraes
41Jacob Ramsey
27Nick Woltemade
11Harvey Barnes
18Will Osula
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Fulham vs Newcastle Head-to-Head Record
17 Dec 2025 –
EFL CupNewcastle United2 : 1Fulham
25 Oct 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 1Fulham
01 Feb 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United1 : 2Fulham
21 Sep 2024 –
Premier LeagueFulham3 : 1Newcastle United
06 Apr 2024 –
Premier LeagueFulham0 : 1Newcastle United
27 Jan 2024 –
FA CupFulham0 : 2Newcastle United
16 Dec 2023 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United3 : 0Fulham
15 Jan 2023 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United1 : 0Fulham
01 Oct 2022 –
Premier LeagueFulham1 : 4Newcastle United
23 May 2021 –
Premier LeagueFulham0 : 2Newcastle United
19 Dec 2020 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United1 : 1Fulham
12 May 2019 –
Premier LeagueFulham0 : 4Newcastle United
22 Dec 2018 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United0 : 0Fulham
11 Mar 2017 –
ChampionshipNewcastle United1 : 3Fulham
League Games at Fulham
Fulham
Newcastle
Goals: Scored414
Games: Scored2/66/6
Clean Sheets0/64/6
League Games at Newcastle
Fulham
Newcastle
Goals: Scored811
Games: Scored8/87/8
Clean Sheets1/83/8
Current Best Betting Odds for Fulham vs Newcastle
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Fulham and Newcastle.
For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Fulham vs Newcastle clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.
Fulham vs Newcastle Long-Shot Betting
Bet Type
Selection
Odds
Rationale
Long-Shot Bet 1
Fulham to Win to Nil
5/1 (Bet365)
Fulham winning without conceding requires both attacking prowess and defensive solidity. A clean sheet adds difficulty but increases the reward significantly. At 5/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2
Fulham leads HT, Draw FT
14/1 (Bet365)
This bet requires Fulham to lead at half-time before the match ends in a draw. It's an intriguing long-shot that banks on a second-half comeback from the opposition. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3
Newcastle Over 3.5 Goals
9/1 (Bet365)
This bet backs Newcastle to score 4+ goals. Their recent attacking form and the opposition's defensive vulnerabilities make this an intriguing high-reward selection. At 9/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Bet Builder Suggestions
If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Fulham vs Newcastle clash:
Newcastle-led angle at around 5/2: Newcastle to win and Both Teams to Score. Anchors the H2H weight with the home side’s 83 per cent home scoring rate.
Goals-rich angle at around 9/2: Over 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score, and Newcastle to win. Combines the H2H goal trend of 2.7 per match with the visitors’ winning record in this fixture.
Heavy Newcastle showing at around 12/1: Newcastle to win by two or more, Both Teams to Score, and Bruno Guimaraes anytime scorer. Banks on the visiting side repeating their attacking H2H form, with Bruno on nine goals from 28 outings this season.
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Fulham vs Newcastle on 24 May 2026 at 4:00 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams to score has landed in 56 per cent of the last nine meetings between these sides, with Fulham scoring in 83 per cent of their home games and Newcastle in 78 per cent of their away outings. The price of 8/15 at Betfred reflects that backdrop and the model rates BTTS – Yes a touch higher than the implied 65 per cent.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): The last nine head-to-head meetings have averaged 2.7 goals per match, narrowly above the 2.5 line and below the 2.8 Premier League average. Over 2.5 goals at 4/7 with Midnite is the cleanest read on the data, with Newcastle’s 98 goals from 57 outings this season the standout attacking number on the page.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Fulham’s home record gives them a strong foundation, with 1.8 points per match across 18 home outings, 56 per cent win rate, and 83 per cent scoring rate at Craven Cottage. The H2H pulls in the other direction, with Newcastle winning eight of the last 10 in all competitions, and the 29/20 on the visitors at QuinnBet leans on that weight rather than the season-long numbers.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 24 May 2026 at 4:00 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Fulham vs Newcastle
TV channel:
Sky Sports+
Online streaming:
Sky Go, Now TV
Free highlights:
Match of the Day 2 (BBC One), Premier League YouTube channel
