Everton vs Manchester United Bet Builder & Prediction
Sunday 6 September 2026, 14:00 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Everton v Manchester United, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
Sunday 6 September 2026, 14:00 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Everton v Manchester United, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Goals follow both of these sides around. 80 per cent of Everton’s last 10 went over 1.5 and 90 per cent of Manchester United’s did the same, with the pair averaging 4.0 goals a match between them. The recent numbers have this landing more often than 2/9 allows for, and that margin is why the leg is here.
One clean sheet looks likelier than none here. BTTS has missed in 50 per cent of Everton’s last 10 and 40 per cent of Manchester United’s, and the sides have drawn a blank 4 times between them in the window. The market is underrating this one; at 11/8 the price is bigger than the form warrants.
Everton arrive with the stronger recent record: 5 wins from their last 10 in all competitions, while Manchester United have lost 3 of 10. The venue split backs it up: 1 win, 1 draw and no defeats in front of their own crowd. Everton played out a 1-1 draw with AFC Bournemouth on Saturday. 85/40 reads a shade generous against the recent record, which is exactly what we want from a builder leg.
Head-to-head profile
Five signals, both sides, scaled to the same ring. Defence is inverted, further out means fewer goals conceded. Exact numbers live in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Cumulative points, oldest match first (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). Hover or tap the lines for each result.
2026/27 is only 2 game(s) old, so this is a small sample: the last 2 shown, read alongside late-2025/26 form.
Recent form (last 2 matches (2026/27 so far), all competitions)
The record
| Everton | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 5-3-2 | 5-2-3 |
| Everton home / Manchester United away | 1-1-0 | 2-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.70 |
Top scorers, 2025/26 season
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Everton | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Scored / game (venue) | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Conceded / game (venue) | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 |
Venue row is Everton at home and Manchester United away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Everton | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 80% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 (venue) | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 40% | 40% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. Both sides above 60% on Over 2.5 is the market to watch.
Form signals (both sides blended)
Dials blend both sides’ recent rates. They read the form, not a bookmaker price.
Both teams to score
| Everton | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS % (venue) | 50% | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 |
Last 5 meetings (Everton’s view)
Head-to-head record
| Meetings | 5 |
| Everton wins / draws / Manchester United wins | 1-2-2 |
| Goals (Everton / Manchester United) | 5 / 9 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 2.8 |
| Both teams scored | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
2026/27 so far, 2 played
| Everton | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7 | 10 |
| Points | 4 | 3 |
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-1-0 | 1-0-1 |
| Goals for-against | 3-1 | 5-4 |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Everton win, our form model vs the market price
The market leans Manchester United, but the recent form reads it differently: it makes the Everton win a 40 per cent chance, more than the best price allows for. That difference is the value, and it is why 85/40 on the home win leads the bet builder higher up the page.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Everton (last 10) | Manchester United (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 5-3-2 | 5-2-3 |
| Home / away split | 1-1-0 | 2-1-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| BTTS % | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 7 | 4 | 3-1 |
| Manchester United | 10 | 3 | 5-4 |
18+ only. Odds correct at time of publication and subject to change. Always gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply to all offers shown.