Everton's Home Advantage: Everton has been solid at home, unbeaten in 7 from 11 matches at Hill Dickinson Stadium, with an average of 1.36 goals scored per game.
Leeds' Struggles on the Road: Leeds has struggled in away games, failing to win any of their last 8 matches on the road, with a goals-conceded average of 1.45 per game.
League Positions: Everton is sitting just outside the top half with 32 points, while Leeds is 16th, fighting to avoid relegation and needing points from this match.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Everton and Leeds
To provide the most comprehensive betting analysis, we have collated predictions from three leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model offers a distinct betting angle on the match, presented clearly with their respective logos. For those seeking deeper insight, you can expand each prediction to read the detailed reasoning, which explains how the AI used form, team news, and statistical data to arrive at its conclusion.
BTTS offers value here given both sides’ attacking talent and defensive absences. Everton’s home advantage and Leeds’ scoring threat increase the likelihood of goals at both ends, making BTTS a compelling play.
Everton has been strong at home, winning 6 of their 11 matches at Hill Dickinson Stadium, and they’ve shown solid attacking form, scoring 1.36 goals per game on average. Leeds, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, failing to win any of their last 8 away games and conceding 1.45 goals per match. Given Everton’s strong home advantage and Leeds’ away form, Everton is well-positioned to secure the win.
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market due to significant defensive absences for both Everton and Leeds United, making a high-scoring encounter highly probable.
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?
Over 2.5 Goals is my top betting tip for this match due to both teams’ attacking and defensive tendencies. Everton has been involved in high-scoring games at home, averaging 2.23 goals per match, while Leeds has shown a strong attacking presence, averaging 2.74 goals per match overall. However, both teams also have vulnerabilities at the back, with Everton conceding 1.14 goals per game and Leeds allowing 1.68 goals. With both teams capable of scoring and conceding, this match has all the ingredients for a high-scoring encounter, making Over 2.5 Goals a great option.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bet selections are the product of an algorithm that synthesises data from advanced research models with crucial football metrics. This system evaluates more than just the match winner, taking into account factors like recent form, head-to-head results, expected goals (xG), and home versus away performance. By analysing these data points against market odds, it identifies bets that offer genuine value.
Everton’s quality and home advantage at Hill Dickinson Stadium should be enough to overcome tough opposition, despite their own defensive injury and suspension woes.
Bet 2
Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
Both teams have significant defensive weaknesses through injury and suspension, but possess enough attacking talent to find the net, suggesting goals at both ends.
The combination of weakened defences, attacking intent from both managers, and the open nature expected in this Premier League tie points strongly towards a high-scoring affair.
Given Everton’s status as a ever-present Premier League side and their home advantage, they are highly unlikely to lose to a newly promoted opponent.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Everton and Leeds:
Thierno Barry is a strong contender for the anytime goalscorer market due to his consistent presence in Everton’s attack. With 4 goals in 14 Premier League appearances, Barry has shown he can find the back of the net when given opportunities. His average of 1.5 shots per game and a shooting accuracy of 59.9% indicates that he is a reliable option in front of goal. At 195cm, his aerial ability also makes him a threat on set-pieces, further increasing his chances of scoring in this match. (Everton)
Dominic Calvert-Lewin is a solid choice for the anytime goalscorer market, with 9 goals in 15 Premier League appearances this season. He averages 2.1 shots per game and has a shooting accuracy of 62.6%, demonstrating his ability to convert chances into goals. His aerial strength and overall involvement in Leeds’ attack make him a consistent threat, and his goal-scoring record further highlights his potential to find the back of the net in this match. (Leeds)
Odds Boosts, Free Bets & Specials for Everton vs Leeds
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17 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United1 : 0Fulham
11 Jan 2026 –
FA CupDerby County1 : 3Leeds United
07 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United4 : 3Leeds United
04 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United1 : 1Manchester United
01 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueLiverpool0 : 0Leeds United
28 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueSunderland1 : 1Leeds United
WINS3
DRAW2
LOSSES1
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
21 Total goals
83% BTTS
13 Goals scored
8 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5
17 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United1 : 0Fulham
04 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United1 : 1Manchester United
20 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United4 : 1Crystal Palace
06 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United3 : 3Liverpool
03 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United3 : 1Chelsea
23 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United1 : 2Aston Villa
WINS1
DRAW3
LOSSES2
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
20 Total goals
63% BTTS
10 Goals scored
10 Goals conceded
38% Over 2.5
38% Under 2.5
11 Jan 2026 –
FA CupDerby County1 : 3Leeds United
07 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United4 : 3Leeds United
01 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueLiverpool0 : 0Leeds United
28 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueSunderland1 : 1Leeds United
14 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueBrentford1 : 1Leeds United
29 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueManchester City3 : 2Leeds United
Starting XI
3-5-2
Possible Lineup
26Karl Darlow
5Pascal Struijk
6Joe Rodon
24James Justin
3Gabriel Gudmundsson
44Ilia Gruev
4Ethan Ampadu
11Brenden Aaronson
2Jayden Bogle
19Noah Okafor
9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Substitutes
1Lucas Perri
23Sebastiaan Bornauw
25Sam Byram
22Ao Tanaka
8Sean Longstaff
40Facundo Buonanotte
14Lukas Nmecha
10Joël Piroe
29Wilfried Gnonto
Suspension
None reported
Injured
1Jaka Bijol Thigh Injury
2Daniel James Thigh Injury
3Anton Stach Thigh Injury
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Everton vs Leeds Head-to-Head Record
18 Aug 2025 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United1 : 0Everton
18 Feb 2023 –
Premier LeagueEverton1 : 0Leeds United
30 Aug 2022 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United1 : 1Everton
12 Feb 2022 –
Premier LeagueEverton3 : 0Leeds United
League Games at Everton
Everton
Leeds
Goals: Scored40
Games: Scored2/20/2
Clean Sheets2/20/2
League Games at Leeds
Everton
Leeds
Goals: Scored12
Games: Scored2/22/2
Clean Sheets0/21/2
Current Best Betting Odds for Everton vs Leeds
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Everton and Leeds.
For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Everton vs Leeds clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.
Everton vs Leeds Long-Shot Betting
Bet Type
Selection
Odds
Rationale
Long-Shot Bet 1
Leeds leads HT, Draw FT
14/1 (Bet365)
This bet requires Leeds to lead at half-time before the match ends in a draw. It's an intriguing long-shot that banks on a second-half comeback from the opposition. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2
Leeds (-2)
14/1 (10bet)
This handicap requires Leeds to win by more than 2 goals. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3
Over 4.5 Total Goals
7/1 (10bet)
Over 4.5 goals requires a high-scoring affair with at least 5 goals. Both sides' attacking intent and this fixture's history of entertainment make this worth consideration. At 7/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Bet Builder Suggestions
If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Everton vs Leeds clash:
Everton to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2) — a £10 stake would return £85
Leeds to Score First + Everton to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1) — a £10 stake would return £120
Draw at Half-Time + Everton to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1) — a £10 stake would return £150
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Everton vs Leeds on 26 January 2026 at 8:00 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both Teams to Score is a strong betting angle for this match due to the attacking and defensive patterns of both teams. Everton has scored in 82% of their home games this season, and Leeds has netted in 82% of their away matches, showing strong offensive form. However, both teams also have vulnerabilities at the back—Everton has conceded 1.14 goals per game at home, and Leeds allows 1.68 goals per game on the road. With both teams likely to score, combined with their defensive frailties, BTTS offers great value for this Premier League encounter.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): Given the attacking strength of both teams and their defensive vulnerabilities, Over 2.5 Goals is a solid betting angle. Everton has averaged 2.23 goals per game at home this season, while Leeds has scored an average of 2.74 goals per match. Both teams also struggle defensively, with Everton conceding 1.14 goals at home and Leeds allowing 1.68 goals away. With both teams capable of scoring and conceding, this match is set up for a high-scoring encounter, making Over 2.5 Goals a great option.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Based on their results this season, Everton has had a fairly solid home record, winning 5 of their 11 matches at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Their average of 1.36 goals scored per home game highlights their ability to be competitive, but their recent form includes a mix of wins, draws, and losses, with their defence conceding 1.14 goals per match. While they have shown resilience at home, it hasn’t been a dominant advantage, making the game more evenly poised.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 26 January 2026 at 8:00 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Everton vs Leeds
TV channel:
In the UK, this Premier League match will be broadcast on Sky Sports Premier League & Sky Sports Ultra HDR.
Online streaming:
Subscribers can stream via the Sky app and the NowTV app.
Free highlights:
Full match highlights will be available on SKY, TNT and the official Premier League YouTube channel.
