Everton vs Arsenal Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 20 December 2025 at 8:00 PM
Everton
Top tip Over 2.5 Goals
Arsenal
FIND THE BEST ODDS HERE
  • Everton are facing a difficult period, with their squad significantly weakened by injuries to defenders like Jarrad Branthwaite and Seamus Coleman, alongside the absence of midfielders Idrissa Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye on international duty.
  • Arsenal's title ambitions face a stern test as they head to Merseyside with a makeshift defence. Injuries to Ben White and Gabriel Magalhães, as well as the absence of Kai Havertz, force Mikel Arteta to rely on his squad players.
  • This clash sees two teams navigating significant squad challenges. Arsenal have been wobbling a bit as of late, and Everton have a decent home record under Moyes.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Everton and Arsenal

To provide a comprehensive betting preview, we have analysed predictions from three of the industry’s leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model offers a distinct prediction on a key match market, presented clearly with their official logos. For those who want to understand the logic, you can click on each prediction to reveal the detailed reasoning, which breaks down the data, form, and statistical analysis behind each AI’s conclusion.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelArsenal or Draw
Odds for This Bet 1/81/71/7
The double-chance on Arsenal or Draw offers solid cover given Arsenal’s quality and Everton’s injury-hit defence; market odds reflect Arsenal’s edge but also a realistic chance of an Everton upset at Goodison.
Prediction of AI claude modelArsenal to Win
Odds for This Bet 8/1359/10061/100
Claude prioritises the win market despite Arsenal’s defensive injury crisis. The Gunners’ superior quality, form and attacking firepower should prevail against a struggling Everton side weakened by suspensions and AFCON departures. Arsenal’s recent dominance in this fixture and Everton’s home struggles make an away win the standout selection.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 11/1021/201/1
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market, finding value in a high-scoring encounter. Arsenal’s potent attack, even with some injuries, is expected to breach Everton’s defence. Simultaneously, Arsenal’s own defensive absentees could offer Everton opportunities to find the back of the net.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: December 17, 2025
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Given both teams’ recent form, there’s a strong case for over 2.5 goals in the Everton vs Arsenal game. Arsenal’s 2-1 victory over Wolves showcased their attacking drive, even if they left it late, with a last-minute own goal securing the win. They’ve been involved in high-scoring matches, having also conceded in their recent fixtures. On the other hand, Everton’s struggle against Chelsea in their 2-0 defeat was evident, with them creating few chances and failing to score despite some early pressure. Arsenal’s potent attack and Everton’s recent defensive lapses, coupled with the necessity for both teams to get a result, suggest that goals will be plenty in this match.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bet selections are the result of a sophisticated algorithm that analyses a wide range of football data points, going beyond simple win-loss probabilities. By weighing factors like recent performance, head-to-head history, expected goals (xG), team news, and underlying defensive and offensive metrics, the system identifies bets that may offer superior value. This data-driven approach aims to highlight opportunities that the surface-level odds might overlook, providing a more strategic angle for your consideration.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Away Win
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 8/13 (1.615) at bet365
  • Despite their defensive absences, Arsenal’s superior attacking quality and overall squad depth should be enough to overcome a significantly weakened Everton side.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 58%
  • Best Odds: 21/20 (2.05) at Coral
  • Arsenal’s makeshift defence is likely to concede, while their potent forward line, featuring Saka and Eze, possesses more than enough firepower to breach Everton’s backline.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 58%
  • Best Odds: 11/10 (2.1) at bet365
  • The combination of a high-powered Arsenal attack and their current defensive vulnerabilities points strongly towards a match featuring at least three goals.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Arsenal or Draw
  • Probability: 80%
  • Best Odds: 1/7 (1.143) at bet365
  • Given their strong form this season, it is highly improbable that Arsenal will leave Everton with a defeat, making the away win or draw a secure option.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Everton and Arsenal:

  • Jack Grealish is an important player for Everton, contributing with 2 goals and 4 assists in 14 Premier League appearances. His 85.1% pass accuracy and 1.3 shots per game highlight his ability to create chances and contribute offensively. Grealish’s skill set as a versatile attacking midfielder makes him a constant threat, with a solid rating of 6.98. (Everton)
  • Bukayo Saka is one of Arsenal’s standout players to watch. With 4 goals and 1 assist in the Premier League this season, he has proven himself as a consistent attacking threat. His 79.2% pass accuracy and 2.1 shots per game demonstrate his ability to create chances and contribute to the attack. Saka’s versatility, playing across multiple positions in attack, combined with his impressive rating of 7.29, makes him a crucial player for Arsenal in every match. (Arsenal)

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Everton Form and Stats

Last MatchesEverton
           
WINS 4
DRAW 0
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 31 Total goals
  • 36% BTTS
  • 13 Goals scored
  • 18 Goals conceded
  • 36% Over 2.5
  • 64% Under 2.5
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Chelsea2 : 0Everton
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Everton3 : 0Nottingham Forest
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth0 : 1Everton
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Everton1 : 4Newcastle United
  • 24 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester United0 : 1Everton
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Everton2 : 0Fulham
           
WINS 3
DRAW 1
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 18 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 9 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Everton3 : 0Nottingham Forest
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Everton1 : 4Newcastle United
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Everton2 : 0Fulham
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League Everton0 : 3Tottenham Hotspur
  • 05 Oct 2025 – Premier League Everton2 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 29 Sep 2025 – Premier League Everton1 : 1West Ham United
           
WINS 2
DRAW 1
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 10 Total goals
  • 14% BTTS
  • 3 Goals scored
  • 7 Goals conceded
  • 0% Over 2.5
  • 86% Under 2.5
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Chelsea2 : 0Everton
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth0 : 1Everton
  • 24 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester United0 : 1Everton
  • 03 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland1 : 1Everton
  • 18 Oct 2025 – Premier League Manchester City2 : 0Everton
  • 23 Sep 2025 – EFL Cup Wolverhampton Wanderers2 : 0Everton

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
1 J. Pickford
19 V. Mykolenko
6 J. Tarkowski
4 M. Keane
2 Jake O'Brien
24 T. Iroegbunam
8 James Garner
14 C. Alcaraz
10 J. Grealish
17 T. Dibling
9 T. Barry
Substitutes
  • 30Asmir Begović
  • 22Ben Godfrey
  • 7Dwight McNeil
  • 23Alex Iwobi
  • 17Amadou Onana
  • 15Andros Townsend
  • 25Yerry Mina
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1K. Dewsbury-Hall Thigh injury
  • 2Merlin Rohl Groin/Hip/Pelvic injury
  • 3J. Branthwaite Thigh injury
  • 4S. Coleman Thigh injury
  • 5I. Gueye Out for African Cup of Nations
  • 6I. Ndiaye Out for African Cup of Nations

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Arsenal Form and Stats

Last MatchesArsenal
           
WINS 4
DRAW 1
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 39 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 31 Goals scored
  • 8 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 10 Dec 2025 – Champions League Club Brugge0 : 3Arsenal
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa2 : 1Arsenal
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 0Brentford
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 1Arsenal
  • 26 Nov 2025 – Champions League Arsenal3 : 1Bayern Munich
           
WINS 6
DRAW 0
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 17 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 14 Goals scored
  • 3 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 0Brentford
  • 26 Nov 2025 – Champions League Arsenal3 : 1Bayern Munich
  • 23 Nov 2025 – Premier League Arsenal4 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
  • 29 Oct 2025 – EFL Cup Arsenal2 : 0Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League Arsenal1 : 0Crystal Palace
           
WINS 3
DRAW 2
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 17 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 12 Goals scored
  • 5 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 10 Dec 2025 – Champions League Club Brugge0 : 3Arsenal
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa2 : 1Arsenal
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 1Arsenal
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 2Arsenal
  • 04 Nov 2025 – Champions League Slavia Prague0 : 3Arsenal
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 2Arsenal

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
1 D. Raya
33 R. Calafiori
2 W. Saliba
5 P. Hincapié
12 J. Timber
36 M. Zubimendi
8 M. Ødegaard
41 D. Rice
20 N. Madueke
7 B. Saka
14 V. Gyökeres
Substitutes
  • 13K. Arrizabalaga
  • 35T. Setford
  • 10E. Eze
  • 23M. Merino
  • 11G. Martinelli
  • 19L. Trossard
  • 22E. Nwaneri
  • 49M. Lewis‑Skelly
  • 16C. Nørgaard
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1C. Mosquera Ibarguen Ankle/Foot injury
  • 2Kai Havertz Knee injury
  • 3Gabriel Groin/Hip/Pelvic injury
  • 4Max Dowman Injury - likely ruled out
  • 5Ben White Thigh injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Everton vs Arsenal Head-to-Head Record

  • 05 Apr 2025 – Premier League Everton 1 : 1 Arsenal
  • 14 Dec 2024 – Premier League Arsenal 0 : 0 Everton
  • 19 May 2024 – Premier League Arsenal 2 : 1 Everton
  • 17 Sep 2023 – Premier League Everton 0 : 1 Arsenal
  • 01 Mar 2023 – Premier League Arsenal 4 : 0 Everton
League Games at Everton
  • Everton
  • Arsenal
  • Goals: Scored 1 2
  • Games: Scored 1/2 2/2
  • Clean Sheets 0/2 1/2
League Games at Arsenal
  • Everton
  • Arsenal
  • Goals: Scored 1 6
  • Games: Scored 3/3 2/3
  • Clean Sheets 1/3 2/3

Current Best Betting Odds for Everton vs Arsenal

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Everton and Arsenal.

Everton vs Arsenal
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 5/1
Draw 29/10
Away 4/7
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 5/1
Draw 16/5
Away 11/20
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 5/1
Draw 29/10
Away 57/100
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 23/4
Draw 3/1
Away 14/25
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 5/1
Draw 59/20
Away 51/100
Visit Site

Everton vs Arsenal Long-Shot Betting

If you really want to see a return from our football betting predictions, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Everton vs Arsenal clash:

  • Everton to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 7/1)
  • Arsenal to Score First + Everton to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
  • Draw at Half-Time + Everton to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Everton vs Arsenal on 20 December 2025 at 8:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Backing Both Teams to Score (BTTS) in the Everton vs Arsenal match is a strong bet, supported by key stats. Arsenal has scored in 15 of their 16 league matches this season and found the net in 7 of 8 away games. Everton, while having a solid home record, also shows vulnerability, conceding in 67% of the first halves at home. Despite Arsenal’s strong defensive record, they’ve conceded in 40% of their away matches after the 75th minute. With both teams likely to score based on these trends, BTTS offers good value.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): Given the attacking strengths of both teams and their recent form, a total of over 2.5 goals seems likely. Arsenal has consistently scored away, while Everton has shown they can find the net at home. Arsenal’s recent defensive lapses, particularly in conceding late goals, also increase the chances of a high-scoring game. Considering these factors, a total of 3 or more goals is a solid prediction.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Everton’s home advantage at the new Hill Dickinson stadium is solid, with 1.75 points per game, and they’ve secured 50% of their home wins this season. However, Arsenal’s away record is equally impressive, with 1.75 points per game and a 50% win rate on the road. While Everton has been stronger at home than in other matches, Arsenal’s consistency away from home, particularly in scoring and grinding out results, puts them on par.

Where to Watch Everton vs Arsenal

TV channel:

The match will be broadcast live in the UK on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Ultra HDR.

Online streaming:

Streaming is available on the Sky App and Now TV.

Free highlights:

Highlights will be available on the Sky Sports website, the Sky App, and later on Match of the Day on BBC on Saturday night.